Service Plays Saturday 10/4/08

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SCOTT FERRALL

NCAA Week Six Free Picks

Wisconsin +2.5 from Ohio St--Pryor is going to learn the hard way about being a freshman in Mad Town

Colorado St -2 to UNLV--The Rams pull it off in Fort Collins against the Rebels

Texas Tech -7.5 at Kansas St--The Raiders go to Manhattan and stay unbeaten

Michigan St -9 to Iowa--The Spartans running game goes straight at the Hawkeyes in East Lansing

Maryland -13.5 at Virginia--Ralph's boys aren't to shabby at 4-1 and the Cavs pretty much suck at 1-3

Tulane -19 to Army--The Green Wave should handle to winless Cadets

Air Force -6 to Navy--because they are in Colorado Springs--dogfight decided on the ground

Tennessee -15.5 to Northern Illinois--The Vols finally look good--too bad it's against this team

Baylor +27 from Oklahoma--why the hell not ? I love this kid Griffith (Bears QB)--He's all over the place and tough to catch up with. The Sooners win but don't cover

Kentucky +16.5 from Alabama--The Tide are coming off the huge win over Georgia and some believe they are #1, but not after this performance

Pointwise:

College Key Selections...
1--OKLAHOMA STATE over Texas A & M 54-20
1--TCU over San Diego State 54-10
2--Missouri over NEBRASKA 45-20
3--NEW MEXICO over Wyoming 38-7
4--ARIZONA over Washington 44-14
4--VANDERBILT (+) over Auburn 17-14
5--Texas over COLORADO 45-17
5--Nevada over IDAHO 52-17

CKO
CONFIDENTIAL KICK-OFF
PRIORITY PICKS and
PREFERENCES
CKO Vol. 47 Oct. 2 - 6, 2008 No. 6

CKO CHOICE IN CAPITALS
* - Denotes Home Team
RATINGS: 11 - Exceptional, 10 - Strong, 9 - Above Average

11 *MINNESOTA over Indiana
Late Score Forecast:
*MINNESOTA 40 - Indiana 21

CKO scouts expect Minnesota HC Tim Brewster to rally his club off Ohio State loss for what is a crucial game in Minny’s quest for bowl eligibility. Gophers have ample weapons to lay open a banged-up Indiana “D”, which has suffered injuries to three 2ndary starters and its nickel back and has yielded 960 total yards & 84 pts. in last 2 games vs. Ball St. & Michigan State. Minny QB Adam Weber is 2nd in the Big Ten in passing and is more efficient this season, with an 8-2 TD-int. ratio (was 24-19 LY). WR Eric Decker not only leads the Big Ten in receptions, but o.c. Mike Dunbar is using him as a runner as well (8 carries, 77 YR last 4 games). Running game hasn’t fallen off much after injury to Duane Bennett, as true frosh DeLeon Eskridge (90 ypg rushing & 5 TDs last 3 games). Indiana QB Kellen Lewis, who was shaken up last week, has seen his passing production take a nosedive this season from 234 ypg LY to 162 in ‘08. Obviously, he misses departed WRs James Hardy & James Bailey, while new lead receiver Ray Fisher has just 4 catches this season.



10 *KANSAS STATE over Texas Tech
Late Score Forecast:
*KANSAS STATE 34 - Texas Tech 31

Long-time Big XII scouts report oddsmakers paying a bit too much respect to offensively-flashy Texas Tech (leads nation in passing), which has feasted on “cupcakes” and defensively-inept teams so far in ‘08. With
KSU’s demanding HC Prince reportedly spending extra time on tackling fundamentals and techniques after too many misses the past two weeks, doubt Red Raider QB Harrell and mates maintain those eye-popping numbers in hostile Manhattan. Meanwhile, Wildcats 6-6, 260 dual-threat QB Freeman (67%, 11 TDs, 2 ints., hasn’t been sacked yet) should fully exploit a still-vulnerable TT defense that yielded 490 yds. vs. Nevada. With Wildcats ground attack suddenly having much more pop with converted 6-3, 215 soph WR Lamark Brown rumbling for 137 yds. in his debut week ago, Prince’s rising squad capable of minor upset. Red Raiders a woeful 1-7 as 7-pt. or fewer road favorite since ‘03.



