Service Plays Friday 10/24/08

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Larry Ness' 9* WAC Showdown (6-1 CFB run)

Larry easily won his Big Ten 9* on 10/18, as Oh St (-3.5) crushed Mich St, 45-7. That win was part of his current 6-1 (85.7%) run in CFB since last Thursday (10/16). Larry's biggest play in the WAC this season goes Friday, as Boise St visits San Jose St. "Don't get caught on the sidelines" for Larry's 9* WAC Showdown on Friday!


San Jose State

Jim Feist

(61) LA Kings
(62) STL Blues
Take "Under"
These defenses are decent, with both teams allowing roughly 3 goals per game. This is only the second road game for the Kings, and the offense was nonexistent in their first road game, a 3-1 loss at San Jose. This is a long road trip, as well. St. Louis has a ferocious power play, scoring at a ridiculous 40% clip, far and away the best in the league. They won't be able to keep up that kind of sizzling pace, especially against a Kings team that plays a conservative, careful offensive style, averaging 3 goals per game. The last two meetings, the Blues have scored just 4 goals against the Kings. Play the Kings/Blues under the total.

From the other thread...

BIG AL

3* San Jose St

Friday Night GOY

Spreitzer 25*- San Jose State

THE GOLDSHEET EXTRA

SAN JOSE STATE
It’s hard to ignore a recurring technical trend that extends through
parts of three seasons. But San Jose State’s success at home
cannot be overlooked, especially since HC Dick Tomey’s troopshave covered 9 straight and 11 of their last 12 at Spartan Stadium.
Which is enough evidence for us to support the Spartans when
hosting Boise State Friday night. San Jose has also caught an
updraft in recent weeks, evidenced by its three straight covers
and solid +12.25 “AFS” (“Away from Spread”) mark its last 2
games. The Spartans are also a featured Streakbuster-Lose play
this week after the Broncos failed to cover last Friday vs. Hawaii.
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WINNING POINTS

Boise State over San Jose State* by 11 (Friday)
Dick Tomey continues to bring a defensive standard to a conference not accustomed to such tactics, and note that in his only home dog outing vs. these Broncos he fell by only 23-20 as +13 two seasons ago. BOISE STATE 27-16.
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THE SPORTS REPORTER

BOISE STATE over *SAN JOSE STATE by 4
BOISE STATE, 24-20.
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THE GOLDSHEET

Boise State 25 - SAN JOSE STATE 23—Boise’s recent trips to San Jose
have been harrowing to say the least (narrow escapes in ‘04 & ‘06 almost
scuttled unbeaten Bronco reg.-season marks). Don’t expect anything different this time, not with Spartan “D” shutting off passing lanes with lockdown CBs Owens & Francies, likely forcing Boise RS frosh QB K. Moore to “matriculate” downfield in more conservative manner. Note Dick Tomey’s bunch on 9-game home cover streak! CABLE TV—ESPN2
(07-BOISE ST. 42-Sjsu 7...B.23-13 B.31/144 S.32/98 B.32/41/1/290 S.16/30/0/100 B.1 S.0) (07-BSU -25' 42-7 06-Bsu -13' 23-20 05-BSU -30' 38-21...SR: Boise State 8-0)

POINTWISE

Boise State 24 - SAN JOSE STATE 20 - (9:00 - ESPN2) -- Hard to fathom the Broncos picking off 5 Hawaii passes, & Moore clicking on 25-of-33, yet only a 20 pt win. Spartans always play their best at home: amazing +187½ pts ATS hosts since '06, covering by 19 & 10 pts TY. Can't run, but neither can their opponents
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STAT FOX THE PLATINUM SHEET


10/24/2008 (107) BOISE ST at (108) SAN JOSE ST
Dick Tomey’s teams at San Jose State have been about as reliable
as they come when playing at home, going 12-4 ATS in his tenure.
The Spartans are actually working on a 9-game home ATS winning
streak coming into this “showdown” with Boise State. So why in the
world would I go the other way and back the road favored Broncos
here? Well, how about because it is not a “showdown”. These teams
are far from equals and I’ve seen too many people trying to compare
this to the game of 2006 in which San Jose State nearly upended
Boise as a 13-point home dog. That line was more befitting of the
strength of the teams. This one is not. SJS is 5-2 but owns wins over
Cal Davis, SDSU, Hawaii, Utah St, and New Mexico St, certainly not
the elite of college football. As such, the Spartans’ StatFox Outplay Factor Rating is -2.2. Boise’s meanwhile, is +16.9. Unless you’re giving Tomey’s team 12.1 points for home field advantage, this number is off.
The Broncos are +2.1 in yards per play differential. They are an elite team. The line does not reflect it.
Play: Boise St -7
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty split with Auburn and the Rays last night.

