Wednesday - 1st Inning Playoffs - 3-3

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Mila Kunis.... why I watch bad movies
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Nov 5, 2006
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philadelphia @ los angeles (8:22ET) - YES (+125) - $50.00 Play

a run is scored in the 1st inning of PHL games 61.11% of the time
phils score a run in the 1st inning in 36.42% of those
phils allow a run in the 1st inning in 36.42% of those

a run is scored in the 1st inning of LA games 53.70% of the time
dodgers score a run in the 1st inning in 33.95% of those
dodgers allow a run in the 1st inning in 32.10% of those

in hamels' 33 starts, a run has been scored 17 times - he's allowed 9 (27.27%)
in billingsley's 32 starts, a run has been scored 18 times - he's allowed 11 (34.38%)

hamels has allowed 7 runs in 17 road starts (41.18%)
billingsley has allowed 5 runs in 16 home starts (31.25%)

LAD 1-4 hitters are 3 for 18 off hamels (.167)

PHL 1-4 hitters are 8 for 25 off billingsley (.320)


LEANS (remaining games in order of confidence)

NONE

i will not be using any of these post-season plays towards my year stats. just information for those that have followed this season and have asked for me to continue during the playoffs. my "method" is not used during the 1st 25 games of each half & interleague play. we shall see how the playoffs go.

Playoff Plays
3-3
Playoff Leans
8-2

Year Totals:

57-30 (65.52%)
+$1303.00 (+26.06 units)

YTD ROI: 22.94%

$35 plays - 19/8 - 70.37%
$50 plays - 25/14 - 64.10%
$75 plays - 8/6 - 57.14%
$100 plays - 4/2 - 66.67%
$125 plays - 1/0 - 100.00%
$150 plays - 0/0 - N/A
 

God didn't create man. Man created god.
Joined
Nov 5, 2004
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Thank You for posting these sir.



:toast:
 

Mila Kunis.... why I watch bad movies
Joined
Nov 5, 2006
Messages
1,270
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ya know, i realized that i really messed up yesterday:

i listed the play as ONLY if pena hits #2 (which he rarely does). when i ran all my numbers, i examined both crawford AND pena in the #2. slot i should have run crawford at #2 but pena at #3.

personally, when the lineups came out and i saw pena at #3, i didn't make the play (i was looking for him at #2).

not trying to skip out on a loss here, just explaining my error. sorry to anyone who played and lost (i should have). if the game had gone NO, i would not have claimed the win with pena in the 3 slot.

anywho......

i don't expect any shakeups tonight. if the dodgers change anything around, it should actually help the YES.


peace

lazzonya
 

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Jun 26, 2008
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Ahhh I see, I wasn't trying to accuse you of doctoring your record. I just didn't read your analysis in yesterday's play so I missed that. Thanks for the clarification
 

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