BAL@TEX Over 11.5 Runs @ 1.5 Units -111
Like Barman already pointed out in his thread, the Rangers with great numbers against lefties (scored more than 5.5 runs in 19 of their last 25 starts against lefties with an average of more than 7 runs). Hendrickson has great April numbers for the last 3 years, but that's kind of a statistic anomaly in my opinion. His WHIP is way to high (1.43 for the last 3 years) and Texas can hit lefties (from years back Hendrickson owns an ERA of just below 10.0 against Texas, although he never pitched at Arlington).
Baltimore is hitting great so far this season even with Mora missing right now. Benson is just pitching aweful and has done so for more than just his first start in 2009 and it's just a matter of time when he will be replaced by one of Texas' long relievers like Feldman or one of their prospects.
Plate umpire Gerry Davis also is a nice umpire to have behind the plate for an over thanks to his high walk totals year in and year out.
I'm just a bit worried because of the weather: Texas normally a great hitters park, but tonight the wind is blowing in with about 15mph and the humidity will hurt the longball, too. But even favorable weather conditions shouldn't be enough to help a pitcher like Benson against a good hitting team like the Orioles and both crappy bullpens already got lots of innings during this series.
Like Barman already pointed out in his thread, the Rangers with great numbers against lefties (scored more than 5.5 runs in 19 of their last 25 starts against lefties with an average of more than 7 runs). Hendrickson has great April numbers for the last 3 years, but that's kind of a statistic anomaly in my opinion. His WHIP is way to high (1.43 for the last 3 years) and Texas can hit lefties (from years back Hendrickson owns an ERA of just below 10.0 against Texas, although he never pitched at Arlington).
Baltimore is hitting great so far this season even with Mora missing right now. Benson is just pitching aweful and has done so for more than just his first start in 2009 and it's just a matter of time when he will be replaced by one of Texas' long relievers like Feldman or one of their prospects.
Plate umpire Gerry Davis also is a nice umpire to have behind the plate for an over thanks to his high walk totals year in and year out.
I'm just a bit worried because of the weather: Texas normally a great hitters park, but tonight the wind is blowing in with about 15mph and the humidity will hurt the longball, too. But even favorable weather conditions shouldn't be enough to help a pitcher like Benson against a good hitting team like the Orioles and both crappy bullpens already got lots of innings during this series.
