Service Plays Monday 9/22/08

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SPORTS REPORTER

RECOMMENDED

MONDAY NIGHT, SEPTEMBER 22
*SAN DIEGO over NY JETS by 4
SAN DIEGO, 24-20.
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The Goldsheet

NFL Key Releases (2-4, 33%)
NEW YORK JETS/SAN DIEGO CHARGERS OVER 44

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 22

OVER THE TOTAL *SAN DIEGO 28 - NY Jets 26?Chargers upset about getting the worst of the officiating last week in Denver, and they also greatly miss the intimidating presence of OLB Shawne Merriman, as the remaining S.D. pass rushers were able to apply little pressure last week in Denver, with Jay Cutler sacked only once while passing for 350 yards and 4 TDs, plus the game-winning two-pointer. That gave the Bolts two straight lastsecond losses. With L.T. limping, maybe they don?t pull away from Favre, who can trade throws with Philip Rivers and help put this one ?over.?
(05-San Diego -6 31-26...SR: San Diego 18-12-1)
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MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty missed with the Texans yesterday. Today it's the Chargers.
The deficit is 220 sirignanos.
 
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Jim Feist

(909) KC Royals
(910) DET Tigers
Take "Over"
There's nothing wrong with this Detroit offense, one ranked 4th in the AL in runs. That was expected. The problem in 2008 was a terrible pitching staff that doomed them, one ranked third worst in the AL as we wind down the season. The offense just scored 17 on Texas, and has averaged 8 runs over 6 games. However, during that stretch they also allowed 11 runs in back to back games, along with a 4-game skid. The pitching still stinks. Starter Zach Miner is thrown to the wolves here and he has a 7.64 ERA his last three starts. He has a poor 54-41 strikeout to walk ratio. Detroit is on an 8-4 run over the total and faces KC righty Gil Meche, who has an ERA over 4 his last three starts. Look for plenty of offense and little pitching again in this game. Play the Royals/Tigers over the total.
 
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Carlo Campanella

The NY Jets (1-1) have gone "Under" in both of their games while the Chargers (0-2) have flown "Over" in both of their efforts this season. They meet on Monday Night Football and somethings gotta give! We'll back the "Under" knowing that San Diego Head Coach Norv Turner has gone "Under" in 11 STRAIGHT games following a loss as road Dogs. but covered the spread in his previous game!

7* Play On UNDER (SD/NY)
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HONDO

New York Jets over Chargers: It's all politics as Eric "Punch-It-In" Mangini's conservative offense battles Norvelous Norv's liberal defense in what should be a complete waste of prime time. Green and bear it.
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Ace-Ace/ Eastman plays ( 2-3 YESTERDAY)

$600.00 -109 NewYork Jets (+9.5) over San Diego (8:30 p.m. Monday, Sept. 22)
 
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Gamebreaker's NFL (Kevin Kavitch) 11-5-1 ytd 2-0 on 5* Top Plays[/b]

Yeah, Chargers were robbed and are much better than their 0-2 record. But the Jets aren't slouches and came closer to beating the Pats last week than 19-10 suggests. Jets can defend the pass and generate a rush, they can play solid D, and Favre now has 2 full games under his belt with the Jets. Maybe even more important, the Jets coaches may have learned something from their dumb playcalling. One final thought. The thinking by the public will be San Diego is mad and will hammer the Jets. But the Jets aren't punching bags and often teams that are screwed the previous week spend too much time whining and dwelling on what happened to be sharp. Teams that blew it themselves have better motivation which isn't the case here. Weird dynamic but every season these screwed teams disappoint ATS more often than not. I'll back the Jets to hang within the big number. Take the NY Jets +9 for a 3* Regular Play.
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Nelly's Sportsline

SAN DIEGO (-9½) NY Jets (42½) 7:35 PM
The Chargers have had two devastatingly narrow losses this season and
they definitely can have legitimate complaints about last week’s loss with
questionable officiating decisions. New York could not knock off the Patriots and move into the AFC East lead but New York has looked sharp on defense. This is a nightmare scenario for the Chargers but the offense has not put a complete game together so far this season and the defense has struggled. The Jets might have some Monday magic. CHARGERS BY 6
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LOGICAL APPROACH


