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Thread: ***NCAAB Computer Picks III*** LEAN MACHINE & POD's

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  1. #1 ***NCAAB Computer Picks III*** LEAN MACHINE & POD's 
    RX Senior Mistermj's Avatar
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    I'm still trying to build an NCAAB system...I've been trying for years. This is my third and final attempt this year. I like it...but do not assume it will do well.

    Lets see what happens.

    The computer scans all the daily matchups for the leans... and then spits out the POD's which are the best picks from all the leans.

    The leans may be useful by themselves...or may help others.

    I suggest caution until we have a record established.

    Leans Record (Not posted, documented at Wagerline)
    9-7-0 56.25% +650 ViewView




    POD's Record (Not posted)
    Denver W
    Rhode Island W
    Troy W
    Penns St. L

    3-1
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  2. #2  
    RX Senior Mistermj's Avatar
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    Leans

    NCAAB

    Saturday, February 7

    Game Score Status Pick Amount
    Kent St. - 2:00 PM ET Ball St. +3.5 500
    Ball St. -
    George Mason - 2:00 PM ET George Mason -4 500
    James Madison -
    Kansas St. - 4:00 PM ET Texas A&M -3 500
    Texas A&M -
    Southern Illinois - 4:00 PM ET Southern Illinois +2 500
    Missouri St. -
    Delaware - 4:00 PM ET Delaware +3 500
    Georgia St -
    Appalachian St. - 4:30 PM ET Elon University -2.5 500
    Elon University -
    UAB - 6:00 PM ET UAB -2 500
    Southern Mississippi -
    Old Dominion - 7:00 PM ET Drexel -2 500
    Drexel -
    Samford - 7:00 PM ET Samford +3.5 500
    Wofford -
    Troy - 7:00 PM ET Troy +0 500
    Florida Atlantic -
    Central Florida - 7:00 PM ET Central Florida -2 500
    East Carolina -
    Butler - 7:00 PM ET Wright St. +2 500
    Wright St. -
    Minnesota - 8:00 PM ET Ohio St. -4.5 500
    Ohio St. -
    Baylor - 8:00 PM ET Texas Tech +4.5 500
    Texas Tech -
    Bradley - 8:05 PM ET Bradley +3 500
    Drake -
    Murray St. - 8:30 PM ET Murray St. +1.5 500
    Austin Peay -
    Northern Arizona - 10:05 PM ET Eastern Washington -1.5 500
    Eastern Washington -
    Pepperdine - 10:05 PM ET Pepperdine -1 500
    Loyola Marymount -
    UC Santa Barbara - 10:05 PM ET UC Irvine -2 500
    UC Irvine -
    Idaho - 11:05 PM ET Hawaii -2.5 500
    ===============================================

    Best of the LEANS are todays POD's

    Bradley +3

    Murray St. +1.5


    Please use caution and good luck!
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  3. #3  
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    I really hope you can figure something out. i always look at all your selections. Honestly these 2 picks dont look that appealing. that said I'm crossing my fingures that you found something
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  4. #4  
    RX Senior roc18's Avatar
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    Wow, I hope this system works.
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  5. #5  
    RX Owns dice711's Avatar
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    Looks like the leans went 8-10-1 for what it's worth.
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  6. #6  
    RX Senior Mistermj's Avatar
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    NCAAB

    Sunday, February 8

    Game Score Status Pick Amount
    Creighton - 2:05 PM ET Creighton +1.5 500
    Northern Iowa -
    Maryland - 7:30 PM ET Georgia Tech -2.5 500
    Georgia Tech -


    Todays leans...no POD's.
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  7. #7  
    RX Senior Mistermj's Avatar
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    This is still a work in progress...better to just watch for now.

    I've made another adjustment to this system and added a filter.

    I want less leans...but better quality...This will also give us less POD's...but I'm hoping we can get the leans above 55% ATS and be able to play them as well.

    We should have a better idea after this next week. I feel like I'm close to having something here...but so far I just can't get it nailed down in NCAA.

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  8. #8  
    RX Junior
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    Did you major in computer science or something dealing with computers?
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  9. #9  
    RX Senior Mistermj's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by collegerookie View Post
    Did you major in computer science or something dealing with computers?
    No ...not at all.

