BillHill999's play of the day

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Recapping yesterday, Braves / Phils under 8.5 hit comfortably to start the season off right here.
I also stated in the thread that I would use the Braves s/u, I did, but I won't count that in my YTD tally.
(also had Phils under 4 team runs)
Bringing us to todays card.

YTD 1-0 + 3 Units +300.00
Red Sox (-140) / Diamonbacks (-165) 2 team money line parlay

Using two top flight aces in Webb with Arizona, and Beckett with Boston in their home openers.

With all due respect to Shields and his fine season last year, Beckett is trouble for the Rays.
Career wise, the Rays roster only hit .224 against Beckett and gets on base to the average of .272.
As I always preach, no baserunner = no runs.
Shields lifetime numbers against the Sox are OK, not great, and the numbers suggest that the Red Sox are .75 runs better here.
Home boys get it done, 5-2.

Loving Webb in the second leg of my parlay more than Beckett.
Coming off a monster 22 win season, Webb usually dominates the Rocks to a tune of .227 average against.
The only Rockie that gives Webb trouble is Brad Hawpe who has gone deep 4 times against him, 13 RBI's in 47 AB's. But this isn't Coors today.
At first glance I thought Webb's .323 OBA against the Rocks is a tad high, but for some reason he won't pitch to Hawpe, walking him 8 times.
Webb will pitch around Helton, walking him 16 times, but that's it, the rest of the lineup he owns.
D'Back sticks should get to Cook to the tune of 4 or 5 runs, Rocks will put up two, no more than three.

Wagering 1.5 * on this money line parlay, 150 gets you 262.
As per usual thank you for taking the time to read this, and as always, may all your tickets get punched.

:toast:
 

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Sox game just got postponed (weather)
My parlay is reduced to a single flat 'Zona play.
No worried, I love Webb today.
 

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New York Mets / Cincinnatti Reds UNDER 7.5 total runs.
Cold, wet, miserable conditions, Santana very well could go seven full, 1 ER.
Even with a so-so (at best) season last year, Harang is a quality pitcher.

This game has 4-2 written all over it.
Just played it for 3*

g/l all
 

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New York Mets / Cincinnatti Reds UNDER 7.5 total runs.
Cold, wet, miserable conditions, Santana very well could go seven full, 1 ER.
Even with a so-so (at best) season last year, Harang is a quality pitcher.

This game has 4-2 written all over it.
Just played it for 3*

g/l all
on the other side here my friend--i like the over-look for a few delays and bull-pen action--one of us shall cash-- i like 5-3:103631605
 

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