Tier 1 (to win 0.20u-0.79u): 0-2
Tier 2 (to win 0.80u-1.99u): 3-5
Tier 3 (to win 2.00u-3.19u): 2-0
Tier 4 (to win 3.20u-4.49u):
Tier 5 (to win 4.50u-5.79u):
Tier 6 (to win 5.80u-7.19u):
Tier 7 (to win 7.20u-8.59u):
Tier 8 (to win 8.60u-9.99u):
I have some time this morning to explain a little more about what money management (MM) system I'm using here. First, yes, it is a type of martingale system so let's get that across and over with.
I make a range of bets from 0.20 units to as much as 10 units as necessary (quite frankly, I can't even remember the last time I even bet more than 8 units, but it has happened in the past so better to put this in.) I decided to make 8 Tiers... to try to provide a similar picture you would see when tailing a Rx handicapper with their 1-5 units structure (many) or 1-7 units structure (like VenomousSanction and carolinakid). Why 8 Tiers? Two reasons: a.) a tribute to Cal Ripken Jr, and b) my files from the last 2 years do show a long pattern of "about 8" discrete groups of bet amounts. The only thing I recently decided was which "to win" amounts to put in which Tier.
As in the past years, I continue to modify the system and have new changes and descriptions, but I'll not bother with them right now. More importantly, the basics: S1 = Series 1, S2 = Series 2, and so forth. Each Series will go to at least both A & B. About 1/3 of the time, a Series will go to C. Each win would finish the current letter in the Series. So about 2/3 of the time, when I attempt and win the B play, I have won 1 unit for the Series and can close that Series.
The first play for A will always be 80% of the unit's goal (in this case, for the goal of 1 unit, my bet amount "to win" would be to win 0.8 units). The formula I use to determine what bet amounts "to win" for each play has changed somewhat from previous years, as this showed great promise the last few months of 2008 and early 2009.
In the mid to long term, like this entire MLB season, I hope to show that I will have played a mjaority of games Tiers 2 through 4, winning more at the higher Tiers, just like a Rx handicapper hope to achieve!
I'm re-posting my last 2 days of results to show what Series I had these plays in.
Monday, April 6th results:
S1 (1A): CIN +145; risked 0.55u to win 0.8u; LOST
S2 (1A): NYM/CIN Over 7.5 +104; risked 0.77u to win 0.8u; LOST
S3 (1A): TEX +108; risked 0.74u to win 0.8u; WON
S4 (1A): PIT +156; risked 0.51u to win 0.8u; WON
S5 (1A): WAS/FLA Under 8 +126; risked 0.63u to win 0.8u; LOST
Tuesday, April 7th results:
S1 (2A): KC +124; risked 0.97u to win 1.2u; LOST
S2 (2A): KC/CWS Over 8.5 -108; risked 1.3u to win 1.2u; LOST
S1 (3A): ATL +101; risked 1.98u to win 2u; WON
S2 (3A): CHC/HOU Under 8.5 -114; risked 2.28u to win 2u; WON
S5 (2A): SEA/MIN Under 8.0 -105; risked 1.26u to win 1.2u; LOST
S6 (1A): FLA -141; risked 1.13u to win 0.8u; WON
S3 (1B,1A): PIT +155; risked 0.13u to win 0.2u; LOST
S4 (1B,1A): DET +103; risked 0.19u to win 0.2u; LOST
Pending bets to make:
S1 (1B,3A): to win 0.52u
S2 (1B,3A): to win 1.07u
S3 (2B,1A): to win 0.33u
S4 (2B,1A): to win 0.39u
S5 (3A): to win 2.00u
S6 (1B,1A): to win 0.20u
* CalvinTy
Tier 2 (to win 0.80u-1.99u): 3-5
Tier 3 (to win 2.00u-3.19u): 2-0
Tier 4 (to win 3.20u-4.49u):
Tier 5 (to win 4.50u-5.79u):
Tier 6 (to win 5.80u-7.19u):
Tier 7 (to win 7.20u-8.59u):
Tier 8 (to win 8.60u-9.99u):
I have some time this morning to explain a little more about what money management (MM) system I'm using here. First, yes, it is a type of martingale system so let's get that across and over with.
I make a range of bets from 0.20 units to as much as 10 units as necessary (quite frankly, I can't even remember the last time I even bet more than 8 units, but it has happened in the past so better to put this in.) I decided to make 8 Tiers... to try to provide a similar picture you would see when tailing a Rx handicapper with their 1-5 units structure (many) or 1-7 units structure (like VenomousSanction and carolinakid). Why 8 Tiers? Two reasons: a.) a tribute to Cal Ripken Jr, and b) my files from the last 2 years do show a long pattern of "about 8" discrete groups of bet amounts. The only thing I recently decided was which "to win" amounts to put in which Tier.
As in the past years, I continue to modify the system and have new changes and descriptions, but I'll not bother with them right now. More importantly, the basics: S1 = Series 1, S2 = Series 2, and so forth. Each Series will go to at least both A & B. About 1/3 of the time, a Series will go to C. Each win would finish the current letter in the Series. So about 2/3 of the time, when I attempt and win the B play, I have won 1 unit for the Series and can close that Series.
The first play for A will always be 80% of the unit's goal (in this case, for the goal of 1 unit, my bet amount "to win" would be to win 0.8 units). The formula I use to determine what bet amounts "to win" for each play has changed somewhat from previous years, as this showed great promise the last few months of 2008 and early 2009.
In the mid to long term, like this entire MLB season, I hope to show that I will have played a mjaority of games Tiers 2 through 4, winning more at the higher Tiers, just like a Rx handicapper hope to achieve!
I'm re-posting my last 2 days of results to show what Series I had these plays in.
Monday, April 6th results:
S1 (1A): CIN +145; risked 0.55u to win 0.8u; LOST
S2 (1A): NYM/CIN Over 7.5 +104; risked 0.77u to win 0.8u; LOST
S3 (1A): TEX +108; risked 0.74u to win 0.8u; WON
S4 (1A): PIT +156; risked 0.51u to win 0.8u; WON
S5 (1A): WAS/FLA Under 8 +126; risked 0.63u to win 0.8u; LOST
Tuesday, April 7th results:
S1 (2A): KC +124; risked 0.97u to win 1.2u; LOST
S2 (2A): KC/CWS Over 8.5 -108; risked 1.3u to win 1.2u; LOST
S1 (3A): ATL +101; risked 1.98u to win 2u; WON
S2 (3A): CHC/HOU Under 8.5 -114; risked 2.28u to win 2u; WON
S5 (2A): SEA/MIN Under 8.0 -105; risked 1.26u to win 1.2u; LOST
S6 (1A): FLA -141; risked 1.13u to win 0.8u; WON
S3 (1B,1A): PIT +155; risked 0.13u to win 0.2u; LOST
S4 (1B,1A): DET +103; risked 0.19u to win 0.2u; LOST
Pending bets to make:
S1 (1B,3A): to win 0.52u
S2 (1B,3A): to win 1.07u
S3 (2B,1A): to win 0.33u
S4 (2B,1A): to win 0.39u
S5 (3A): to win 2.00u
S6 (1B,1A): to win 0.20u
* CalvinTy
