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HOME TEAM IN CAP
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.


Washington +1.21 over ARIZONA
Yusmeiro Petit shouldn’t be a –1.30 favorite over anyone. Here’s a guy that’s just filling in for Brandon Webb and when Webb returns or someone else shows they can pitch, Petit will be the first man out. His confidence is completely shot and to make matters worse, he pitches for the team with the lowest team batting average (.225) in the majors. Petit comes in with a 7.94 ERA and an alarming WHIP of 1.74. He’s started four games for the Snakes this season and their record when he starts is 0-4. Petit has also surrendered six bombs in just 20 innings. Meanwhile, the Nats are really scoring a lot of runs and that makes them dangerous and certainly better than its record. Shairon Martis is 3-0 and he’s coming off a complete game, five-hitter over the Cardinals. The Nats were the first team to win at Dodger Stadium last night and now they’ll take back a tag against a team that can’t hit and that is throwing a pitcher out there that has been brutally pounded every time he’s taken the hill this season. Play: Washington +1.21 (Risking 2 units). <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
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Pittsburgh +1.61 over NY METS (1<SUP>st</SUP> 5 innings)
The value here is too great too pass up on despite the fact that the Mets are hot and the Pirates are cold. Anyway, I’m not asking the Pirates to win, I’m asking them to have a lead going to the sixth and with Jonathan Niese on the hill for the Mets, that’s a distinct possibility. Niese has had his chances at this level before and did not deliver. In three career starts covering just 14 frames, he allowed 11 earned runs, 20 hits and walked eight. His major league ERA is 7.07 and his WHIP is 2.00. In five starts in the minors this season, Niese is 0-2 with a 6.55 ERA. He’ll be filling the void left by Oliver Perez and while he does have a great looking curveball and overall pretty good stuff, the pressure is too great for him. He isn’t throwing strikes and for a 22-year old that has had a couple of opportunities to remain with the major-league club, he’s going to get another one here and once again he’ll try to do too much. The price here definitely has influence on this choice, as Niese is not even close to warrant this billing. Overlay. Play: Pittsburgh +1.60 in the first 5 innings (Risking 2 units). <o:p></o:p>
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Tampa Bay –1.02 over BOSTON
The Rays opened as a –1.10 favorite and when the books make anyone a favorite at Fenway not named the Yankees, it is wise to take note. Personally, I’ve watched Brad Penny pitch every start and this guy looks so beat up and hittable it’s not funny. He looks completely out of shape, he’s fighting the strike zone and has been absolutely rocked in two starts at Fenway. At home is BAA is .316 and in nine innings he’s walked six and struck out just three. Last year, pitching for the Dodgers, he went 6-9 with a 6.28 ERA and this year, although it’s early, his ERA is 7.07 and at home it’s 10.00. The Dodgers saw a big decline in his numbers and wisely elected not to re-sign him because all the signs were there that his arm is worn out. James Shields is a quality chucker that almost always pitches deep into games and gives the Rays a much better chance of winning than losing. Again, the books make the Rays a favorite before the betting public went the opposite way and that, too, is a very good sign. Play: Tampa Bay –1.02 (Risking 2.04 units to win 2).
 

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thanks lieutenant ..............hope all is well on your side of the border ........
 

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2 is tough and 3 is possible. Arizona wins. If I explained why it simply would not register. You need badly to expand your methods of analysis. GL on 2 and 3.
 

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