4/17: Official MLB Plays (YTD: 4-0, +4.05 units)

Nolasco vs. WSH:
Last Start (4/6/09): W, 6 IP, 5 ER, 0 BB
Career: 7 GS, 6-1, 41.2 IP, 19 ER (4.10 ERA), .222 BAA
2008: 2 GS, 2-0, 13 IP, 3 ER (2.08 ERA), .149 BAA

Lannan vs. FLA:
Career: 1 GS (4/6/09): L, 3 IP, 6 ER, 1 K

Marlins are 5-0 in Nolascos last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Marlins are 5-0 in Nolascos last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Marlins are 4-0 in Nolascos last 4 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Marlins are 11-2 in Nolascos last 13 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Marlins are 9-2 in Nolascos last 11 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Marlins are 4-1 in Nolascos last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Marlins are 7-2 in Nolascos last 9 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Marlins are 10-3 in Nolascos last 13 starts during game 1 of a series.
Marlins are 6-2 in Nolascos last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Marlins are 6-2 in Nolascos last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
Marlins are 8-3 in Nolascos last 11 road starts.
Marlins are 19-8 in Nolascos last 27 starts.
Marlins are 7-3 in Nolascos last 10 starts on grass.

Nationals are 7-20 in Lannans last 27 starts on grass.
Nationals are 3-9 in Lannans last 12 home starts.
Nationals are 2-6 in Lannans last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
Nationals are 5-16 in Lannans last 21 starts as an underdog.
Nationals are 6-20 in Lannans last 26 starts.
Nationals are 2-7 in Lannans last 9 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Nationals are 2-8 in Lannans last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 1-4 in Lannans last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 1-5 in Lannans last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 1-5 in Lannans last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Nationals are 1-6 in Lannans last 7 starts vs. National League East.
Nationals are 1-7 in Lannans last 8 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Nationals are 1-7 in Lannans last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Nationals are 1-10 in Lannans last 11 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Marlins are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Washington.
Marlins are 5-1 in Nolascos last 6 starts vs. Nationals.
Marlins are 21-7 in the last 28 meetings.

These 2 teams (and pitchers) matched up the first series of the season, Florida sweeping at home. With Nolasco on the mound, expect the less desperate Nats (due to their win last night), to start a new losing streak.

Florida Marlins –128 (-1.5, +120)

Oswalt vs. CIN:
Career: 26 GS, 23-1, 182 IP, 50 ER (2.47 ERA), .230 BAA
2008: 4 GS, 4-0, 25 IP, 7 ER (2.52 ERA), .250 BAA

Cueto vs. HOU:
4 GS, 0-3, 20.2 IP, 18 ER (7.84 ERA), .352 BAA

Astros are 7-1 in Oswalts last 8 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Astros are 8-2 in Oswalts last 10 starts vs. National League Central.
Astros are 52-17 in Oswalts last 69 starts as a home favorite.
Astros are 55-18 in Oswalts last 73 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Astros are 55-19 in Oswalts last 74 home starts.
Astros are 43-15 in Oswalts last 58 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Astros are 11-4 in Oswalts last 15 starts.
Astros are 11-4 in Oswalts last 15 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Astros are 11-4 in Oswalts last 15 starts on grass.
Astros are 47-19 in Oswalts last 66 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Astros are 9-4 in Oswalts last 13 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Astros are 85-40 in Oswalts last 125 starts as a favorite.

Reds are 4-9 in Cuetos last 13 starts as an underdog.
Reds are 3-8 in Cuetos last 11 starts.
Reds are 3-8 in Cuetos last 11 starts on grass.
Reds are 4-12 in Cuetos last 16 road starts.
Reds are 3-9 in Cuetos last 12 starts as a road underdog.
Reds are 2-8 in Cuetos last 10 starts vs. National League Central.
Reds are 2-10 in Cuetos last 12 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Reds are 1-5 in Cuetos last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Reds are 1-6 in Cuetos last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 1-6 in Cuetos last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Reds are 0-8 in Cuetos last 8 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Reds are 0-4 in Cuetos last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.

Astros are 10-1 in Oswalts last 11 home starts vs. Reds.
Astros are 22-4 in Oswalts last 26 starts vs. Reds.
Reds are 0-4 in Cuetos last 4 starts vs. Astros.

Given Oswalt’s career numbers vs. the Reds, as well as the given trends, Houston is worth a play at –155.

Houston Astros -155 (-1.5, +140)

fack, lannan decided to pitch well... oswalt not doing too swell either

1-1, -0.55 on the day....