Service Plays Wednesday 11/5/08

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Dr. Bob

BALL ST. (-9.5) 28 Northern Ill 19
05:00 PM Pacific Time Wednesday, Nov-05 - Stats Matchup
Ball State is a perfect 8-0 straight up this season and 7-1 ATS, but the Cardinals’ best win was over a mediocre Navy squad when star WR Dante Love was still catching Nate Davis’ passes. Davis and Love had a special connection, as they racked up 460 yards on 32 passes intended for Love (28 of them were caught). Davis was one of the highest rated quarterbacks in the nation before Love was injured midway through the Indiana game in week 4, but Davis has been just mediocre without Love, averaging 7.2 yards per pass play against teams that would combine to allow 7.2 yppp to an average team. Northern Illinois, meanwhile, is much better offensively now that starting quarterback Chandler Harnish is back under center and the Huskies are the MAC’s best defensive team – allowing just 4.6 yards per play to teams that would combine to average 4.9 yppl against an average team. My math model only favors Ball State by 4 ½ points after making the appropriate adjustments, but the Cardinals apply to an 85-31-3 ATS late season momentum situation that I’d hate to buck. I’ll pass on this game.


AKRON (-4.5) 32 Toledo 22
05:00 PM Pacific Time Wednesday, Nov-05 - Stats Matchup
Akron has the advantage on both sides of the ball in this contest and the Zips qualify in a 138-71-8 ATS situation that is 22-6 ATS for teams coming off a bye. Akron is 0.2 yards per play better than average offensively, averaging 5.8 yppl against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl to an average team and the Zips have a 0.3 yppl advantage over a pretty solid Toledo defense that rates at 0.1 yppl worse than average (5.6 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.5 yppl against an average team). Akron also has the edge when the Rockets have the ball, as Toledo rates at 0.5 yppl worse than average offensively while the Zips are at 0.2 yppl worse than average defensively. Akron should be favored by 7 points in this game, the general situation is favorable and Toledo is just 7-20-2 ATS in their last 29 lined road games. I’ll consider Akron a Strong Opinion at -6 points or less.
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Vernon Croy's *25 Unit CFB MAC GAME OF THE YEAR**:

25 Units, Take Northern Illinois ATS, Grab the points and take the Huskies as my CFB MAC Game of the Year.
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Wild Bill

Over 47 Ball St/No Illinois (5 units)
Over 54 1/2 Toledo/Akron (5 units)

jeffersonsports

early release for sunday

nfl
philadelphia eagles -2.5 -125

LuckyDaySports (new service)
COMP

N. Illinois/Ball St. UNDER (NCAA)

Dontcallmejerom


Bonus Play: Spurs -4


I contacted this guy and he gave me a free week of NBA plays as a trial. So I will post them when I get them. He is "Customizing" my monthly package for me. HA! :cripwalk::cripwalk:

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Suns (-5) Tuesday night.

Today it's Toledo. The deficit is 555 sirignanos.

Dontcallmejerom----- from wager line


PORT +7 at UTAH -- The Blazers beat this team 3 out of 4 times last year SU. Oden injury non factor. No Deron Williams for the Jazz. No play on the total, but I will take the points and back the Blazers.

SA -4 at MIN-- are the Spurs this BAD. also Bonus Play**


MEMP at SAC -- Kings missing Miller and Garcia..... System Play over the total. 194.5

SUNS at IND-- Suns cool off a bit tonight after shooting 63% last night. Travel day and the PAcers are decent. +3.5

Jimmy The Moose

Arthur Ralph Sports

Wednesday Utah Jazz

igz1 sports

CFB
3* No Illionois +10 (-110)

NBA
3* Over 201 (-110) Phoenix vs Indiana

Good Luck !

James Betting Expert:

Wednesday, November 05, 2008
$45.00: Another Easy winner last night with Buffalo crushing Miami-Ohio, as we picked up another 10 Units for Betting Expert members.

Tonights card has two plays on it, lets get after them again.

10 Unit - Sacramento Kings -3 10:00 EST
5 Unit - San Antonio Spurs -4.5 8:00 EST

Frank Patron - 7500* Akron

Brandon Lang

WEDNESDAY
5 Dime - Ball State

FREE - Akron

LVTR

Northern Illinois +9.5


Indiana Pacers +3.5

well, I bought the College football package.

DontcallmeJerom

NCAAFB-- Northern Illinois +9.5 paid and confirmed

kelso

5 Northern Illinois (+9 ½) over BALL STATE

MONEYLOCKOFTHEDAY


3 Units Clippers +15
2 Units Grizzlies +3.5
2 Units Suns -3

SPORTS ADVISORS

NBA

Detroit (3-0, 1-2 ATS) at Toronto (3-0, 2-1 ATS)

Allen Iverson, acquired in a blockbuster trade with the Nuggets on Monday, is expected to make his Pistons debut as Detroit visits Toronto in a battle of unbeaten teams.

The Pistons sent point guard Chauncey Billups and forward Antonio McDyess to Denver in exchange for Iverson on Monday afternoon, then went out and trounced the Bobcats 101-83 as a 3½-point road chalk. Detroit has reached triple digits in all three of its games, shooting 48.8 percent from the field as a team while averaging 106 points per contest.

Toronto is coming off a pair of four-point victories over the Warriors at home (112-108 in overtime on Friday) and the Bucks on the road (91-87 on Saturday). The Raptors failed to cash as a seven-point chalk against Golden State, but prevailed as a one-point underdog in Milwaukee. Like the Pistons, Toronto has gotten off to a solid start offensively, averaging 99.3 points per contest while shooting 47.7 percent from the field, including a whopping 54.5 percent from three-point land.

Detroit has won four of the last five meetings in this rivalry and is 5-1 ATS in the last six. Going back to April 2006, the visitor is on a 7-1 SU roll in this series (5-3 ATS), and the favorite has cashed in five consecutive meetings.

The Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games dating to the 2008 playoffs and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 when playing on one day of rest, but they’ve failed to cover in nine of their past 12 on Wednesdays. Meanwhile, Toronto is 35-16 ATS in its last 51 on Wednesday, but the squad is mired in an 11-23 ATS slump overall.

The over is 4-1 in Detroit’s last five games overall (3-0 this year), but the under is 11-5 in its last 16 on the highway. For Toronto, the under streaks include 5-1 overall, 5-1-1 at home, 5-0 against the Eastern Conference and 27-9-1 versus the Central Division. Finally, the under is 5-2 in the last seven clashes between these squads.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


Chicago (2-2, 3-1 ATS) at Cleveland (2-2, 3-1 ATS)

Two Central Division rivals clash for the first time this season, as the Bulls pay a visit to the Quicken Loans Arena for a showdown against LeBron James and the Cavaliers.

Chicago has alternated SU wins and losses in its first four games, most recently falling 96-93 at Orlando on Monday. However, the Bulls did cash as an eight-point road underdog, improving to 5-1 ATS going back to the end of last season. Since tallying 108 points in a season-opening home rout of the Bucks, Chicago has been limited to 89.7 ppg in its last three.

The Cavaliers return home after splitting a quick two-game trip to New Orleans and Dallas, losing 104-92 to the Hornets on Saturday before crushing the Mavericks 100-81 as a four-point underdog on Monday. Cleveland is on an 8-1 ATS tear going back to last year’s Eastern Conference finals, including a 4-0 SU and ATS at home.

Despite an otherwise dismal 2007-08 season, Chicago did take the season series from Cleveland last year, going 3-1 SU and ATS while scoring at least 100 points in all three victories. The home team is 6-3 SU and ATS in the last nine matchups between these rivals and 13-5 ATS in the last 18. Also, the SU winner has cashed in each of the last 10 head-to-head battles.

The Bulls are off to an 0-2 start on the road (1-1 ATS), but they have cashed in four straight against Central Division foes and they’re 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games after a SU defeat. Meanwhile, in addition to its ongoing ATS streaks of 8-1 overall and 4-0 at home, Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games when playing on one day of rest and 7-0 ATS in its last seven against the Eastern Conference. However, LeBron James and Co. have failed to cash in five straight against divisional rivals.

Chicago sports under streaks of 9-2 overall, 4-1 on the road, 5-0 when going on one day of rest and 8-2 against the Eastern Conference. Also, the Cavs are on under runs of 16-7 overall, 20-6 at home, 15-6 against the East and 5-2 in divisional contests. Lastly, the under is 6-2 in the last eight Bulls-Cavaliers battles at Quicken Loans Arena.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEVELAND and UNDER


Atlanta (2-0 SU and ATS) at New Orleans (3-0, 2-1 ATS)

The Hawks, who have started off a season with consecutive victories for the first time this decade, figure to have a tough time making it three in a row when they visit the undefeated Hornets.

Atlanta is 2-0 for the first time since 1998 and hasn’t started a season with three straight victories since winning its first 11 in a row the year prior. The Hawks tipped off with a 99-85 upset of Orlando as an eight-point underdog a week ago and followed that with Saturday’s 95-88 win over the 76ers as a 2½-point favorite. Defense has carried the team so far, holding the Magic and Sixers to a combined 39 percent shooting (24.4 percent from three-point range).

The Hornets have put up 108, 108 and 104 points in their first three games, including a pair of double-digit routs of the Suns (108-95 on the road) and Cavaliers (104-92 at home) in the last two. New Orleans, which is seeking its second consecutive 4-0 start to a season, is shooting 48.3 percent from the field while making exactly half of its three-point tries.

The Hornets have swept the season series from Atlanta the last two years, going 4-0 ATS in the process (3-0 ATS as a favorite). In the two meetings in New Orleans last year, the Hornets prevailed 107-100 as a 6½-point favorite and 116-101 as an 8½-point chalk. The SU winner is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 series clashes.

Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last seven overall going back to last year’s first-round playoff loss to Boston. Otherwise, though, the Hawks are mired in ATS slumps of 1-5 on the road, 1-5 against the Southwest Division and 5-11 on Wednesdays. As for the Hornets, they sport a bunch of positive pointspread streaks, including 49-24 at home, 39-19-3 versus the Eastern Conference, 6-2-1 against the Southeast Division and 37-16-1 on Wednesdays.

The over is on runs of 9-3 for the Hawks on Wednesdays, 5-1 for the Hawks against the Western Conference, 11-5 for the Hawks after a SU win, 10-2-1 for New Orleans against the Eastern Conference and 4-1 for New Orleans in Wednesday contests. Finally, the last five meetings between these teams on the Hornets’ home floor have topped the total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NEW ORLEANS and OVER