Take Pitt - 6 1/2

kermit16 · Jan 19, 2009

I really don't care who you like . I saw Pitt - 6 1/2 at the Palms here in Vegas. Grab it while it's there ! Hilton already has the Steelers -7. No way this line stays at - 6 1/2 IMHO Steelers are a National Team. I see - 7 1/2 sooner than later. We shall see !

Hitman26 · Jan 19, 2009

Thanks King. I like it.

Muddy · Jan 19, 2009

Hines Ward injury?

earl · Jan 19, 2009

hines or not, im still scratchin my head about how low this line is. i just dont get it :think2:

Fishhead · Jan 19, 2009

earl said:
hines or not, im still scratchin my head about how low this line is. i just dont get it :think2:

-7 is a SOLID number

If you like Pitt, lay -6.5........if you like Ari, take the +7.

FYI, many wiseguys moved the game from +7 down to +6.5 late yesterday.....

I think over the next two weeks -7 is going to prove to be a very, very solid number on this game.

Fishhead · Jan 19, 2009

Fishhead said:
-7 is a SOLID number

If you like Pitt, lay -6.5........if you like Ari, take the +7.

FYI, many wiseguys moved the game from +7 down to +6.5 late yesterday.....

I think over the next two weeks -7 is going to prove to be a very, very solid number on this game.

Right now the consensus is basically........

+6.5 -105
-6.5 -115

This after many books opened the game at -7 flat.

If I were booking the game I would have opened the game at -7 and rather then go down to -6.5, just moved the price on the -7 spread as it is my belief that this will be a solid number over the next few days and probably all the way leading up to the Superbowl.

MadTiger · Jan 19, 2009

If you like Pitt, then you should be all over this number.

kermit16 · Jan 19, 2009

Another way of looking at it is ask yourself this question ..Will the final line settle at -6 ? I think not. Better chance of this line settling at -7 and perhaps even - 7 1/2.

Fishhead · Jan 19, 2009

kermit16 said:
Another way of looking at it is ask yourself this question ..Will the final line settle at -6 ? I think not. Better chance of this line settling at -7 and perhaps even - 7 1/2.

Agree

On a line of -6.5........a relatively better chance of going to -7 than -6.

As stated earlier, if you like Pitt at this time, lay the -6.5.........if you like Arizona, wait for the +7 and grab it quickly.

Again, my belief is -7 over the next 13 days is going to prove to be a very solid number.

seriousaddiction · Jan 19, 2009

at the beginning of the season I saw Pitt, NE, Indy and SD and saw extreme value in the early super bowl line at -6.5...loaded up on the AFC...what were the odds it would land at 6.5

what makes me more sick is two weeks ago it was AFC -.5 and I layed off ..wanted to double up but couldn't pull the trigger

DesertDevil · Jan 19, 2009

Very hard capping any game involving the Cards at this point.

People make the mistake at looking at the regular season.

Cant do it. This team is not the same team they were a month ago.

Everyone said the Cards couldnt stop Michael Turner...

Everyone said the Cards couldnt win on the East Coast...

Eveyone said the Cards would not score 20 on the 3rd ranked defense in the NFL...

Starting to see a pattern here?

Fishhead · Jan 19, 2009

Wildcat Coach said:
Very hard capping any game involving the Cards at this point.

People make the mistake at looking at the regular season.

Cant do it. This team is not the same team they were a month ago.

Everyone said the Cards couldnt stop Michael Turner...

Everyone said the Cards couldnt win on the East Coast...

Eveyone said the Cards would not score 20 on the 3rd ranked defense in the NFL...

Starting to see a pattern here?

We are not talking capping here, we are talking linemaking.

If my thoughts were that Arizona were going to win the game, I would still make Pitt -7.

DesertDevil · Jan 19, 2009

Fishhead said:
We are not talking capping here, we are talking linemaking.

If my thoughts were that Arizona were going to win the game, I would still make Pitt -7.

I understand. I would have the line at 7 as well. That seems like a fair number.

bellyputter · Jan 19, 2009

I just laid -6 -15, and last night took +8 -10. I probably won't even watch the game.

Fishhead · Jan 19, 2009

bellyputter said:
i just laid -6 -15, and last night took +8 -10. I probably won't even watch the game.

congrats!

Creeg · Jan 19, 2009

Fish, who you like?

Dante · Jan 19, 2009

Creeg said:
Fish, who you like?

I would guess he likes Pitt.... kermit likes pitt and he is a wise man

My steelers roll!:toast:

nimue77 · Jan 19, 2009

Where they heck did you get either of those #'s?
I'm guessing SIA +8 and some book who your taking the risk of them not paying you -6.

Fishhead said:
congrats!

oldmanTED · Jan 19, 2009

Already on it! This one gets ugly somewhat like the old days. Steelers by double-digits.

D2bets · Jan 19, 2009

Fishhead said:
-7 is a SOLID number

If you like Pitt, lay -6.5........if you like Ari, take the +7.

FYI, many wiseguys moved the game from +7 down to +6.5 late yesterday.....

I think over the next two weeks -7 is going to prove to be a very, very solid number on this game.

Taking +7 is square. Buy the hook for 10 cents up to 7.5.