Service Plays Monday 11/3/08

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Hondo

Hondo, who struggled to a 7-6-1 record last week, was caught by Miss Charleen, the perennial Women's Division champette. But don't worry about Mr. Aitch; save your sympathy for the eight also-rans looking up at the leaders.

Redskins over Steelers: E-mailer E. Pugh summed up the Steelers' loss to the GiantsNew York Giants by borrowing from Joe Biden. "Three words: Safety and three interceptions." Hondo will settle for more of same Monday.

BEST BETS: Vikings, Browns, Redskins.
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Jimmy Boyd


5* MNF BEST BET on Redskins -1
So far the Steelers are 0-2 against the NFC East in 2008 and they'll fall to 0-3 on Monday Night Football. The Steelers offensive line is not as solid as it has been in the past and we knew that would be the case coming into the season with the loss of Alan Faneca. It has struggled against team with a strong pass rush like the Eagles and the Giants and that will continue to be Pitt's Achilles heel this week. The Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Monday games, 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Redskins are 22-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Take the Skins at home.
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Vegas Hotsheet

wash/Pitt - Under 36.5
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty split with the the Texans ( 5) and Packers ( 4) Sunday.

Today it's the Steelers. The deficit is 655 sirignanos.

Jim Feist

(503) DETROIT PISTONS
(504) CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
Take "Over"
Detroit is running and gunning under new coach Mike Curry, going 2-0 over the total to start the season. The Pistons are off a 117-109 victory over the Washington Wizards Saturday. Richard Hamilton finished with 24 points, while Rasheed Wallace produced 17 points, 12 rebounds and six blocks. That uptempo pace can have a cost at times: The Pistons had 15 turnovers in the first half, which the Wizards converted into 21 points. Charlotte has some good offensive pieces for new coach Larry Brown with Gerald Wallace and Jason Richardson, shooting 53% in a win over Miami. But the team defense is going to take a while to develop. Look for the visiting Pistons to control the tempo with their depth and all-around strong shooting in another high scoring tilt. Play the Pistons/Bobcats over the total.

Dave Cokin

(507) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
(508) MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
Take "(507) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS"
The Warriors have been right there in each game so far, but were ending up on the wrong side till they ran into the Nets on Saturday. Now Golden State looks to wrap up their first road trip with a win at Memphis. I think they'll do just that. The Warriors have been a terrific long term winner as road chalk while you'll be hard pressed to locate a worse home dog than the Grizzlies. Golden State is the choice.

Dr. Bob
3*Washington -2.5 or less

Cappers Access


Orlando Magic

Washington Redskins

Rocco Spacamuro

100* Wash -2.5

This is paid and confirmed

Matt Fargo Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, November 03, 2008
$40.00 Guaranteed: Fargo is coming off a Sunday he would like to forget about as his plays went 2-4 ATS but there is no reason to panic! Fargo is still 35-23 ATS (60.3%) on the year and the best always bounce back which Fargo will do here! He has been tearing it up with his totals this year, going 10-2-1 overall (83.3%) including 3-0 (100%) in the NFL! His Total of the Week keeps the record perfect! 11/3/2008

Pittsburgh Steelers at Washington Redskins 8:30 PM ET
Under 37 Pittsburgh Steelers/Washington Redskins -110

**7** NFL Total of the Week (100% YTD)** It is Monday night and so far this season, the over has been the ticket with seven of the eight games surpassing the number with one push in the mix as well. The public not only likes overs to begin with but on Monday night when even more of the public is wagering, more over action is coming in. Now when a trend like this comes into play, we will see even more over action. This number has dropped from an opening of 38 but that is due to early sharp action and not public action.

We have two of the best defenses squaring off tonight as the Steelers are currently 1st in the NFL in total defense, allowing 236 ypg while the Redskins check in at 4th, allowing 278.1 ypg. The two combined to allow an average of just over 33 ppg and neither team is going to yield a whole lot. After allowing 24 points two times in their first four games, the Redskins have allowed 16 ppg over their last four games. Pittsburgh meanwhile has not allowed more than 21 points in any game this season.

The Washington offense has been surprisingly strong as it is 7th in the league in total offense, averaging 364.3 ypg. The problem has been that scoring points has not come easy as the Redskins are averaging 20.6 ppg which is 24th in the NFL. They have a 17.66 YPPT (yard per point) ratio which is the third highest in the league. As a comparison, the other four teams in the top five are Oakland, Kansas City, Cincinnati and St. Louis. They are 29th, 26th, 32nd and 30th in total offense so the Washington ranking of 6th is flawed.

The Steelers are 25th in total offense as they have not been able to get any sort of consistency together. They put up solid point totals against the Bengals and Texans, scoring 38 points in each of those games, but those two defenses are not strong at all. Pittsburgh has faced four teams in the top ten in the league in total defense and it has averaged 14.8 ppg in those games in regulation, not counting the three points scored in overtime against the Ravens. This offensive line is a mess and it will show again tonight. 7* Under Pittsburgh Steelers/Washington Redskins

The Vegas Steam Line

Winner for Monday: Take CLEVELAND +2½

1 2008-11-02 Ron Raymond's 5* Steelers vs. Redskins MNF Winner!
Pick # 1 Pittsburgh Steelers / Washington Redskins Under 36.5 -110

Brandon Lang

MONDAY
10 Dime - Redskins

Jimmy The Moose

Game: Chicago Bulls at Orlando Magic Nov 3 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: under

Reason: Chicago has played under the total in 2 of their 3 games this season. In their last 10 games dating back to last season the under is a profitable 8-2. The Bulls have played under the total in 7 of their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. Orlando has also played the under in 2 of their first 3 games. In their last 9 games vs. Eastern Conference opponents the under is 7-2. The team's have played the under in 3 straight meetings and in 5 of their last 6 games. Play the under.

Pointwise

NFL KEY RELEASES

5--WASHINGTON over Pittsburgh 22-16

Winning Points

Monday, November 3

**PREFERRED
*Philadelphia over Sacramento by 20
This is the Kings’ fourth away matchup in six days. Andre Miller is one of the best
point guards in the Eastern Conference. The Kings can’t match Miller or Samuel
Dalembert and Elton Brand up front while still missing suspended Brad Miller.
PHILADELPHIA 110-90.



Detroit over *Charlotte by 5
Larry Brown should have his Bobcats fired up versus his old team. The Pistons have
too much veteran savvy, though, for the Bobcats to pull the upset. DETROIT 95-90.
*Orlando over Chicago by 10


The Magic came into the season covering 70 percent of the time during their past 22
home games. ORLANDO 105-95.



*Memphis over Golden State by 2
Time for O.J. Mayo to shine. The Warriors are on the road for the third time in four
nights. MEMPHIS 109-108.


*Dallas over Cleveland by 2
The Cavaliers got past a mental hurdle by beating the Mavericks in Dallas last season
for the first time since 2000. DALLAS 93-91.


*Los Angeles Clippers over Utah by 1
This is a great spot for Baron Davis to take over if Deron Williams remains out, or is
less than 100 percent because of an ankle injury. LA CLIPPERS 101-100.

TOP STATFOX POWER RATING
EDGES:
PITTSBURGH (+3) over WASHINGTON 9

Computer crushers
washington

Spreitzer 25*- Was/Pitt Under