five today w/analysis

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<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">1</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">3</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-2.58 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">27</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">32</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">4</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-2.86 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since March 2009)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">27</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">32</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">4</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-2.86 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.






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Los Angeles -1½ +1.31 over SAN FRANCISCO
Barry Zito is coming off a gem in is last game and that might be the last time you’ll ever hear those words again. The chances of this guy having good back-to-back outings is about as remote as a Siberian outpost. The Dodgers are third in the majors with a .291 team batting average and it’s also worth noting that they’re 4-0 against lefties. San Fran has a team batting average of .247. They went into L.A. last week, were swept in the three-game set and the Dodgers saw Zito in that series. This is the second time they’ll see him in 11 days and that has to be another big advantage to the visitors. Play: Los Angeles -1½ +1.31 (Risking 2 units). <o:p></o:p>
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Pittsburgh +1.59 over MILWAUKEE
Aside from home-court advantage the Brewers have nothing on the Pirates in this match-up. The Pirates bullpen is one of the top outfits in the league right now with a 2.41 ERA. The Pirates also have a better record, a much better team batting average (.274 to .251), they’ve won six of its last seven games and their starter, Jeff Karstens is certainly no better or no worse than the Brewers Braden Looper. The tag on the Bucs just sweetens this deal even more and if you’re looking for value on a single bet tonight, this is it. Play: Pittsburgh +1.59 (Risking 2 units). <o:p></o:p>
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San Diego/COLORADO over 10 +1.05
Big concerns about both these pitchers and I’ll start with Chris Young of the Padres. His numbers look good on paper but a close look reveals that he’s started three games in pitcher’s parks, two at Petco and one in San Fran and the other game he started was in Philadelphia, where he was absolutely clobbered. Get Young in a hitter’s park and he’s a big liability because he’s a fly ball pitcher, he isn’t striking out many and his walk rate keeps getting higher. Young is coming off a year with serious arm issues and there’s a reason the oddsmakers made Hammel a –1.20 favorite here. As for Hammel, well, he’s a Tampa Bay castoff that has never had success as a starter despite the many opportunities. He’s appeared in three games as a reliever this season and in his only appearance at Coors he was rocked to the tune of five hits and two walks in 2.2 frames. It’s going to be a cool 49 degrees in Colorado tonight with the wind blowing out to centerfield and both these pitchers have plenty of question marks. Play: San Diego/Colorado over 10 +1.05 (Risking 2 units). <o:p></o:p>
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Boston +1.02 over CLEVELAND
All you need to know is that the Red Sox have won 10 straight, they’re likely the best team in baseball, they’re seeing beach balls and they’re getting a tag; end of story. Does it really matter who’s pitching? I think not. Play Boston +1.02 (Risking 2 units).
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Toronto –1.02 over KANSAS CITY
The Blue Jays continue to roll on and in terms of offense this one isn’t close. The Jays are first or second in every key offensive category in the majors while the Royals are near the bottom. In fact, KC has scored two runs or less in four of its past five games and most of the regulars are barely hitting their weight. The Jays have yet to lose a series this season, they have the majors best record and David Purcey, despite a rough start, has some of the best stuff on the staff. Purcey will put it all together soon and he couldn’t have handpicked a riper opponent to get it going against. Play Toronto –1.02 (Risking 2.04 units to win 2). <o:p></o:p>
 

i am an american aquarium drinker
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Feb 15, 2008
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i like these sherwood and always look forward to your analysis. one question concerning today's card...do you get worried betting so many road teams as you have today?
 

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