4/23: Official MLB Plays (With Reasoning) (YTD: 7-1, +5.50 units)

Hernandez vs. TB:
2007-08: 2 GS, 1-0, 15.2 IP, 2 ER (1.14 ERA), 10 H, 4 BB, 13 K
Career: 5 GS, 1-1, 39 IP, 11 ER (2.54 ERA), 30 H, 8 BB, 33 K, .214 BAA

Hernandez vs. TB (In Seattle):
Career: 4 GS, 1-0, 31.1 IP, 4 ER (1.14 ERA)

Mariners are 7-2 in Hernandezs last 9 starts as an underdog.
Mariners are 5-2 in Hernandezs last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Mariners are 12-5 in Hernandezs last 17 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Mariners are 11-5 in Hernandezs last 16 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Rays are 6-14 in Shields' last 20 starts as an underdog.
Rays are 6-14 in Shields' last 20 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Rays are 5-14 in Shields' last 19 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Rays are 6-21 in Shields' last 27 starts as a road underdog.
Rays are 1-4 in Shields' last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Mariners are 4-0 in Hernandezs last 4 home starts vs. Rays.
Mariners are 4-1 in Hernandezs last 5 starts vs. Rays.

Given these trends and Hernandez’s stats vs. TB, the Mariners are worth a play at –105.

Seattle Mariners –105 (-1.5, +180)
_____________________________________
YTD Record:
Overall (ML): 7-1, +5.50 units
Favorites (ML): 6-1, +4.45 units
Underdogs (ML): 1-0, +1.05 units
Overall (RL): 4-4, +0.30 units
Favorites (-1.5): 3-4, -0.70 units
Underdogs (+1.5): 1-0, +1 unit
_____________________________________

gl, nice writeup

sweet 1-0 start

:money8:
Winnah, Winnah, Chicken Dinnah