Boxslayer's World Series Game 1

Boxslayer · Oct 22, 2008

5* Tampa Bay Rays EV

Many of you think I'm a football capper, but I know more about baseball than I will ever know about football.

1. Baseball is a game that needs to be played everyday. You usually struggle when you take 5 days off in baseball. This isnt football where you need to be fresh to take a pounding and get all of those bruises healed up. You have to be out there swinging the bat every day. Rays had a nice day or two off, thats all they need, and they will be ready to roll here.

2. Rays won the better division, are the better team, and are on fire right now.

3. Hamels is a stud, better than Lester. But the Rays hit Lester well both games, they are hot vs. lefties right now, they are seeing it well. Hamels is a changeup pitcher, and you dont throw changeups to lefties when you are a LHP. Aki, Crawford, Pena, Hinske, etc all bat left-handed and Hamels has no effective out pitch vs. lefties which is why he struggles vs. lefties. Hamels hasnt faced or had to deal with a DH in a long time and I can remember a few instances this year where he got out of jams using the pitcher in the lineup.

4. Kazmir is a stud on lefties, giving up only 7 extra basehits this year to lefties (who bat .198 against him), and when you can neutralize Utley and Howard you have a great chance to beat the Phillies. Utley's average drops nearly 30 points vs. lefties and Howard has never had a chance in hell to hit a lefty and at times he can look downright horrible vs. lefties.

5. Rays bullpen is rested and ready to go. They dont want to drop game 1 at home.

The Red Sox were a team that the Rays had ultimate respect for. Almost like they couldnt believe they were actually going to beat them. While they have respect for the Phillies, I think they will play loose in this game. The home crowd will be rocking and the Phills will have a tough time tonight.

Rays 5
Phillies 2

BigCat · Oct 22, 2008

Make it 6-2 and we'll both be happy. BOL tonight

Iwannawin2 · Oct 22, 2008

5* is your highest play or do you go higher on games bol man if this play is anything like your 5* in football it looks real good

cjv_11 · Oct 22, 2008

already on them, threw a little more on them, lets cash it box!!

SOUTHPHILLYBUDDA6 · Oct 22, 2008

phillies in 6

phillies 6
rays 2

for tonite

y would u tell others that ur better in baseball then football..

You sure fool me especially with this pick.........

HansGruber · Oct 22, 2008

We think VERY much alike Box. Allow me to quote myself from an earlier post!

Much is being made of how the Rays have struggled v. lefties, but has anyone looked at Hamels splits? Hamels struggles vs. lefties! Check out opponents avg/obp/slg/ops numbers against him:

vs. righties .215/.261/.356/.617

vs. lefties .262/.303/.471/.774

Those are significantly worse #'s vs. lefties. Kaz is a traditional pitcher who dominates the lefty/lefty matchup. When you can nullify Utley and Howard the Phils will struggle to score.

GL man

cjv_11 · Oct 22, 2008

southphilly, do you ever see his college world series plays?? box is a capper i follow blindly if im not already on a side, one of the best around, keep it up man

GameBreaker · Oct 22, 2008

SOUTHPHILLYBUDDA6 said:
phillies in 6

phillies 6
rays 2

for tonite

y would u tell others that ur better in baseball then football..

You sure fool me especially with this pick.........

I just think this is a typical post of what the forum has partially become.

"SOUTHPHILLYBUDDA6" comes into someone elses thread with his homer pick of the phillies in 6, opposite side of the thread starter yet he gives no data to support his side. hilarious

SOUTHPHILLYBUDDA6 · Oct 23, 2008

NOW IS IT A HOMER PICK BECASUE I'M FROM SOUTH PHILLY????? NO!!!! ITS BECASUE I KNOW THIS TEAM AND WITH THE HOTTEST PITCHER IN THE PLAYOFFS IN HAMELS GOING TONITE IT WAS A NO BRAINER....THE PHILLIES SHOULD HAVE WON 6-2 BETTER YET THEY REALLY SHOULD HAVE PUT UP 10 ON TAMPA TONITE IF IT WERENT FOR THE BACK TO BACK NL MVP'S STINKING UP THE JOINT YET AGAIN.....JUST IMAGINE IF HOWARD AND ROLLINS GET THEIR HEADS OUT OF THEIR ASSES ALONG WITH BURRELL.....YOU GET SEE A SWEEP!!!!!!
ITS NOT BECASUE I'M A HOMER ITS BECASUE I KNOW THIS TEAM LIKE THE BACK OF MY HAND

AND REALLY WHO IS TAMPA????????

THEY R THIS YEARS ROCKIES

THEIR WORLD SERIES WAS THE REDSOXS

TOOOOOOO YOUNG AND HAMELS MADE THEM LOOK BAD AND MOYER WILL TO WATCH!!!!!!!!!!!