    But my girlfriend did...that helps sometimes.
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  10. #10  
    RX Senior Mistermj's Avatar
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    One lean today

    NCAAB

    Monday, February 9

    Game Score Status Pick Amount
    Murray St. - 8:00 PM ET Murray St. -3 500
    Eastern Illinois -

    Leans Record: 18-19-1

    POD's:3-3
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  11. #11  
    RX Member brewser2's Avatar
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    is that a POD?
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  12. #12  
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    Quote Originally Posted by brewser2 View Post
    is that a POD?
    "One lean today"

    No it isnt
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  13. #13  
    RX Senior Mistermj's Avatar
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    Just leans today...no POD's.

    NCAAB

    Tuesday, February 10

    Game Score Status Pick Amount
    Michigan St - 7:00 PM ET Michigan St -4 500
    Michigan -
    Seton Hall - 9:00 PM ET Seton Hall -1 500
    DePaul -

    Record:
    Leans
    19-19-1

    POD's 3-3
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  14. #14  
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    Good luck mj
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  15. #15  
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    hey MJ...i was looking at the card last night and these 2 jumped out at me, so I like the leans. Feelin good about playing these.
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  16. #16  
    RX Senior Mistermj's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by apacholikewhoa View Post
    hey MJ...i was looking at the card last night and these 2 jumped out at me, so I like the leans. Feelin good about playing these.
    I made a pretty big adjustment to this system...since the adjustment the leans are 2-1 and there hasn't been any POD's yet.

    We'll see how the rest of this week goes.
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  17. #17  
    RX Senior roc18's Avatar
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    Hah 2-0 good job, I actually tailed these tonight.
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  18. #18  
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    good job. i was on seton hall with you. what ever changes you made look good so far, keep it up
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  19. #19 Does this have value? 
    RX Senior JimmyJet's Avatar
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    I am trying to see if betting on teams that have covered the spread by more than 10 in their last game vs a team that has failed to cover the spread in their last game by more than 10 is a winning proposition. I started on Feb7th and so far have a record of 15-5. The plays for Feb 11th would be Charleston and Rice. I have not back tracked it to see how it has done in the past. Do you think something so simple can work over the long run? I was referred to you by warpath and am following your picks through a subscription and now this forum. I hope you will help me to win more often. Thanks for your work and glad to meet you......JJ
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  20. #20  
    RX Senior Mistermj's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyJet View Post
    I am trying to see if betting on teams that have covered the spread by more than 10 in their last game vs a team that has failed to cover the spread in their last game by more than 10 is a winning proposition. I started on Feb7th and so far have a record of 15-5. The plays for Feb 11th would be Charleston and Rice. I have not back tracked it to see how it has done in the past. Do you think something so simple can work over the long run? I was referred to you by warpath and am following your picks through a subscription and now this forum. I hope you will help me to win more often. Thanks for your work and glad to meet you......JJ
    The short answer is yes...something that simple can have value. The trick is how to use it...and refine it.

    Nothing gives greater satisfaction than winning with a system you have designed yourself. If you need more help feel free to PM me.
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  21. #21  
    RX Senior Mistermj's Avatar
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    Todays leans...and Oklahoma qualifies as a POD.


    I would not put much faith in the value of a POD yet. These picks are completely unproven and experimental.

    If you still wish to play them, I would advise playing all of them for small wagers. I think that is the safest method. Spread your risk.

    Since adjusting the system on Feb 8 the leans are 4-1...which may or may not mean anything.This would be the first POD after the adjustment.


    Wednesday, February 11

    Game Score Status Pick Amount
    Bowling Green - 7:00 PM ET Bowling Green -4 500
    Toledo -
    Charlotte - 9:00 PM ET Saint Louis -3.5 500
    Saint Louis -
    Oklahoma - 9:00 PM ET Oklahoma -3.5 500
    Baylor -


    Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
    02/10/09 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
    02/09/09 1-0-0 100.00% +500 Detail
    02/08/09 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    02/07/09 8-11-1 42.11% -2050 Detail
    02/05/09 9-7-0 56.25% +650 Detai

    Overall Record:
    21-19-1 52.50% +50

    POD's :
    3-3
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  22. #22  
    RX Senior roc18's Avatar
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    good luck bro
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  23. #23  
    RX Owns dice711's Avatar
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    Good luck MJ. Pretty soon this thread will have 200,000 views and you'll be the man during March Madness 2010.
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  24. #24  
    RX Owns dice711's Avatar
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    I'm not calling it 3-0 early but at least we can say you were on the right side of all 3 games. I think that's a great start. Hopefully the chips will fall on your side in the last 5 minutes of these last 2 games. I know we're all rooting for a another powerful computer system from the upper Mid-West.
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  25. #25  
    RX Senior Mistermj's Avatar
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    3-0...things are looking up here.
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