Service Plays Thursday 9/25/08

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WILD BILL

Tulane-Smu Over 49 (5 units)

ROCKETMAN Sports

TULANE minus the points

4* PLAY

Games rated 1* to 5*

SCOTT FERRALL

BEST IN BOLD

ZITO -120 and Giants at home over Colorado

PEAVY +115 at LA--The Padres will jump on Greg Maddux and knock off the Dodgers at the Revine

Cincy and Cueto +180 over the Astros and Roy Oswalt at Minute Maid

Florida -110 at Washington--A.Sanchez over Balester in DC

NO EARLY LINES ON THESE TWO GAMES:

Take the TRIBE over the Red Sox--Sowers over Lester

Milwaukee over Pittsburgh at Miller Park-Gallardo over Duke

MJP sports CFB

9/25/2008 TULANE -17

POINTWISE

THURSDAY

TULANE 37 - Smu 17 - (8:00 - CBSC) -- Wave as this solid a chalk certainly a rarity, but have allowed only 40 FDs in 3 games, & are 5-1 ATS by 67? of late, with Anderson & Moore providing the "O". Pony "D": 44 ppg last 10 contests, including 55, 56, & 43 pts in last 3 RGs. Mitchell: 7 INTs last 2 games. Greenies.

So California 45 - OREGON STATE 13 - (9:00 - ESPN) -- Sanchez latest USC Heisman candidate: 4 TDs in rout of OhioSt. Troy has a 1,149-523 yd edge in the early going, with an 87-10 pt advantage. Now +78? pts ATS in last 5 tilts. Beavs off the schneid with 38-pt rout of hapless Hawaii, & Moevao has thrown for 923 yds, but still no overland game, & chalk is 17-7 ATS in OregSt contests.

THE GOLD SHEET

*TULANE 37 - Smu 13?Although substantial favorite an exceedingly
strange pointspread role for long-suffering Tulane, inclined to support resurgent host following last week?s satisfying win over La.-Monroe. Squalid SMU ?stop? unit (nation?s-worst 531 ypg) can?t stop anyone, and Mustangs have scored just 2 TDs in last 2 games behind misfiring true frosh QB Mitchell (10 ints. TY). Green Wave has enough rushing and defense (only 223 ypg?No. 8 in country!) to bludgeon visitor into submission. (07-Tulane 41-SMU 34 (OT)...S.23-21 T.50/361 S.32/84 S.28/37/1/354 T.13/24/0/160 T.1 S.1) (07-Tulane +6 41-34 (OT) 06-Smu -3 33-28 05-Tulane -3' 31-10...SR: Tulane 11-5)



*Southern Cal 37 - OREGON STATE 10?Granted, Corvallis has been a
real minefield lately for SC, which has failed to cover last 3 trips to Reser
Stadium and lost 2 of those outright (including 33-31 shocker in ?06). But can?t envision erratic OSU QB Moevao doing too much business vs. Pete Carroll?s latest defensive monster that?s loaded with future NFL first-round draftees. And since rebuilt Beaver ?D? not yet generating the pressure of recent OSU stop units, Mark Sanchez should again have plenty of time to locate his various weapons downfield. CABLE TV?ESPN
(07-S. CAL 24-Ore. St. 3...S.16-12 S.36/100 O.37/91 S.20/34/0/187 O.11/28/1/85 S.1 O.0) (07-USC -16' 24-3 06-OSU +10' 33-31...SR: Southern Cal 58-9-4)

SPORTS REPORTER - NCAA

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 25

*TULANE over SMU by 17
TULANE, 34-17.


USC over *OREGON STATE by 24
USC, 31-7.

Sunshine Forecast College
====================

CFB Computer Predictions

Thursday, September 25, 2008

S-M-U(+17) at Tulane

Power Rating Projection:

Tulane 32 S-M-U 20


Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections

SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

Tulane 32 S-M-U 21

Southern Cal(-24) at Oregon State

Power Rating Projection:

Southern Cal 33 Oregon State 18


Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections

SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

Southern Cal 33 Oregon State 19
Angle: After Bye Week [Teams playing after a bye week ]
Go against Southern Cal ( Playing on the Road, Favored by 7?+ Points, 46-84-2, 35.4% ) Historical trend: Take Oregon State ( Domination by home team, 6-1, 85.7% )

HONDO

The Cubs were heroic for Hondo last night, rack ing up a wonderful "W" at LameDuckDump that en abled Mr. Aitch to bring the total tally he has tucked away in assorted offshore accounts to 770 card wells.

Today, he'll stick with the lovable losers - 10 units on Harden to stifle the Metamucils.

MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty missed with the Mets Wednesday night.

Today it's the Diamondbacks. The deficit is 295 sirignanos.

Armvin Sports Mlb

9/25/2008 San Diego Padres 112

Dave Cokin

(973) LA Angels
(974) SEA Mariners
Take "(974) SEA Mariners"
The Mariners are obviously going to be pretty happy to put the equipment away for the winter. They're beyond terrible. But they've played the Angels really tough the last couple of nights, so perhaps they're treating this as their personal playoff series. I like what I've seen out of rookie Cesar Jimenez and the M's get to face the weak link of the Halos staff tonight in Dustin Moseley. A rare call on Seattle to win in the series finale.