10 STANFORD over *Notre Dame
Late Score Forecast:
STANFORD 23 - *Notre Dame 20

The pointspread is rising on this game after Notre Dame pulled away from inconsistent Purdue last week. But Pac-10 scouts report things are finally starting to “slow down” for Stanford QB Tavita Pritchard, who rallied the
Cardinal in the second half two weeks ago for a 23-10 victory over stubborn San Jose and the threw three TD passes in last week’s 35-28 road triumph at desperate Washington. Stanford power back Toby Gerhart (check status) suffered a mild concussion in that game. But sr. Anthony Kimble is the former starter at the same spot! And, with eight srs. on a defense that returned nearly intact from LY, you can be sure it won’t lose its poise at South Bend. The Cardinal has already taken on Oregon State, Arizona State, and TCU—all likely 2008 bowl teams. And you can be sure HC Jim Harbaugh (the former Michigan QB) will have the visitor properly motivated.



10 *WISCONSIN over Ohio State
Late Score Forecast:
*WISCONSIN 27 - Ohio State 19

Wisconsin is coming off a distasteful loss at Michigan, in which the Badgers gave up an uncharacteristic four turnovers and blew a 19-0 lead. Intense Wisconsin HC Bret Bielema will have his team ready to “man up” against Ohio State this week, and he won’t let the Badgers forget that they led the Buckeyes 17-10 late in the third quarter before yielding four TDs in the last 18 minutes in ‘07. Wisconsin has been a powerful play in Madison, notching 27-1 SU & 17-9 spread marks the last 4+ seasons (and the Badgers are 6-2 vs. the number following their last 8 losses). Ohio State QB Pryor has added something to the Buckeye attack, but this is a hostile environment for a youngster. OSU defense not bringing the same type of pressure it has in past, and Buckeyes might look more like they did in trip to USC than they did in 1st 3 Qs vs. Minny.


HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-Rated Games):

MARSHALL (+3½) vs. Cincinnati (Friday night)—Cincy QB injuries and what figures to be a wild home crowd pulling for Thundering Herd in an ESPN extravaganza reasons enough to take a flyer with Marshall...

COLORADO STATE (-2) vs. Nevada-Las Vegas—The real UNLV defense showed up against Nevada and allowed 444 yards on the ground. CSU 5th-yr. sr. RB Gartrell Johnson is looking for a career high...

AKRON (-3½) at Kent State—Kent State is 0-11 in last 11 games on the line, and leading RB Eugene Jarvis has missed the last two games with an
ankle injury. Akron is 6-1-1 vs. the number last 8, and QB Jacquemain throws for 200 yds. or more every time out...

UTEP (+8) at Southern Miss—UTEP QBVittatoe looked sharp vs. Central Florida, and the aggressive Miner defense has made some big plays the last two games. USM defense yielding an uncharacteristically high 27 ppg and ranks 110th vs. the run...J


JACKSONVILLE (estimated line: -3) vs. Pittsburgh—Jaguars have had the Steelers number, winning last four meetings, and Pittsburgh coming off important Monday night AFC North clash against Baltimore<!-- / message -->

Power Plays

CFB:
4* SMU
4* Penn State
4* Western Mich.
4* Iowa State
4* UNLV
4* Duke
4* Minnesota
4* FSU
4* California
4* TCU
4* West Virginia
4* Texas El Paso
4* Florida
4* Bowling Green
4* Oklahoma State

Dr Bob

2 W Va
4 Iowa
2 NC
3 GT
3 Stanford
2 Zona
2 Baylor
3 Okla St
3 Tulsa
2 Hawaii
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Wunderdog

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Game: Oklahoma at Baylor (Saturday 10/04 12:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Baylor +27 (-110)

