Aarons 499 @Talladega

CUP YTD

29-19 +06.84 Units (Match-Ups)
14-08 +12.50 Units (Props)
05-23 +06.94 Units (Outrights)

Total: +26.28 Units

Getting short on time but this is what I played:

Match-Ups

2.00 units Tony Stewart (+100) over Kyle Busch (@5dimes)
Simply stated I like Tony today, should be Top 3 or so a good chance for the win

2.00 units Mark Martin (+100) over Carl Edwards (@5dimes)
Really don't like Edwards on plate tracks and Martin is on a roll right now

2.00 units Clint Bowyer (-105) over Greg Biffle (@5dimes)
Really, really don't like Biff on plate tracks, Bowyer has acclumated(?) well to these places and this seems to be the only team that is a steady influenece at RCR right now

2.00 units Kurt Busch (-140) over Kevin Harvick (@@thegreek)
Busch is another guy I like today, RCR is in a mess right now

1.00 unit Juan Pablo Montoya (+110) over Martin Truex (@5dimes)
Don't understand this line at all, Montoya on pole and should do well today.Truex has had problems staying out of trouble on superspeedways

1.00 unit Jimmie Johnson (-115) over Denny Hamlin (@thegreek)
Hate going against my boy Denny, but JJ has been far superior at Talladega and Daytona

1.00 unit Sam Hornish (-120) over Scott Speed (@thegreek)
A little uncomfortable backing Hornish but he seems to be coming around and I like Penske over Red Bull Racing

Props

3.00 units Clint Bowyer (-115) under 18.5 (@5dimes)
Its always a gamble at Talladega but if Bowyer is around at the end he should easily be Top 10-12 if not better

2.00 units Mark Martin (-135) under 16.5 (@5dimes)
Another that I think could easily be Top 10, hate this price though

Outrights

0.66 unit Tony Stewart (+800) @5dimes
0.33 unit Kurt Busch (+1300) @thegreek
0.33 unit Jimmie Johnson (+1200) @thegreek
0.33 unit Mark Martin (+1500) @thegreek

Good luck to everyone!

Hornish has the flu, Kvapil is standing by as a relief driver.

I went with Sadler over Kahne for some more underdog money, (won Jr. over Kyle yesterday). You never know on superspeedways, no reason to take favorites.

hate biffle aswell as truex

thank tlento for the info, if they can make the switch without losing any ground I may like it better with Kvapil, the only thing would be with him being unfamiliar with the car/team

as far as your play, not that outlandish, sadler has had some really good runs at daytona and plate tracks are not exactly KK'S specialty, good luck today

I agree with you, Kvapil has a good average here. Had to look at the rules about that, the new driver counts for the original bet. They shouldn't have a problem changing on such a large track.

Sadler has the better average, worth the risk for the money, good luck to you. Are your units based on $100?