4/16: Official MLB Plays (With Reasoning) (YTD: 2-0, +2.05 units)

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Rx. Junior
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7:05 Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

Danks vs. Niemann​

Danks vs. TB:
Career: 4 GS, 3-1, 24.1 IP, 8 ER (2.96 ERA), .225 BAA
2008: 3 GS, 2-1, 19.1 IP, 4 ER (1.86 ERA), .219 BAA

Danks @ TB:
Career: 3 GS, 3-0, 18 IP, 5 ER (2.50 ERA), .203 BAA
2008: 2 GS, 2-0, 13 IP, 1 ER (0.69 ERA), .188 BAA

Niemann vs. CWS:
1 GS, 0-1, 3.1 IP, 8 R (5 ER) (13.50 ERA), .313 BAA (Start was at home)

White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
White Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
White Sox are 21-10 in their last 31 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Given Danks' performance at The Trop, CWS are worth a play at -120.

Chicago White Sox -120

8:10 Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins

Halladay vs. Liriano​

Halladay vs. MIN:
9 GS, 7-0, 71 IP, 23 ER (2.92 ERA), .217 BAA

Blue Jays are 41-11 in Halladays last 52 starts on field turf.
Blue Jays are 57-19 in Halladays last 76 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Blue Jays are 8-3 in Halladays last 11 starts during game 4 of a series.
Blue Jays are 61-23 in Halladays last 84 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Blue Jays are 28-11 in Halladays last 39 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Blue Jays are 5-2 in Halladays last 7 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Blue Jays are 5-2 in Halladays last 7 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Blue Jays are 10-4 in Halladays last 14 road starts.
Blue Jays are 101-42 in Halladays last 143 starts as a favorite.
Blue Jays are 14-6 in Halladays last 20 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
Blue Jays are 43-19 in Halladays last 62 starts with 4 days of rest.
Blue Jays are 40-18 in Halladays last 58 starts vs. American League Central.
Blue Jays are 15-7 in Halladays last 22 Thursday starts.
Blue Jays are 81-38 in Halladays last 119 starts.
Blue Jays are 42-20 in Halladays last 62 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Blue Jays are 5-0 in Halladays last 5 starts vs. Twins.
Blue Jays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota.
Blue Jays are 4-1 in Halladays last 5 road starts vs. Twins.
Blue Jays are 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.

Twins are 7-15 in their last 22 vs. American League East.
Twins are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Twins are 3-9 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
Twins are 2-10 in their last 12 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Twins are 1-5 in Lirianos last 6 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Twins are 1-5 in Lirianos last 6 starts.
Twins are 1-5 in Lirianos last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Twins are 1-5 in Lirianos last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.

Given Halladay's performance vs. MIN in his career as well as the given trends, the Blue Jays are worth a play at -135.

Toronto Blue Jays -135
 

Rx. Junior
Joined
Aug 4, 2008
Messages
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___________________________________________________________
YTD Record:
Overall (ML): 2-0, +2.05 units
Favorites (ML): 1-0, +1 unit
Underdogs (ML): 1-0, +1.05 units
Overall (RL): 1-1, EVEN
Favorites (-1.5): 0-1, -1 unit
Underdogs (+1.5): 1-0, +1 unit
___________________________________________________________
Record is kept for both ML and RL.
 

Rx. Junior
Joined
Aug 4, 2008
Messages
603
Tokens
got home from the game late last night, no time to update records until now..

2-0, +2 units on the day, overall record is being updated right now
 

Rx. Junior
Joined
Aug 4, 2008
Messages
603
Tokens
YTD Record:
Overall (ML): 4-0, +4.05 units
Favorites (ML): 3-0, +3 units
Underdogs (ML): 1-0, +1.05 units
Overall (RL): 2-2, +0.30 units
Favorites (-1.5): 1-2, -0.70 units
Underdogs (+1.5): 1-0, +1 unit
 

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