Oklahoma, the new #1 team in the nation, is very good. But are they, on the road, 27 points better than Baylor? Perhaps they are, but will they play that way before Texas weekend? Next week's showdown is quickly becoming a stage for who will be in the National Championship Game. It's hard to imagine Oklahoma being 100% focused on this game. Baylor is not the doormat they have been in the past. Robert Griffin is difficult to defend, as he can throw down field and he keeps the defense off balance with his abilty to run. He has some very good numbers for a freshman (seven passing TDs, five rushing TDs and no INTs). Jay Finley has found daylight out of the backfield at 8.1 yards per carry, and Baylor should be able to put some points up here. The question is how much energy is Oklahoma willing to spend with the biggest game of the year on deck? I say not enough to cover four touchdowns on the road. History agrees as the Sooners are 5-11 ATS the week before Texas the last sixteen years. Add in the fact that Baylor is well rested (and presumably well prepared) off a bye, and we have some real value on the dog here.
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Lenny Del Genio's 25* SEC Game of the YEAR!!Play on South Carolina at 2:00 ET.

South Carolina is our 25* SEC Game of the Year.

Alan Eastman

$1000 Take #338 Vanderbilt (+4) over Auburn (6 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 4)

$300.00 Take #310 Utah (-11) over Oregon State (9 p.m., Thursday, Oct. 2)

$500.00 Take #331 Texas Tech (-7.5) over Kansas State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 4)

$300.00 Take #340 Illinois (+2.5) over Michigan (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 4)

Dave Cokin

(331) Texas Tech
(332) Kansas St
Take "(331) Texas Tech"
Texas Tech has yet to be tested, and some observers therefore consider the Red Raiders to be a bit overrated at this juncture. I don't think that's the case and I'm of the belief this is going to be Mike Leach's best team yet. There's been a subtle change in the Texas Tech attack this season. In the past, they've been unwilling or unable to feature any consistent running game. But this season we're seeing the Red Raiders balancing things a bit more. Make no mistake, this team will still live and die by the pass. But the fact Leach is showing more faith in the run will enable them to protect leads better. The Tech defense is also better than it has been previously. Kansas State can't trade with the Red Raiders offensively, and they've been absolutely porous defensively. I don't see this one being especially close, even in Manhattan, and I'm laying the points with Texas Tech.

WILD BILL

NC State +9 1/2 (5 units)
South Carolina +3 (5 units)
Vandy +4 1/2 (5 units)
Nebraska +10 1/2 (5 units)
Colorado +13 1/2 (5 units)
San Diego St +24 (5 units)
Ohio St -2 (5 units)
Washington U +22 (5 units)
Washington State +17 (5 units)
Minn-Indiana Over 58 (5 units)
Oklahoma-Baylor Over 62 1/2 (5 units)
Tulane-Army Over 41 1/2 (5 units)
K State-Texas Tech Over 66 (5 units)
Cal-Arizona State Over 55 (5 units)
AF-Navy Over 52 1/2 (5 units)
Toledo-Ball State Over 65 (5 units)
Tulsa-Rice Under 80 (5 units)
UCLA-Washington State Over 56 1/2 (5 units)
Kentucky +16 1/2 (5 units)
Texas A&m +25 (5 units)
Rice +16 (5 units)

Vegas Runner's early steam:

IOWA STATE +12

DeltaU46 said:

any chance we can get the breakdown of Dr. Bob's best bets, i.e. the Iowa game is a 4 star between XX points and XX points.

Thanks

:toast:

Click to expand...

DR BOB


4 Iowa
3 Utah St
3 Baylor
3 Okla St
3 Tulsa
3 GT
3 Stanford
2 W Va
2 Hawaii
2 NC
2 Zona
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4 Star Selection
**** Iowa 30 MICHIGAN ST. (-7.0) 24
09:00 AM Pacific, 04-Oct-08
I’ll take Iowa in a 4-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more and for 3-Stars from +6 ½ to +4 points (2-Stars down to +3).


3 Star Selection
*** GEORGIA TECH (-12.5) 35 Duke 10
09:00 AM Pacific, 04-Oct-08
I’ll take Georgia Tech in a 3-Star Best Bet at -14 points or less and for 2-Stars from -14 ½ to -17 points.

