strong mlb / friday ....

prodigy · Sep 26, 2008

if this sounds like a re-post from yesterday, its not.
although the play is the same.

detroit moneyline.
detroit runline (-1.5) (+185)

big time pitching mismatch in this game, despite the fact that verlander isnt in great form. still, this line is tigers (-170) or (-180) in a vacuum. obviously detroit isnt winning shit this year and tampa is challenging for a division title. but the fact remains that verlander at a pick in his own park against a kid who will be in the bullpen during the playoffs is a head scratching line. given the circumstances, still surprised detroit isnt a (-120) or (-130) favorite. going to back the tigers again as i think they will make it as difficult as possible for tampa to clinch. gl.

oatmealpancakes · Sep 26, 2008

Good luck. Cheering this one on.

LordofBalls · Sep 26, 2008

prodigy...

i also see value in tigers again... and if youre taking the ml u mght as well put a bit on the -1.5 eh?

worked y-day.... i'll use about half of that profit to try again...

BoL~LoB

Soumi

BigTime21 · Sep 26, 2008

Verlander is trash and the tigers are garbage no team chemistry , dont understand how u could back the tigers, even thought the line looks like a trap, but so did the Cowboys line against the Packers in NFL two weeks ago , GL Sir.

touc · Sep 26, 2008

thanks for the play prodigy. what percentage of your total wager goes on the runline relative to the moneyline - if you don't mind my asking

prodigy · Sep 26, 2008

BigTime21 said:
Verlander is trash and the tigers are garbage no team chemistry , dont understand how u could back the tigers, even thought the line looks like a trap, but so did the Cowboys line against the Packers in NFL two weeks ago , GL Sir.

if by trash you mean one of the best pitchers in the american league when he's in form ... then, yeah, he's trash. make no mistake about it - he is not having a good year. but he is a far better pitcher than andy sonnanstine.

FearTheRaven · Sep 26, 2008

looks good, rays are not the same team on the road.

prodigy · Sep 26, 2008

touc said:
thanks for the play prodigy. what percentage of your total wager goes on the runline relative to the moneyline - if you don't mind my asking

i generally will take one unit on the moneyline and then a half unit on the runline. in this case, its two units moneyline and one on the runline. gl. its a bit of a different approach in football where i will take a dog stronger with the points and then a small piece of the moneyline. basically - 1/4 of original play on moneyline in football. 1/2 of original play on runline in baseball. differs from gm to gm. but thats the basic approach i usually take.

knucklecup · Sep 26, 2008

I don't like the Tigers today, as much as I liked them yesterday afternoon but I'll be on this one as well.

Best of luck, lets hope this cashes.

prodigy · Sep 26, 2008

knucklecup said:
I don't like the Tigers today, as much as I liked them yesterday afternoon but I'll be on this one as well.

Best of luck, lets hope this cashes.

yesterday's play was more situational. the travel and weird start time made the tigers worth playing despite having to face kazmir.

today, the tigers are throwing the better pitcher. so the play is more fundamental.

i think the result will be the same. we'll see though.

gl.

homedawg · Sep 26, 2008

Tampa Bay DRays
Pos. Player HR RBI AVG
2B Iwamura, Akinori 6 48 .274
CF Upton, B.J. 8 65 .270
1B Pena, Carlos 31 101 .245
3B Longoria, Evan 27 85 .275
DH Floyd, Cliff 11 39 .272
C Navarro, Dioner 7 54 .294
RF Gross, Gabe 13 38 .246
LF Hinske, Eric 19 57 .246
SS Bartlett, Jason 1 37 .287
P Sonnanstine, Andy (13-8 4.27) 0 0 .400

Detroit Tigers
Pos. Player HR RBI AVG
CF Granderson, Curtis 21 62 .286
2B Polanco, Placido 8 58 .307
RF Ordonez, Magglio 20 98 .316
1B Cabrera, Miguel 36 126 .294
DH Sheffield, Gary 17 54 .223
LF Thames, Marcus 25 56 .248
3B Larish, Jeff 2 16 .268
C Sardinha, Dane 0 3 .146
SS Santiago, Ramon 3 16 .301
P Verlander, Justin (10-17 4.87) 0 0 .0

on them as well. BOL

knucklecup · Sep 26, 2008

prodigy said:
yesterday's play was more situational. the travel and weird start time made the tigers worth playing despite having to face kazmir.

today, the tigers are throwing the better pitcher. so the play is more fundamental.

i think the result will be the same. we'll see though.

gl.

This is true.

Hopefully Verlander ends his horrid season on a good note.

LayDWood · Sep 26, 2008

Prodigy, just like to say THANKS for that usc halftime insight you posted yest...i cashed in along w/ the over at 26.5. Defiitely be looking out for your posts whenever I need that extra opinion! Keep it up!

Knockout · Sep 26, 2008

I generally agree w/ your insight, but this is one time where I think I disagree. Verlander has given up 4 or more ER in his last 5 starts. You are basing this play on his potential rather than what is his recent trend. These are 2 pitchers that appear to be going in opposite directions. This is not to say Verlander won't get out of his funk tonight, but I'd rather back the hotter pitcher w/ the team trying to close out the div title. GL.

GoSteelers248 · Sep 26, 2008

thanks for the winner

knucklecup · Sep 26, 2008

Well done, once again.

oatmealpancakes · Sep 26, 2008

Nice job, Prodigy. Congrats.

oatmealpancakes · Sep 26, 2008

Would have like to have faded Willis tomorrow if Boston had won tonight. Oh well.

50_Eggs · Sep 27, 2008

Thanks for sharing, Prodigy.

strong mlb / friday ....

New member

New member

New member

New member

New member

New member

RX Dream Team

New member

do work son

New member

Dynasty

do work son

New member

New member

Banned

do work son

New member

New member

Ketel, rocks w/ lime

Forum statistics

Share this page