Fading San Diego Padres thread(4/15 to 4/20) 6 games..Overall Record with this type of wagering:(92-55 +25.24u

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Jan 19, 2006
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In case you are unfamilar with what I do here:

Basically what I do here is pick a team to bet or fade for a pre-determined amount of games.. No flat betting, unit amounts may and most likely will vary.. Also "NOT" limited to betting MLs, I will sometimes wager on RL and -1's..



PREVIOUS RESULTS:

2007 Season: Dodgers 9-4 +7.02
2007 Season: Giants 12-6 +7.91
2007 Season: Red Sox 4-2 +0.00
2007 Season: Mets 1-1 -0.46

2008 Season: Giants 7-6 +2.00
2008 Season: Red Sox 6-2 +3.65 Units
2008 season: O's: 3-5 -9.07 Units
2008 season: Rays: 6-3 +3.12 Units
2008 season Reds: 14-12 +1.18 Units
2008 season Red Sox :5-2 +3.79 Units
2008 season Mariners: 5-2 +3.43 Units
2008 season Royals: 9-3 +4.72 Units
2008 season Indians: 0-6 -9.49 Units

2008 season Pirates: 9-1 +7.24 Units



2007 Season overall: 26-13 +14.47 Units

2008 season overall: 66-42 +10.77 Units

Overall: 92-55 +25.24 Units
 
Joined
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Messages
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This time I'm going to fade the San Diego Padres who are currently 6-2 and overacheiving IMO.. With 6 road games versus the Mets and Phillies ahead in their schedule I'm not seeing them winning more than two games..

So my goal here is to finish at least 4-2 by betting against them in every game and to be ahead by the end, that is my goal with this= profit.. If I'm down 0.5 units before the final game I will wager enough to end with the profit, If I'm ahead 0.5 units before the final game I will wager enough to end with the profit..




Here is the Padres schedule for the next six games:

<TABLE class="calBorderBg cal" cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0 width=581 border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top height=80><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>15
icon_ticket.gif


</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ NYM
4:10 PM
4 San Diego / ESPN
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>16
icon_ticket.gif


</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ NYM
4:10 PM
4 San Diego
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>17
icon_ticket.gif


</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ PHI
4:05 PM
4 San Diego
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>18
icon_ticket.gif


</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ PHI
4:05 PM
4 San Diego / MLBN
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD class=calPageBg colSpan=7>
trans.gif
</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top height=80><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>19
icon_ticket.gif


</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ PHI
10:35 AM
4 San Diego
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>20
icon_ticket.gif


</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ PHI
4:05 PM
4 San Diego
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

I have the Padres going 2-4 at best during this stretch.. Hopefully 1-5 or better yet a 6 game losing streak..
 

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Joined
Sep 1, 2005
Messages
3,841
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This time I'm going to fade the San Diego Padres who are currently 6-2 and overacheiving IMO.. With 6 road games versus the Mets and Phillies ahead in their schedule I'm not seeing them winning more than two games..

So my goal here is to finish at least 4-2 by betting against them in every game and to be ahead by the end, that is my goal with this= profit.. If I'm down 0.5 units before the final game I will wager enough to end with the profit, If I'm ahead 0.5 units before the final game I will wager enough to end with the profit..




Here is the Padres schedule for the next six games:

<TABLE class="calBorderBg cal" cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0 width=581 border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top height=80><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>15
icon_ticket.gif



</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ NYM
4:10 PM
4 San Diego / ESPN
MLB.TV

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>16
icon_ticket.gif



</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ NYM
4:10 PM
4 San Diego
MLB.TV

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>17
icon_ticket.gif



</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ PHI
4:05 PM
4 San Diego
MLB.TV

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>18
icon_ticket.gif



</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ PHI
4:05 PM
4 San Diego / MLBN
MLB.TV

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD class=calPageBg colSpan=7>
trans.gif
</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top height=80><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>19
icon_ticket.gif



</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ PHI
10:35 AM
4 San Diego
MLB.TV

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>20
icon_ticket.gif



</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ PHI
4:05 PM
4 San Diego
MLB.TV

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

I have the Padres going 2-4 at best during this stretch.. Hopefully 1-5 or better yet a 6 game losing streak..





Interesting good luck...
 

Member
Joined
Feb 15, 2007
Messages
12,342
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good luck gyn...on this as well.. but small unit.. still dont trust mets.. im 0-3 this year playing them
 
Joined
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Messages
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Yeah I feel ya, Mets are a fuck up.. But the Padres aren't that good and the Mets lineup is too good to keep losing to the Padres I think..
 
Joined
Jan 21, 2004
Messages
0
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I'll tag along for the ride, did last year during your second Red Sox line. I agree that Diego ain't that pretty. I like momentum plays, and I'll probably starting doing little runs like this myself, I think catching teams hot and cold is really the only good way to make money consistently in bases
 
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Its great in many ways.. You learn about the team(s), you get a feel for them during the span as well..

GL
 

Member
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congrats gyn, lets get on a roll. glad i cashed in on this although i was a little weary of the mets.. another .6 tomorrow?
 

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Nice start man...GL with tomorrow, I assume that'll be the best odds you have in this run (Peavy) so would be nice to win it
 
Joined
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congrats gyn, lets get on a roll. glad i cashed in on this although i was a little weary of the mets.. another .6 tomorrow?


.6 is a large wager for me this early in the season.. I start off slow and periodically increase unit size throughout the season until about Mid-Late August then I decrease again..

Late May to Late July is the meaty part of the season IMO..
 
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Messages
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0.3* Mets -120 for Thursday
Sorry for the small unit investments guys, but the beginning of the year is a lot of educated guessing. Peavy is pitching in this one and he's always hard to bet against..

GL
 
Joined
Jan 19, 2006
Messages
30,208
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Usually dont play anything above 1 unit anymore.. Unless its football or a futures wager..

1 unit is about 2.5-3% of my bankroll..
 

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