MistaFlava's 2009 MLB Baseball Record: 18-22 (-13.20 Units)
Big Plays 25/50 Units: 3-1 (+71.00 Units)
So we are back for another baseball season and I could not be more excited. I did not post consistently in this sport in 2008 because I simply did not have the time but I have made the decision to post baseball picks right up until the NCAA Football season and NFL seasons come rolling back around and that should be a good 4-5 months of baseball and nothing but baseball.
I am also contemplating heading back into the world of NBA Betting but it's late in the season, I have not established myself in the pro hoops betting ranks and it would be tough to get into the swing of things right now at the end of the season and right before the playoffs. I am pretty sure I am not going to post NBA Picks but that might change and I might do the playoffs We'll see I guess.
The key to winning baseball bets early in the season is to stay focused on which teams and which pitchers are finding early season chemistry. Some teams favored to win it all might start 2-10 or they might start 10-0. Don't forget that good pitchers are good pitchers and bad pitchers bad pitchers regardless of Spring Training.
1 Unit = $100
I am a streaky capper and everyone knows it. You can tail, fade or simply watch what I do. But in the end, I am always a winner and that is all that matters.
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Big Plays 25/50 Units: 3-1 (+71.00 Units)
So we are back for another baseball season and I could not be more excited. I did not post consistently in this sport in 2008 because I simply did not have the time but I have made the decision to post baseball picks right up until the NCAA Football season and NFL seasons come rolling back around and that should be a good 4-5 months of baseball and nothing but baseball.
I am also contemplating heading back into the world of NBA Betting but it's late in the season, I have not established myself in the pro hoops betting ranks and it would be tough to get into the swing of things right now at the end of the season and right before the playoffs. I am pretty sure I am not going to post NBA Picks but that might change and I might do the playoffs We'll see I guess.
The key to winning baseball bets early in the season is to stay focused on which teams and which pitchers are finding early season chemistry. Some teams favored to win it all might start 2-10 or they might start 10-0. Don't forget that good pitchers are good pitchers and bad pitchers bad pitchers regardless of Spring Training.
1 Unit = $100
I am a streaky capper and everyone knows it. You can tail, fade or simply watch what I do. But in the end, I am always a winner and that is all that matters.
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Wednesday, April 15
Jose Contreras vs. Armando Galarraga
View attachment 6984 Detroit Tigers ML -140 (10 Units) View attachment 6983
Jose Contreras vs. Armando Galarraga
View attachment 6984 Detroit Tigers ML -140 (10 Units) View attachment 6983
The Chicago White Sox always find a way to screw me over somehow and they did it again in Game 1 of this series pulling all stops at the plate and making my wager on Zach Miner and the Tigers look like complete trash right from the getgo. What can you do? What I can tell you however is that one of my favorite fade pitchers is on the mound this afternoon as Jose Contreras is handed the ball for the White Sox and he was completely lit up in his first start of the season. Contreras lasted only 5.0 innings, allowing 7 hits, 4 ER's and 1 HR in a 12-5 home loss to Minnesota. Brutal. I know both teams in this game are pretty good at hitting right handed pitchers and the Tigers bats did keep their momentum in the Game 1 loss so if Contreras struggles even a bit in this game he is in serious trouble and the White Sox bullpen is already tired to begin with. What you also need to know is that despite their win as an underdog in Game 1 of this series, which I still blame on bad managing by the Tigers, the White Sox have won only 15 of their last 51 games as a road underdog and they have won only 13 of their last 51 games overall as an underdog of +110 to +150. Not a good spot for them at all here. I also have to mention that they have now lost 4 of their last 5 games when facing a right-handed starter and the road win on Monday was actually their first road win in five games. You cannot trust this team away from home nor can you trust Conteras away from home (or even at home for that matter). He is not the kind of pitcher that brings enough variety to throw off opponents looking for a different look. Chicago has managed to win only 1 of Contreras' last five starts when he is an underdog and they are also only 1-4 in his last five road starts. It should also been known that the team is only 1-6 in their last seven games when Jose Contreras is on the mound in Game 2 of a series and he has been rocked by Tigers in the past. So we have a team that struggles to win on the road as underdogs with a pitcher who was not only rocked in his first start of the season but who is aging now and who has never been able to pitch a good game against this Detroit team. Huge fade here.
The Detroit Tigers screwed me over large on Monday and believe me I was not too happy about it but I am not going to give up on betting them that fast this season because I do sincerely believe they have a much more solid team than the 2008 version and despite getting blown away in Game 1 of this series, the batters fought hard and they are batting pretty damn well right now. The Tigers are actually batting .307 in four home games this season and sure they prefer to face a left handed pitcher but they have rocked righties as well and that is bad news for a White Sox team who's pitching core was rocked in Game 1 of this series. We cannot forget that despite the ugly loss (most of it was Zach Miner and poor management) the Tigers still managed to score 25 runs in three games against Texas at home last week and they now have 31 runs in their last four games. All they need is solid pitching. Well Armando Galarraga is solid and he looked great in a 15-2 afternoon home game win over Texas last week going 7.0 innings and allowing five hits (while getting 15 runs of support). I can also tell you that despite the loss in Game 1 of this series, Detroit is still 6-1 in their last seven home games versus a team with a winning record on the season and they are actually 6-2 in their last eight home games and getting better. Also, we all know the Tigers have struggled big time against AL Central opponents but they cannot keep losing against divisional opponents if they want to be playing in October and the bleeding has to stop here. Galarraga is the perfect guy on the mound this afternoon as Detroit is 6-1 in his last seven home starts versus a team with a winning overall record on the season Detroit is 6-1 in his last seven Wednesday starts (gotta be something about mid-week games). The Tigers have also won 10 of his last 13 starts versus teams with a winning record and 11 of their last 15 when Galarraga makes a start off four or more days of rest. This guy loves pitching at home and the Tigers love producing for him at home as they have won 8 of his last 11 home starts and 7 of his last 10 home starts as a favorite. The bottom line is that he is one of the only guys in this rotation worth backing right now and I am banking on another solid home outing for the second year 26 year old from Cumana. He showed that he can win games like this in 2008 and I expect him to do it here again.
