I been doing some research on baseball. Came up with some cool stuff...Sabrmetrics, statistical analysis etc.
I am picking games based on line value, using Log 5 win %, and team win % from Pecota projections.
Time to put my ideas to the test and see if i can win consistently. I will post my plays here every day and keep track of the season.
Season Record (0-0) 0 units
Wednesday April, 8 Plays
1 Unit each (matchbook)
Cubs -134
Det +125
Tbay +140
Cle -110
From my models the lines should be
Cubs -170 +.3 value
Det -105 +.25
TB +100 +.4
CLE -150 +.4
I am picking games based on line value, using Log 5 win %, and team win % from Pecota projections.
Time to put my ideas to the test and see if i can win consistently. I will post my plays here every day and keep track of the season.
Season Record (0-0) 0 units
Wednesday April, 8 Plays
1 Unit each (matchbook)
Cubs -134
Det +125
Tbay +140
Cle -110
From my models the lines should be
Cubs -170 +.3 value
Det -105 +.25
TB +100 +.4
CLE -150 +.4