Jim Feist

(963) COL Rockies
(964) SF Giants
Take "(964) SF Giants"
The Giants didn't play that badly on a brutal 11-game road trip, winning 4 games (3 as a big dog), plus losing 3 games by 2 runs or less. They even beat the Dodgers, 1-0 and 7-1. Starter Barry Zito has had a better second half of the season, and sports a 3.93 ERA his last three starts, fanning 16 in 18 innings. He faces a team he's already beaten this season (2.2o ERA) and lifteim he's 2-1 against Colorado with a 2.63 ERA. San Fran is home for the final 6 games of the season, while the Rockies are on a 6-game trip. Starter Jorge De La Rosa (5.20 ERA) has not had a good season and has been wild down the stretch, walking 10 batters in his last 16 innings. The home team has the better pitcher and is more interested. Play the Giants.

Insider Sports Report

Seattle +100 over L.A. Angels (MLB)

JIMMY THE MOOSE

Game: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins Sep 25 2008 8:10PM

Prediction: Minnesota Twins

Reason: Chicago has lost 3 of their last 4 games while the Twins have now won 3 straight. The White Sox are 7-22 in their last 29 games played on turf. In their last 25 road games vs. a team with a winning record the White Sox are 6-19. Chicago's Gavin Floyd has been very good this season but he faces a Twins team the Sox always struggle against. Minnesota is 22-6 in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning record. They are 36-16 in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Twins have won 7 of Slowey's lsat 8 home starts. The Twins have won 5 of the last 6 meetings overall and the White Sox are 1-8 in their last 9 trips to Minnesota. Play on the Twins -.

VEGAS STEAMLINE

SAN DIEGO w/Peavy +115 over LA Dodgers

Matty O'Shea | MLB Money Line Double-Dime Bet

972 MIN (-140) BetUS vs 971 CWS

*** EZWINNERS MLB ***

10 STAR: (961) SAN DIEGO (+$115) over LA Dodgers
(Listing Peavy and Maddux)
(Risking $1000 to win $1150)
9:10PM Central Time

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

(1) USC (2-0 SU and ATS) at Oregon State (1-2 SU and ATS)
Southern Cal, which took a week off after flattening then-fifth-ranked Ohio State, opens up Pac-10 Conference play by heading north to Corvallis, Ore., to take on Oregon State at Reser Stadium.
The Trojans proved they deserved to be a 10?-point home chalk, and then some, with a 35-3 bashing of the Buckeyes on Sept. 13. USC racked up 348 total yards while allowing just 207, and won the turnover battle 3-1. QB Mark Sanchez (17 of 28, 178 yards, 4 TDs, 1 INT) was efficient and effective, and RB Joe McKnight ripped off 105 yards on just 12 carries.
The Beavers also took last weekend off after routing Hawaii 45-7 as a 14-point home favorite Sept. 13, winning and cashing for the first time this season. Oregon State racked up 485 total yards ? including 217 on the ground ? while yielding just 211 yards (57 rushing). QB Lyle Moevao completed 20 of 34 passes for 268 yards and three TDs against the outmatched Rainbows.
USC has won eight of the last 10 clashes in this rivalry, but Oregon State has split the cash in those meetings. Last year, the Trojans rolled 24-3 as a 15?-point home favorite, but two years ago at Reser Stadium, the Beavers pulled off a 33-31 home upset as a 10?-point pup to end USC?s 27-game conference winning streak. In fact, the home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings, and Oregon State has gone 3-0 ATS (2-1 SU) in its last three home contests against the Trojans.
The Trojans are just 1-4 ATS in their last five on artificial turf, but their ATS trends are all positive from there, including 6-1 overall, 4-1 on the road, 7-1 after a bye and 9-4 against losing teams. The Beavers are also on a bevy of positive pointspread streaks, including 8-3 overall, 5-0 at home, 5-0 after a bye, 5-1 after a SU win and 6-2 in conference play, though they are in a 2-6 ATS rut against winning teams.
The under for Southern Cal is on a 10-3 overall tear and is on further runs of 5-0 against losing teams, 7-1 after an ATS win, 8-2 after a SU win and 20-7 in Pac-10 play. Also, Oregon State sports under streaks of 8-2-1 after a bye week and 4-1 at home.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER



SMU (1-3, 1-2 ATS) at Tulane (1-2, 3-0 ATS
Southern Methodist, already set for its fifth game of the season, travels to the Superdome in New Orleans for a Conference USA matchup against Tulane.
The Mustangs have little time to regroup after getting bounced 48-7 by Texas Christian on Saturday, failing to cash despite being a 24?-point home underdog. That came on the heels of a 43-7 blowout road loss at the hands of Texas Tech ? though SMU barely cashed as a 36?-point underdog. Against TCU, the Mustangs were outgained 498-210, going backward on the ground with minus-8 net rushing yards.
Tulane also suited up Saturday, beating Louisiana-Monroe 24-10 as a five-point home chalk to maintain its perfect 2008 ATS mark, which includes spread-covers against ranked foes Alabama and East Carolina. Against Louisiana-Monroe, the Green Wave finished with impressive advantages of 454-182 in total yards and 24-9 in first downs.
Tulane has gone 2-1 SU and ATS in the last three years of this rivalry, narrowly cashing last year in a 41-34 overtime victory as a 6?-point road favorite. In fact, the road team has cashed in each of the last three meetings.
The Mustangs are mired in ATS funks of 2-4 overall, 1-5 against losing teams, 3-7 in CUSA contests and 18-35 in September. Likewise, the Green Wave are only 6-17-1 ATS in their last 24 conference matchups, but they sport positive ATS streaks of 5-1 overall, 4-0 in September and 4-1 against losing teams.
The over is 13-6 in SMU?s last 19 conference tilts, but the under has cashed in five of SMU?s last seven games on the highway. For Tulane, the under is on tears of 12-5 overall, 5-2 at home, 4-1 after a SU win and 6-2 against losing teams.
ATS ADVANTAGE: TULANE