These two teams do not like each other at all and the sense of urgency is going to kick in for the Tigers in this game because they have been getting killed in AL Central play the last year and a half and that kind of madness has to stop right now. The last time Jose Contreras pitched in Detroit was last June where he lasted only 6.0 innings, allowing 13 hits and 6 ER's in a 6-4 loss. He also pitched here last April where he was rocked for 10 hits over the course of 5.0 innings but the offense bailed his ass out and the White Sox won that game. His two starts here prior to last season saw him allow 12 ER's in 12.0 innings pitched (once again the offense bailed him out in one of the games and Contreras got the split. Having said that, this is Armando Galarraga's first career start against the White Sox and once again he is just what the doctor ordered for a Tigers team that has sucked ass against AL Central opponents. I don't know that I trust either bullpen but they were both decent in the first game of this series and they are both coming off a day of rest with the washout yesterday. The bottom line for me in this game is that Contreras is fading fast in the majors and his first start of the season was a very good indication of that. He has allowed 22 ER's in his last four starts in this ballpark and that was over only 23.0 innings of work which means we can expect 1-2 runs for each inning he stays on the mound in this game. I am going with the Tigers to get us some of that dough back from Monday.
Trend of the Game: Detroit is 6-1 in Galarraga's last seven home starts versus a team with a winning record on the season.
Detroit 9, White Sox 4
More selections to come...
The Detroit Tigers screwed me over large on Monday and believe me I was not too happy about it but I am not going to give up on betting them that fast this season because I do sincerely believe they have a much more solid team than the 2008 version and despite getting blown away in Game 1 of this series, the batters fought hard and they are batting pretty damn well right now. The Tigers are actually batting .307 in four home games this season and sure they prefer to face a left handed pitcher but they have rocked righties as well and that is bad news for a White Sox team who's pitching core was rocked in Game 1 of this series. We cannot forget that despite the ugly loss (most of it was Zach Miner and poor management) the Tigers still managed to score 25 runs in three games against Texas at home last week and they now have 31 runs in their last four games. All they need is solid pitching. Well Armando Galarraga is solid and he looked great in a 15-2 afternoon home game win over Texas last week going 7.0 innings and allowing five hits (while getting 15 runs of support). I can also tell you that despite the loss in Game 1 of this series, Detroit is still 6-1 in their last seven home games versus a team with a winning record on the season and they are actually 6-2 in their last eight home games and getting better. Also, we all know the Tigers have struggled big time against AL Central opponents but they cannot keep losing against divisional opponents if they want to be playing in October and the bleeding has to stop here. Galarraga is the perfect guy on the mound this afternoon as Detroit is 6-1 in his last seven home starts versus a team with a winning overall record on the season Detroit is 6-1 in his last seven Wednesday starts (gotta be something about mid-week games). The Tigers have also won 10 of his last 13 starts versus teams with a winning record and 11 of their last 15 when Galarraga makes a start off four or more days of rest. This guy loves pitching at home and the Tigers love producing for him at home as they have won 8 of his last 11 home starts and 7 of his last 10 home starts as a favorite. The bottom line is that he is one of the only guys in this rotation worth backing right now and I am banking on another solid home outing for the second year 26 year old from Cumana. He showed that he can win games like this in 2008 and I expect him to do it here again.
These two teams do not like each other at all and the sense of urgency is going to kick in for the Tigers in this game because they have been getting killed in AL Central play the last year and a half and that kind of madness has to stop right now. The last time Jose Contreras pitched in Detroit was last June where he lasted only 6.0 innings, allowing 13 hits and 6 ER's in a 6-4 loss. He also pitched here last April where he was rocked for 10 hits over the course of 5.0 innings but the offense bailed his ass out and the White Sox won that game. His two starts here prior to last season saw him allow 12 ER's in 12.0 innings pitched (once again the offense bailed him out in one of the games and Contreras got the split. Having said that, this is Armando Galarraga's first career start against the White Sox and once again he is just what the doctor ordered for a Tigers team that has sucked ass against AL Central opponents. I don't know that I trust either bullpen but they were both decent in the first game of this series and they are both coming off a day of rest with the washout yesterday. The bottom line for me in this game is that Contreras is fading fast in the majors and his first start of the season was a very good indication of that. He has allowed 22 ER's in his last four starts in this ballpark and that was over only 23.0 innings of work which means we can expect 1-2 runs for each inning he stays on the mound in this game. I am going with the Tigers to get us some of that dough back from Monday.
Trend of the Game: Detroit is 6-1 in Galarraga's last seven home starts versus a team with a winning record on the season.
Detroit 9, White Sox 4
More selections to come...
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