PLUS DONT FORGET, VEGAS NEEDS THE PHILLIES TO WIN!!!!!!!!

ope:

geno25 · Oct 23, 2008

cjv_11 said:
southphilly, do you ever see his college world series plays?? box is a capper i follow blindly if im not already on a side, one of the best around, keep it up man

stick to college world series.philles r the real deal.

cjv_11 · Oct 23, 2008

y would u even post it in someone else's thread?? make your own, its people like you who drag the good cappers away from here

cjv_11 · Oct 23, 2008

all kinds of bashers box, he made a bet and lost, forgot no one loses on this forum at all, about 99.9% sure you wouldn't be in here if philly lost would ya?

geno25 · Oct 23, 2008

sorry bro why in the hell would i bash someone.first of all i would never even bet this dudes plays.let alone bash.sound like you lost your lunch money son.sorry but blame me.

cjv_11 · Oct 23, 2008

losing yourself money not betting his plays, he'll make you a lot of money in the long run, go look at his college football records the last couple years, i got beat up on this game but i just added a little more cuz hes a guy i respect and he lost too, so does it, he'll win more than he'll lose, i can guarantee that

not blaming you at all, it just seems that this board is full of people that just pop in someones thread and post there own plays with no analysis until after the game and come back in and say they should've bet them, he may be phils next game, who knows, thats gambling

Magica · Oct 23, 2008

SOUTHPHILLYBUDDA6 said:
PLUS DONT FORGET, VEGAS NEEDS THE PHILLIES TO WIN!!!!!!!!

Yeah you sound just like the idiot who said MLB needed the CUBS TO WIN!!

VEGAS DONT NEED SHIT DUDE!!!

You think vegas works on how........ ahhhh hold on, this is the kiddie bus thread huh?

Mental midget ~ Imagine LoL

Boxslayer · Oct 23, 2008

dont sweat it cjv

it doesnt bother me. this is all about the long term

tough loss. 1 swing of the bat decided that game. all of my plays in postseason sports are 4*+ typically. phillies struggled as expected as they had horrendous ABs w/ RISP. but rays struggled as well.

back next game :103631605

SOUTHPHILLYBUDDA6 · Oct 23, 2008

magica said:
yeah you sound just like the idiot who said mlb needed the cubs to win!!

vegas dont need shit dude!!!

you think vegas works on how........ Ahhhh hold on, this is the kiddie bus thread huh?

Mental midget ~ imagine lol

another clueless guy with 40 posts not knowing how gambling works

SOUTHPHILLYBUDDA6 · Oct 23, 2008

cjv_11 said:
all kinds of bashers box, he made a bet and lost, forgot no one loses on this forum at all, about 99.9% sure you wouldn't be in here if philly lost would ya?

I'M NOT BASHING BOX----SOOOO MY MAN DONT START A THING IN ANOTHERS POST THATS NOT URS

I STATED MY OPINION

I ALWAYS FOLLOW BOXES PICKS

SO ONCE AGAIN GET A LIFE AND DONT CREATE A PROBLEM IN A THREAD THATS NOT URS....
:youmad:

TheGuarantee · Oct 23, 2008

Boxslayer said:
dont sweat it cjv

it doesnt bother me. this is all about the long term

tough loss. 1 swing of the bat decided that game. all of my plays in postseason sports are 4*+ typically. phillies struggled as expected as they had horrendous ABs w/ RISP. but rays struggled as well.

back next game

Not trying to bash by any means, I believe you probably are a good baseball capper and will look for your picks/opinion in the future...but I would argue the idea that the game was decided by one swing of the bat (though if Utley doesn't homer we might deduce that the Phils lose 2-1, though that is poor logic, it does make some sense). I'd argue that the Phillies actually were very close to blowing the game open (see Rollins third inning) and were a little unlucky...true they struggled with RISP, but I'd rather take the team who is getting guys on base at a much higher rate. Of course, considering their struggles with RISP, you could argue Tampa was one swing away from stealing the game (or perhaps one hard run down the basepaths by Upton?). Basically it was a 3-2 game and could have easily gone either way, I would just like to say that I think Philly dominated the game as they were much closer to blowing it open than the Rays.

Again, not to bash - don't listen to these clowns telling you to stick to the college world series and coming in here claiming picking the rays was some sort of indictment on your capping abilities... best of luck the rest of the series, I'll be looking for your picks.

SOUTHPHILLYBUDDA6 · Oct 23, 2008

TheGuarantee said:
Not trying to bash by any means, I believe you probably are a good baseball capper and will look for your picks/opinion in the future...but I would argue the idea that the game was decided by one swing of the bat (though if Utley doesn't homer we might deduce that the Phils lose 2-1, though that is poor logic, it does make some sense). I'd argue that the Phillies actually were very close to blowing the game open (see Rollins third inning) and were a little unlucky...true they struggled with RISP, but I'd rather take the team who is getting guys on base at a much higher rate. Of course, considering their struggles with RISP, you could argue Tampa was one swing away from stealing the game (or perhaps one hard run down the basepaths by Upton?). Basically it was a 3-2 game and could have easily gone either way, I would just like to say that I think Philly dominated the game as they were much closer to blowing it open than the Rays.

Again, not to bash - don't listen to these clowns telling you to stick to the college world series and coming in here claiming picking the rays was some sort of indictment on your capping abilities... best of luck the rest of the series, I'll be looking for your picks.

IF MY AUNT HAD BALLS SHE'D BE MY UNCEL...

THE RAYS HAD THEIR CHANCES AND THEY PHILLIES HAD THEIR CHANCES TO SCORE AT LEAST 4 TO 5 MORE RUNS
MAYBE U DIDNT WATCH THE WHOLE GAME....
:lol: