Highest Pittsburgh total all year was 44.5, they havent still given up 330 yds game

Iceman · Jan 18, 2009

and some 47.5's out there. What a joke. Way too high.

Actually should be fun watching this matchup.

Betallsports · Jan 18, 2009

Iceman said:
and some 47.5's out there. What a joke. Way too high.

Actually should be fun watching this matchup.

I said the same thing in the NFL forum. Some people think it's the Right #

krk1030 · Jan 18, 2009

Cards wont get 50 rushing yards. They will be throwing all day.

nimue77 · Jan 18, 2009

Everyone I see has 47, no 47.5
Maybe some rinky dink books have 47.5
Would be all over u47.5 if it was there.

Muddy · Jan 18, 2009

Didnt they give up 300 yards vs Tenn????????????????????

gijoe · Jan 18, 2009

ice. u called it. you said the steelers all the way

steaktartar · Jan 18, 2009

its a SB ice........teams have no next week........when they are behind and lay down like they do all year they wont in a SB.....they have been adding 3 points to SB lines for 30 years now...........i agree even 44 seems smidge high but by maybe a point its ok

Iceman · Jan 18, 2009

steak tartar said:
its a SB ice........teams have no next week........when they are behind and lay down like they do all year they wont in a SB.....they have been adding 3 points to SB lines for 30 years now...........i agree even 44 seems smidge high but by maybe a point its ok

I agree and I was prepared for that plus the public loves too bet the over angle on big TV games but this total should be 40/41. Its waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay too high.

Iceman · Jan 18, 2009

nimue77 said:
Everyone I see has 47, no 47.5
Maybe some rinky dink books have 47.5
Would be all over u47.5 if it was there.

I hear ya. Keep looking. I dont see many but I found one so far. The Mirage in town has it also, may have too take a ride down there.

47 is a key number.

steaktartar · Jan 18, 2009

Iceman said:
I agree and I was prepared for that plus the public loves too bet the over angle on big TV games but this total should be 40/41. Its waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay too high.

nah these teams good weather reg season 43 or so......its ok

Railbird · Jan 18, 2009

Ice,

You need to rethink your posistion, you like over 47 today. Pitt has played nobodys all year

Iceman · Jan 18, 2009

Look I am not saying I love the bet, god knows my plays with totals werent anything special this year in NFL but line movement wise I am saying this will never hit 47.5 again so if you like under bet it now. 47 is somewhat a key number. Look for it and if you can find it bet it. That is what I have did. No way this should 47.5.

Steelers havent allowed 4 yards per play this year, only one team has ever done that in the modern NFL. Their defense is incredibile. No way

TheTribe · Jan 18, 2009

Railbird said:
Ice,

You need to rethink your posistion, you like over 47 today. Pitt has played nobodys all year

Yea they only had the toughest schedule this year.....

hno:

TomGshotput · Jan 18, 2009

based just on offense/defense matchups 40.5 would be about right. The chance of points off turnovers could put it close to 435. Is the SuperBowl effect really worth that much?

Iceman · Jan 18, 2009

TomGshotput said:
based just on offense/defense matchups 40.5 would be about right. The chance of points off turnovers could put it close to 435. Is the SuperBowl effect really worth that much?

That is exactly what my math model says and I havent been this far off a NFL total all year I imagine. I added the 3 extra or so for public SB bias, etc and still way too high.

steaktartar · Jan 18, 2009

bet under 47 for all you can then if it should be 43(with biases) figured in..........books come SB sunday as you know will most likely be on your side

Iceman · Jan 18, 2009

steak tartar said:
bet under 47 for all you can then if it should be 43(with biases) figured in..........books come SB sunday as you know will most likely be on your side

That is what I want but really need the extra .5 point. 47.5 is what I am in for pretty big right now but want more and think those days are long gone. Want to play back most of it over 44 or so. That is at least the plan though.

I had under 48.5 and over 46.s az/philly game today but lost money being heavy on the under. Looking for the same type thing. We shall see.

DesertDevil · Jan 18, 2009

Iceman said:
That is what I want but really need the extra .5 point. 47.5 is what I am in for pretty big right now but want more and think those days are long gone. Want to play back most of it over 44 or so. That is at least the plan though.

I had under 48.5 and over 46.s az/philly game today but lost money being heavy on the under. Looking for the same type thing. We shall see.

Just be careful Ice. This Cardinal offense is on a mission.

Pitt will score its share of points too.

ON TO TAMPA!

nimue77 · Jan 18, 2009

What happens in the game is irrelevant. Will have no problem covering u47.5 (-110). Can already get over 47 +105 and I reckon it will get better. 47 side is worth about 7.5 cents according to Pinnacle drop down menu, so It' already good.

Wildcat Coach said:
Just be careful Ice. This Cardinal offense is on a mission.

Pitt will score its share of points too.

ON TO TAMPA!

D2bets · Jan 19, 2009

Arizona will throw throw throw and Pitt will too....SB's just tend to have a lot of points usually. I think I'd have made it 45/46, but this is not too far off. 40/41 way too low.

Highest Pittsburgh total all year was 44.5, they havent still given up 330 yds game

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