I hate to use the word lock, but isn't this prop a complete lock at -600?

JakeT. · Apr 24, 2009

5Dimes has O2.5 QBs taken in the 1st round at -600.

Stafford and Sanchez are likely top 10 guys while Josh Freeman is gone in the middle of the 1st round on every mock draft. I think pick #23 is the lowest I've seen Freeman going in every single mock draft on the planet.

Any chance this one loses? Lots of teams need QBs this year...

FairWarning · Apr 24, 2009

I would never lay -600 on it. I'm not sold on him.

JakeT. · Apr 24, 2009

FairWarning said:
I would never lay -600 on it. I'm not sold on him.

I'm not sold on Freeman either but these ESPN and NFL.com guys are getting information from the front offices as much as possible and not a single one of them has Freeman falling out of the 1st. -600 is steep but if the actual probability of this winning is -1800 or so, then it has a ton of value IMO.

ParanoidAndroid · Apr 24, 2009

Indeed, it might have value, but its FAR from a lock

FairWarning · Apr 24, 2009

Crabtree drafted over Maklin -400 is a far better play IMO.

MadTiger · Apr 24, 2009

FairWarning said:
I would never lay -600 on it. I'm not sold on him.

It'll be a push. He's half a quarterback.

JakeT. · Apr 24, 2009

FairWarning said:
Crabtree drafted over Maklin -400 is a far better play IMO.

I like the +280 on Maclin personally. Most people I've heard from have Crabtree falling to the Raiders but Al Davis seems to be in love with fast dudes and Maclin is faster. Crabtree's poor 40 time and injury don't help his case. It's very possible Davis takes Maclin here if both fall. Any team above the Raiders is likely to go Crabtree though but I could see this happening. Line is 30-40 cents off IMO.