Anyone like Arizona D-backs today?

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I'm thinking about betting on them today but I don't know alot about the team. Larry Ness hit big with a GOY yesterday with Celtics -4, and today he has a GOM on D-backs. Here is what he wrote:

"Ness

My 20* Getaway Day Game of the Month is on the Ari D'backs at 3:35 ET. The D'backs and Padres squared off last night in the first of a two-game set in Petco Park. The matchup featured two of the worst batting averages in the major leagues. Arizona was last at .226 and the Padres were third-worst at .239. John Garland and two relievers combined on a five-hitter, as the D'backs snapped a three-game losing streak with a 3-1 win. Peavy pitched well (7 IP / 4 hits / 2 ERs) but the Padres fell for the seventh time in eight games and the 13th time in their last 16. The D'backs have needed a pitcher or two to "come up big" for them with Webb lost to the DL in early April and Jon Garland has done a credible job (he's now 3-1 and the team has won FIVE of his six starts). However, "the real man" has been Dan Haren. Haren opened the 2009 season allowing just four ERs over his first three starts (19 innings), posting a 1.89 ERA. However, the D'backs scored a grand total of just one run in those three starts, as he fell to 0-3. He's been even better in his last three outings, going 24 innings while allowing just 13 hits and three ERs (1.13 ERA), striking out 30 and allowing just four walks. The D'backs haven't exactly "torn the cover off the ball" but Haren has evened his record at 3-3 for the year. He's allowed opponents to bat only a meager .167 (best MLB) and he has 47 strikeouts against only seven walks over 43 innings. He could very easily be 6-0 and probably DESERVES to be. The Padre lineup shouldn't offer too much of a challenge for him. Haren went 3-1 with a 3.18 ERA in five starts against San Diego last season (team was 3-2) and he's 3-1 with 2.70 ERA in seven career starts vs them (teams are 5-2). San Diego gives the ball to Chris Young, who is 2-1 with a 4.81 ERA in six starts (team is 3-3). He's had four excellent starts this season (27 IP / 3 ERs / ERA of 1.00 / team 2-2) and two horrific starts (6.2 IP / 16 hits / 15 ERs / 20.25 ERA / team 1-1). While he's always pitched well at Petco, he hasn't fared well in his career vs the D'backs, especially lately. Young is 1-3 with 4.42 ERA in eight career starts vs the D'backs (team is 2-6), going 0-3 with a 5.28 ERA in six starts against them since 2007. He last beat Arizona back in August of 2006. Getaway Day Game of the Month 20* Ari D'backs.

Good Luck...Larry"


Tom Freese is also on D-backs today, here is what he wrote:

"Tom Freese's Pick Pack
MLB Daily Picks
Premium Plays

Matchup: Arizona at San Diego
Time: 3:35 PM EDT (Thu)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) HAREN, D vs. (R) YOUNG, C
Play: Arizona (ML -115)
Line Source: CAL NEVA
Posted on: May 7, 2009 @ 6:46:32 AM EDT

Dan Haren is 5-2 with a 2.93 ERA in his career vs. the Padres. Arizona is 10-3 as road favorites of -110 to -150 and they are 8-3 their last 11 Thursday games. The Diamondbacks are 6-2 with Dan Haren as a road favorite. San Diego starter Chris Young 2-6 with a 4.42 ERA in 8 career starts vs. Arizona. The Padres are 7-19 their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15 and they are 5-15 in the last 20 starts made by Young vs. NL West teams. 10* PLAY ON ARIZONA (Haren vs. Young)"


Anyone else have opinions about this game? It's at 3:35pm EST.
 

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I like the Dbacks. So long as they can score 2 runs today and Haren can go 7.

A solid Haren vs an anemic SD offense should make for a good afternoon.
 

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I did like Arz but am laying off since 95+% of people are on them for that ESPN streak for cash. That always scares me. Wagerline was only showing 56% or so on them. Good luck!
 

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to me, it looks way too easy.... Haren only -119 against SD?? i would bet small on sd or just skip this game..gl guys
 

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haren is a beast !!!! he will get you 7-8 good innings against the shithole padres ! :toast:
 

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so far, every single person who bet on this game have arizona... automatic fade for me..
 

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I ended up betting on D-backs ML (-124 on bodog)

GL everyone. I normally wouldn't of bet on either one of these teams but Larry Ness has had a very good record lately and I can't miss a GOM by him.
 

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I did like Arz but am laying off since 95+% of people are on them for that ESPN streak for cash. That always scares me. Wagerline was only showing 56% or so on them. Good luck!

down to 92.6 now, but yea, that is usually not good. cards did win yesterday thought with 95.5

i am playing them though
 

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i am going to bet decent amount on Padres now... they actually have pretty good batting avg against Harden...
 

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What do you guys think about betting on SD over 3 for the team total?

Seems tempting, even if they can manage 3 runs it would be a chop. thoughts? thanks
 

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Well my bet has already been placed on D-backs, -112 is OK it just gives me better value, haha. :)
 

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i guess you don't understand the line movement....well gl guys.... i guess i will be the only one on padres today
 

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