MistaFlava's 2009 MLB Baseball Record: 7-7 (+48.20 Units)
So we are back for another baseball season and I could not be more excited. I did not post consistently in this sport in 2008 because I simply did not have the time but I have made the decision to post baseball picks right up until the NCAA Football season and NFL seasons come rolling back around and that should be a good 4-5 months of baseball and nothing but baseball.
I am also contemplating heading back into the world of NBA Betting but it's late in the season, I have not established myself in the pro hoops betting ranks and it would be tough to get into the swing of things right now at the end of the season and right before the playoffs. I am pretty sure I am not going to post NBA Picks but that might change and I might do the playoffs We'll see I guess.
The key to winning baseball bets early in the season is to stay focused on which teams and which pitchers are finding early season chemistry. Some teams favored to win it all might start 2-10 or they might start 10-0. Don't forget that good pitchers are good pitchers and bad pitchers bad pitchers regardless of Spring Training.
1 Unit = $100
I am a streaky capper and everyone knows it. You can tail, fade or simply watch what I do. But in the end, I am always a winner and that is all that matters.
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So we are back for another baseball season and I could not be more excited. I did not post consistently in this sport in 2008 because I simply did not have the time but I have made the decision to post baseball picks right up until the NCAA Football season and NFL seasons come rolling back around and that should be a good 4-5 months of baseball and nothing but baseball.
I am also contemplating heading back into the world of NBA Betting but it's late in the season, I have not established myself in the pro hoops betting ranks and it would be tough to get into the swing of things right now at the end of the season and right before the playoffs. I am pretty sure I am not going to post NBA Picks but that might change and I might do the playoffs We'll see I guess.
The key to winning baseball bets early in the season is to stay focused on which teams and which pitchers are finding early season chemistry. Some teams favored to win it all might start 2-10 or they might start 10-0. Don't forget that good pitchers are good pitchers and bad pitchers bad pitchers regardless of Spring Training.
1 Unit = $100
I am a streaky capper and everyone knows it. You can tail, fade or simply watch what I do. But in the end, I am always a winner and that is all that matters.
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Thursday, April 9
Jarrod Washburn vs. Glen Perkins
View attachment 6925 Minnesota Twins ML -121 (10 Units) View attachment 6924
Jarrod Washburn vs. Glen Perkins
View attachment 6925 Minnesota Twins ML -121 (10 Units) View attachment 6924
The Seattle Mariners knew they would be in tough starting the season on the road in another time zone and tough it has been as they have dropped two of their first three games this season and are on the verge of heading back home with a 1-3 record on the year. In the past the Mariners have had success against left handed starters like Perkins and I actually see this team tagging him for a few early runs in this game but having said that the Mariners are not a team that has made me any kinds of money in recent years and I don't see why they would start now. The Mariners are actually 16-35 in their last 51 games where they come off a loss the game before so we know that they don't recover well from losses. They have also been God awful when playing the fourth and last game of a four game series winning only 16 of their last 52 fourth games of a series. The Mariners are not a smart away wager as they have won only 21 of their last 71 road games. How pathetic is that anyways? The Mariners are only 7-20 in their last 27 games as a road underdog, they are only 3-13 in their last 16 games as an underdog in general and like I said before they are as good a fade as it gets when playing away from home with a mediocre pitcher on the mound. They have dropped 6 of their last 7 games overall against AL Central opponents, have dropped 5 of their last 6 games played on Field Turf and they have been underdogs of this range in each and every one of those games. Jarrod Washburn is an experienced pitcher but the Mariners don't support him on the road as they are only 4-9 in his last 13 road starts (every single one as an underdog by the way) and Washburn is only 6-14 in his last 20 road starts versus a team with a winning record. I don't know how many of you know this but Seattle has won only 7 of Washburn's last 26 starts and that is just horrendous. Washburn is a horrendous 1-7 in his last eight starts versus AL Central Division opponents and he has not pitched well on the road or as an underdog. These are some of the best odds you will ever get going against Washburn and I cannot believe I have seen some people back him for this game.
The Minnesota Twins are almost always a good home wager and you can always count on them fighting for a full nine innings when they play at home. Having said that...they are off to another good start this season having won two of their first three games of a four game series against the Mariners and I'm sure they would love to be 3-1 heading into the weekend with the chance to lead the Division and build some momentum. Well if they are going to win that third game of the year today it will have to be done by Glen Perkins and the bullpen because this Seattle lineup can be tough. Having said that you don't have to worry about the Minnesota bats showing up when it counts most because the Twins are 19-7 in their last 26 home games versus a left handed starting pitcher and they have now won 37 of their last 51 home games when favored on the moneyline. Minnesota has also been very good in this range of wager as they have won 24 of their last 35 games when favored by -110 to -150 and they have now won 39 of their last 57 games when favored. The only time you should ever bet on this team is when they are picked by oddsmakers to win. Perkins has been inconsistent in the past but once he settles down in this game I think he'll be fine as the Twins are 5-1 in the last six games Perkins started as a home favorite and they are 5-1 in his last six starts versus AL West opponents. Minnesota has won 5 of Perkins last 7 home starts and he is the one pitcher on this team who has always been able to rely on his batters to provide him with support as Minnesota has now won 13 of Perkins last 19 starts overall and 7 of his last 10 starts as a favorite. The Twins love taking on lefties in this ballpark and today should be no different. I think they are a great home wager as a favorite and this is a perfect spot to back them because they are about to head for the road and betting on them away from home is completely off limits for me. Don't be afraid to back Perkins here because he has a good bullpen to back him up and although shaky early in games, he recovers well and gives him team a chance. Twins at home versus a lefty equals cash money.