3 Star Selection
***Stanford 26 NOTRE DAME (-7.0) 23
11:30 AM Pacific, 04-Oct-08
I’ll take Stanford in a 3-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more and for 2-Stars from +6 ½ to +5 points.

3 Star Selection
*** OKLAHOMA ST. (-24.0) 51 Texas A&M 14
04:00 PM Pacific, 04-Oct-08
I’ll take Oklahoma State in a 3-Star Best Bet at -27 points or less and for 2-Stars at -27 ½ or -28 points.

3 Star Selection
*** TULSA (-15.5) 55 Rice 28
05:00 PM Pacific, 04-Oct-08
I’ll take Tulsa in a 3-Star Best Bet at -17 points or less and for 2-Stars from -17 ½ points to -20 points.

2 Star Selection
** WEST VIRGINIA (-13.5) 35 Rutgers 14
09:00 AM Pacific, 04-Oct-08
I’ll take West Virginia in a 2-Star Best Bet at -14 points or less and I’d consider the Mountaineers a Strong Opinion from -14 ½ to -16 points.

2 Star Selection
**BAYLOR 24 Oklahoma (-26.5) 40
09:30 AM Pacific, 04-Oct-08
I’ll take Baylor in a 2-Star Best Bet at +24 points or more and for 3-Stars at +27 or more.

2 Star Selection
** NORTH CAROLINA (-7.0) 33 Connecticut 17
04:00 PM Pacific, 04-Oct-08
I’ll take North Carolina in a 2-Star Best Bet at -9 points or less.

2 Star Selection
** ARIZONA (-21.5) 42 Washington 10
04:30 PM Pacific, 04-Oct-08
I’ll take Arizona in a 2-Star Best Bet at -24 points or less and for 3-Stars at -21 or less.

2 Star Selection
** Hawaii 24 FRESNO ST. (-22.0) 37
07:00 PM Pacific, 04-Oct-08
I’ll take Hawaii in a 2-Star Best Bet at +20 points or more.



Strong Opinion
Penn St. (-13.5) 41 PURDUE 23
09:00 AM Pacific, 04-Oct-08
I’ll consider Penn State a Strong Opinion at -14 or less and I’d take Penn State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -10 points or less.

Strong Opinion
KANSAS ST. 33 Texas Tech (-7.0) 34
12:30 PM Pacific, 04-Oct-08
I’ll consider Kansas State a Strong Opinion at +7 points or more.

Strong Opinion
Navy 27 AIR FORCE (-5.0) 26
01:00 PM Pacific, 04-Oct-08
I’ll consider Navy a Strong Opinion at +3 points or more.

Strong Opinion
TCU (-24.0) 38 San Diego St. 9
03:00 PM Pacific, 04-Oct-08
I’ll consider TCU a Strong Opinion at -24 points or less.

Strong Opinion
Northern Ill 14 TENNESSEE (-16.0) 24
04:00 PM Pacific, 04-Oct-08
I’ll consider Northern Illinois a Strong Opinion at +14 points or more and I’d take the Huskies in a 2-Star Best Bet at +17 points or more.

Strong Opinion
UL Lafayette (-2.5) 37 UL MONROE 28
04:00 PM Pacific, 04-Oct-08
I’ll consider UL Lafayette a Strong Opinion at -3 points or less.

Burns underdog game of year- kent state

Feist NCAA GOY- Florida over Arkansas

Tommy Rider | CFB Side
double-dime bet
359 Florida -23.0 (-110) Bodog vs 360 Arkansas

Tommy Rider | CFB Side
triple-dime bet
389 Ohio St. -2.0 (-110) BetUS vs 390 Wisconsin

Tommy Rider | CFB Side
double-dime bet
380 Toledo 8.0 (-110) Bodog vs 379 Ball St.

Tommy Rider | CFB Side
double-dime bet
374 UCLA -17.0 (-110) SportBet vs 373 Washington St.

Tommy Rider | CFB Total
double-dime bet
332 Kansas St. / 331 Texas Tech Over 66.0 BetUS