SAN DIEGO - 9 over N Y Jets - The Chargers are off to another slow start after dropping a controversial decision in Denver last week to fall to 0-2. Their losses have been by 1 and 2 points. The Jets were unable to take advantage of the absence of New England QB Tom Brady, losing 19-10 at home to the Patriots to stand 1-1. San Diego is down a bit from last season in terms of overall talent and nagging injuries to several key players but they still possess a strong, well balanced offense and an aggressive, deep defense. Coach Norv Turner is not at as great a disadvantage here against Eric Mangini as he was against John Fox and Mike Shanahan. He has the much more talented team and in a game of need it's preferable to back that talent even though Jets' QB Brett Favre had some fine games against San Diego while playing with Green Bay. The Chargers have a pair of winnable games on deck but both are on the road, making this game even more important. Look for the Chargers to be aggressive early and force Favre and the Jets to play from behind and into the strength of the San Diego defense. San Diego wins 31-14
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looks like everybody is betting on Jets.....so time to bet on san diego :)
 

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Mon, 09/22/08 - 8:35 PMJeff Bonds | NFL Total
dime bet422 SDC / 421 NYJ Over 44.5 BetUS
Analysis:
The New York Jets (1-1) travel to take on the winless San Diego Chargers (0-2) in a MNF game that will most certainly live up to the hype - an OFFENSIVE GAME.



Both quarterbacks should find ample time to throw the ball on Monday night, as they are protected by a couple of the best offensive lines in all of football.



San Diego has been firing on all cylinders since the second half of Week 1 against Carolina and will surely go for the jugular offensively to get in the win column.



New York comes off a disappointing loss to New England last week and back-to-back divisional games which will allow the Chargers to exploit the Jets defense due to lack of focus. J



Jets QB Brett Favre is a perfect 5-0 against the Chargers in his career and had a field day against them in Green Bay last year - throwing for three TDs and no INTs. Expect him to have a HUGE game as former San Diego head coach Marty Schottenheimer's son is the offensive coordinator for New York. With no Shawn Merriman - the Chargers will have to blitz to get to the quarterback and the future Hall of Famer will make them pay.



In the last two years following back-to-back divisional games - the Jets games have gone over by an average of 12.5 points.



The Chargers are a pissed off football team and have gone OVER the total in 10 of their last 12 games following an ATS loss and 6-1 ATS following a SU loss.



Light up the scoreboard - The OVER in MNF goes to a PERFECT 4-0 this year
 

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Mon, 09/22/08 - 8:35 PMMatty O'Shea | NFL Total
triple-dime bet422 SDC / 421 NYJ Over 44.0 Sportsbetting.com
Analysis: The New York Jets didn't bring in future Hall of Famer Brett Favre to run a conservative offense, one that is averaging less than field goal more per game through the first two weeks compared to last year with Chad Pennington. In fact, the Jets opened up the offense in the third week of the season last year with Pennington under center in a 31-28 win over Miami after totaling just 27 points combined in the first two weeks. I expect a similar offensive performance here against a San Diego defense that has allowed 32.5 points in dropping games against Carolina and Denver. The Chargers can win a shootout because they have better weapons regardless of whether or not star RB LaDainian Tomlinson plays. They may not cover the spread though, which is why I think the OVER is the obvious choice for the best bet in this game. The total has also gone OVER in the last three regular-season meetings between these teams, so bet the OVER as my Triple Dime Monday Night Football Total Play O' the Month.


Mon, 09/22/08 - 7:05 PMMatty O'Shea | MLB RunLine
double-dime bet913 TAM -1.5 (+105) BetUS vs 914 BAL
Analysis: The Rays have won eight straight meetings with the Orioles, with seven of them decided by two runs or more. They will also be sending young David Price to the mound for his first career start after the 2008 #1 overall pick went 12-1 with a 2.30 ERA at three different levels in the minors. Price will be opposed by Baltimore's Brian Bass, who has given up eight runs and 11 hits in 8.2 innings over two starts this season. Tampa Bay enjoyed clinching the team's first-ever playoff spot on Saturday and will now be focused on winning the AL East during this closing road trip. Bet the Rays to start this series with a big win on the runline as my Double Dime AL Value Play O' the Week
 

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