Today it's Boise State. The deficit is 440 sirignanos.

Fairway Jay

20* GOY

Nevada

Pigskin prophet
oregon -4'
northern illinois -8

Allen Eastman

$1000.00 -105 #157 Georgia (+2) over LSU (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 25)
The Bulldogs went from being the No. 1 team in the nation to now being road underdogs in their conference? I think that we have two teams headed in opposite directions right now. The LSU Tigers have been just OK this year against not very good competition. They gave up 24 points to Mississippi State and were really fortunate to come back last week against South Carolina. Those are two nice wins, but I can't get the picture of them getting run off the field in The Swamp out of my head. Georgia is 5-2-1 ATS on the road and LSU is 2-6-1 ATS at home.

$1000.00 -105 #145 Alabama (-6) over Tennessee (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 25)
This is a great number on the No. 2 team in the country. The Crimson Tide will come out with a sense of purpose this week after a second straight lackluster second-half against Ole Miss last week. I think that the late-game swoons have given Nick Saban all the motivation that he needs to keep his team sharp and that they will dominate a Tennessee team that is ready to throw in the towel on this season. The Vols' score from last week is a bit misleading, as they were struggling through a 13-3 game before a couple fortuitous bounces and two INT's run back for touchdowns made the score look like a blowout. They will find out what a true blowout is this week.

$500.00 -103 #181 Penn State (-2.5) over Ohio State (8 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 25)
Penn State has consistently performed like one of the best teams in the country this year, and are now even better since they have gotten even better as they've gotten healthier along the defensive line. The Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and the favorite has dominated this series, covering seven out of 10 meetings. Penn State has speed on both side of the ball - the type of speed that we've seen the Buckeyes have problems with in nonconference play for years now. I think the Lions win a hard-fought contest and that we collect in the process.

$200.00 -105 #132 Arkansas (+5.5) over Mississippi (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 25)
Home underdogs are gold in the SEC and we have a live one here. Houston Nutt wants revenge on his old team, but I don't think that he'll get it this week with an Ole Miss squad that shouldn't be favored on the road against anyone. The Razorbacks have played one of the toughest schedules in the conference and now finally get a home game. The crowd will be out in full force to show their displeasure of Nutt, and that will give this Hogs team a much needed emotional lift. Arkansas is 5-1 ATS in the last six home games against the Rebels and 4-0 ATS in this series overall.

$300.00 -105#126 Pittsburgh (-9.5) over Rutgers (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 25)
Rutgers is one of the worst teams in the Big East but is still getting too much respect from oddsmakers. The Scarlet Knights are a terrible 1-10 ATS on grass and are just 2-5 ATS in conference games. The rushing attack that Pitt brings to the table is going to be too much, and I expect the Panthers to make a statement as to why they are the top dogs in the Big East.

DCI

10/24/08 Predictions
Season: 29-20 (.592)

Anaheim vs. OTTAWA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
NEW JERSEY 3, Philadelphia 2
N.Y. Rangers vs. COLUMBUS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
San Jose 3, FLORIDA 2
DETROIT 4, Atlanta 2

Friday, October 24, 2008
Western Athletic Conference
Boise State 20, SAN JOSE STATE 9

Cappers Access

SJ ST +7

Arthur Ralph Sports

148 - 92 run FRIday San Jose HOCKEY

CPAW, has anyone ever checked out "Ballins picks"? They are quite successful, And I can attest to their honesty and integrity. Food for thought.

Vegas Sports Experts

The VSE NCAA Football Power Play for Friday is:

10* Take San Jose State (+7) over Boise State (NCAA Power Play)
9:00 PM EST

San Jose State
• 5-0 ATS as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons
• 9-2 ATS vs. conference opponents the last 2 seasons
• 13-2 ATS coming off a road game over the last 3 seasons
• 8-2 ATS when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points