Interesting Literature on Handicapping Baseball?

I've put a lot of effort this offseason into developing a simple yet effective, statistics based formula to measure a teams efficiency versus each opponent and SP. I'm fairly confident in the tool that I've developed (if your interested in the details of what I've come up with, read my blog post), but there is plenty of time before the season gets underway.

With my spare time, I decided that I'd try to find some books that analyze the mathematics and statistics of handicapping baseball/sports in general. Anyone know of any good books/internet posts?



On another note, pm me if your bored and have any suggestions or critiques about my formulas. For instance, I've been quietly debating myself about what to do about games that go into an absurd amount of extra innings. This would no doubt skew the results, but those extra innings represent more data that we can use to build up our database on that team.

tl;dr...someone mentioned baseball prospectus. Anything else you all find useful/enlightening?

try : Betting Baseball - Michael Murray
and The Book - Tom Tango

by far the best thread on here was pops over/ under thread it was a season long thread about two years ago on here that looked at weather,umpire histories,etc.. and used an excel spreadsheet to keep track of the info.maybe search pops69,I think that was his name.alot of people say winning systems is a great guy for o/u .

baseball is so long and so hard to find value ,that I really like to watch people who can cap totals

magillagorilla said:

by far the best thread on here was pops over/ under thread it was a season long thread about two years ago on here that looked at weather,umpire histories,etc.. and used an excel spreadsheet to keep track of the info.maybe search pops69,I think that was his name.alot of people say winning systems is a great guy for o/u .

baseball is so long and so hard to find value ,that I really like to watch people who can cap totals

Click to expand...

I remember reading pops69's thread off and on a few years ago. I wasn't a member then though. If I remember correctly, that thread was very cryptic unless you had the files and knew what everyone was working with. Nice avatar btw :toast:

Maniilaq,

Been reading through Michael Murray's book. It's given me a lot of different insights to look into. Thanks for the input.