The tradition between these two teams has always been to engage in shootouts and engage in very high scoring games. I mean something like 25 of the last 33 meetings between these teams have gone OVER the number and those are staggering numbers. Having said that, why the hell would you bet on a Seattle team that has won only 5 of their last 21 games played in Minnesota and who have always had problems keeping up with the Twins away from home? Seattle has also lost 5 of their last 6 games versus Minnesota when Jarrod Washburn is on the mound. Right now neither team is hitting the ball enough for me to advise taking the OVER in this game but I do think the Twins will hit a little bit better than they have in the first two games and in the end what this comes down to is the bullpens. Minnesota has one of the most solid pens in the bigs right now and their ERA on the season is 2.00. Seattle's bullpen has been decent in this series but if the Twins bats catch fire I don't trust them at all as they have an ERA of 3.52 in three games so far this season. What this also comes down to is both teams ability to hit off left-handed pitchers as both starters are lefties and let me tell you right now that Minnesota is batting .286 on the year versus left handed pitchers while Seattle is batting only .185 versus left handed pitchers in three games. I am taking the home team for sure.
Trend of the Game: Seattle is 1-7 in Jarrod Washburn's last eight starts versus AL Central opponents.
Minnesota 5, Seattle 3
More selections to come...
The Minnesota Twins are almost always a good home wager and you can always count on them fighting for a full nine innings when they play at home. Having said that...they are off to another good start this season having won two of their first three games of a four game series against the Mariners and I'm sure they would love to be 3-1 heading into the weekend with the chance to lead the Division and build some momentum. Well if they are going to win that third game of the year today it will have to be done by Glen Perkins and the bullpen because this Seattle lineup can be tough. Having said that you don't have to worry about the Minnesota bats showing up when it counts most because the Twins are 19-7 in their last 26 home games versus a left handed starting pitcher and they have now won 37 of their last 51 home games when favored on the moneyline. Minnesota has also been very good in this range of wager as they have won 24 of their last 35 games when favored by -110 to -150 and they have now won 39 of their last 57 games when favored. The only time you should ever bet on this team is when they are picked by oddsmakers to win. Perkins has been inconsistent in the past but once he settles down in this game I think he'll be fine as the Twins are 5-1 in the last six games Perkins started as a home favorite and they are 5-1 in his last six starts versus AL West opponents. Minnesota has won 5 of Perkins last 7 home starts and he is the one pitcher on this team who has always been able to rely on his batters to provide him with support as Minnesota has now won 13 of Perkins last 19 starts overall and 7 of his last 10 starts as a favorite. The Twins love taking on lefties in this ballpark and today should be no different. I think they are a great home wager as a favorite and this is a perfect spot to back them because they are about to head for the road and betting on them away from home is completely off limits for me. Don't be afraid to back Perkins here because he has a good bullpen to back him up and although shaky early in games, he recovers well and gives him team a chance. Twins at home versus a lefty equals cash money.
The tradition between these two teams has always been to engage in shootouts and engage in very high scoring games. I mean something like 25 of the last 33 meetings between these teams have gone OVER the number and those are staggering numbers. Having said that, why the hell would you bet on a Seattle team that has won only 5 of their last 21 games played in Minnesota and who have always had problems keeping up with the Twins away from home? Seattle has also lost 5 of their last 6 games versus Minnesota when Jarrod Washburn is on the mound. Right now neither team is hitting the ball enough for me to advise taking the OVER in this game but I do think the Twins will hit a little bit better than they have in the first two games and in the end what this comes down to is the bullpens. Minnesota has one of the most solid pens in the bigs right now and their ERA on the season is 2.00. Seattle's bullpen has been decent in this series but if the Twins bats catch fire I don't trust them at all as they have an ERA of 3.52 in three games so far this season. What this also comes down to is both teams ability to hit off left-handed pitchers as both starters are lefties and let me tell you right now that Minnesota is batting .286 on the year versus left handed pitchers while Seattle is batting only .185 versus left handed pitchers in three games. I am taking the home team for sure.
Trend of the Game: Seattle is 1-7 in Jarrod Washburn's last eight starts versus AL Central opponents.
Minnesota 5, Seattle 3
More selections to come...
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