I hit my PLAY OF THE YEAR (10k) yesterday on Chicago Cubs ML -102 and then I hit a huge $3500 play on the Blue Jays last night. So in other words my Pinnacle account (and yes I do have residence in Ontario, Canada) is large right now and before I withdraw another large amount of money, I want to hit a few winners this weekend to make it even bigger. So on that note my huge play for the early afternoon is...
Toronto Blue Jays ML -108
I said it before this series started and I will say it again. Despite losing 9 straight games coming back home (all games were on the road), the Blue Jays are probably going to sweep the Red Sox right back out of town, returning the favor for what happened to them a few weeks back in a crucial series at Fenway where the Jays got swept. This is a much better hitting team at home and this is now their second time seeing Brad Penny in the last few weeks and we all know how that went for Tim Wakefield last night. Not much bad can ever be said about Brad Penny because he has had a very good career with 99 lifetime wins and the Jays are not about to let him have win #100 at their expense.
Brady Penny Daytime Starts (career)
64 starts, 22-22 record, 5.38 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, Opponents batting .295
At night? He has a career ERA of 3.72 in 190 career night time starts and a WHIP of 1.30 with batters hitting only .258 so the difference is huge between the way he pitches during the day and the way he pitches at night and we are going to see that here today. Penny has never lost to the Blue Jays but he has also never faced this version of the Jays on the road. The Red Sox are only 2-3 this season when Penny pitches on the road and some of his road outings include:
At Cleveland on April 28: Penny allowed 7 Runs, 4 ER's in 2.2 innings in a 9-8 loss
At Tampa Bay on May 3: Penny allowed 3 ER's in 6.0 innings in a 5-3 loss
At LA Angels on May 14: Penny allowed 7 hits, 4 ER's in 6.0 innings in a 5-4 loss.
So not that bad but not that good and the offense does not seem to support him away from home. We all know the Blue Jays lineup is bound to him some HR's sooner or later having hit only 1 HR in their last 11 games and Penny has allowed 4 of his 6 Home Runs on the road this season. Alright let's talk a little bit about Brian Tallet because despite not pitching well on the road, he has always been one to pitch well at home. Tallet was outstanding at Fenway Park last week allowing only 2 ER's in a 2-1 loss to the Red Sox and believe me he will get some run support this afternoon. Tallet has great numbers in this spot:
Brian Tallet Daytime Starts (this season)
3 Starts, 1-1 Record, 20.2 Innings Pitched, 7 ER's, 3.05 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, Opponents batting .200
Brian Tallet Home Starts (this season)
3 Starts, 0-0 Record, 20.1 Innings Pitched, 6 ER's, 2.66 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, Opponents batting .160
Overall he has been very good at home and very good in general for the Blue Jays. Tallet has not allowed more than 3 ER's in any of his last five starts since allowing 10 ER's in that disaster start against Kansas City on the road and the only issue has been the silent bats not showing up for Tallet to give him more wins. Well expect things to change here and expect him to have another good outing against the Sox batters. More importantly, a lot of the Jays hitters have done well in day games:
Marco Scutaro = .360 hitter in day games this season
Rod Barajas = .343 hitter in daytime games this season
Kevin Millar = .321 hitter in daytime games this season
Adam Lind = .319 hitter in daytime games this season
Lyle Overbay = .317 hitter in daytime games this season
Vernon Wells = .304 hitter in daytime games this season
Alex Rios = .288 hitter in daytime games this season
Aaron Hill = .274 hitter in daytime games this season
Enough said about that, this is a great spot to back the Blue Jays and their bats because after breaking their streak, they are not about to go back to losing ways, not here, not against the hated Red Sox. I know the Red Sox have the ability to beat just about anyone, anytime and that they could do in this game but I am not too concerned. More important facts to know before I go:
*BOSTON HAS WON ONLY 4 OF THEIR LAST 13 GAMES AT THE ROGERS CENTER
*TORONTO HAS WON 37 OF THEIR LAST 52 AS A HOME FAVORITE
*BOSTON HAS WON ONLY 3 OF THEIR LAST 10 ROAD GAMES
Alright guys i'm gone. The Jays are not losing this game today and even though the Red Sox are good against lefties, Tallet knows a thing or two about getting around these guys and I expect the Jays bats to fully support whatever runs he allows in this one.
TO THE BANK!
$$$$$$
Toronto Blue Jays ML -108
I said it before this series started and I will say it again. Despite losing 9 straight games coming back home (all games were on the road), the Blue Jays are probably going to sweep the Red Sox right back out of town, returning the favor for what happened to them a few weeks back in a crucial series at Fenway where the Jays got swept. This is a much better hitting team at home and this is now their second time seeing Brad Penny in the last few weeks and we all know how that went for Tim Wakefield last night. Not much bad can ever be said about Brad Penny because he has had a very good career with 99 lifetime wins and the Jays are not about to let him have win #100 at their expense.
Brady Penny Daytime Starts (career)
64 starts, 22-22 record, 5.38 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, Opponents batting .295
At night? He has a career ERA of 3.72 in 190 career night time starts and a WHIP of 1.30 with batters hitting only .258 so the difference is huge between the way he pitches during the day and the way he pitches at night and we are going to see that here today. Penny has never lost to the Blue Jays but he has also never faced this version of the Jays on the road. The Red Sox are only 2-3 this season when Penny pitches on the road and some of his road outings include:
At Cleveland on April 28: Penny allowed 7 Runs, 4 ER's in 2.2 innings in a 9-8 loss
At Tampa Bay on May 3: Penny allowed 3 ER's in 6.0 innings in a 5-3 loss
At LA Angels on May 14: Penny allowed 7 hits, 4 ER's in 6.0 innings in a 5-4 loss.
So not that bad but not that good and the offense does not seem to support him away from home. We all know the Blue Jays lineup is bound to him some HR's sooner or later having hit only 1 HR in their last 11 games and Penny has allowed 4 of his 6 Home Runs on the road this season. Alright let's talk a little bit about Brian Tallet because despite not pitching well on the road, he has always been one to pitch well at home. Tallet was outstanding at Fenway Park last week allowing only 2 ER's in a 2-1 loss to the Red Sox and believe me he will get some run support this afternoon. Tallet has great numbers in this spot:
Brian Tallet Daytime Starts (this season)
3 Starts, 1-1 Record, 20.2 Innings Pitched, 7 ER's, 3.05 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, Opponents batting .200
Brian Tallet Home Starts (this season)
3 Starts, 0-0 Record, 20.1 Innings Pitched, 6 ER's, 2.66 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, Opponents batting .160
Overall he has been very good at home and very good in general for the Blue Jays. Tallet has not allowed more than 3 ER's in any of his last five starts since allowing 10 ER's in that disaster start against Kansas City on the road and the only issue has been the silent bats not showing up for Tallet to give him more wins. Well expect things to change here and expect him to have another good outing against the Sox batters. More importantly, a lot of the Jays hitters have done well in day games:
Marco Scutaro = .360 hitter in day games this season
Rod Barajas = .343 hitter in daytime games this season
Kevin Millar = .321 hitter in daytime games this season
Adam Lind = .319 hitter in daytime games this season
Lyle Overbay = .317 hitter in daytime games this season
Vernon Wells = .304 hitter in daytime games this season
Alex Rios = .288 hitter in daytime games this season
Aaron Hill = .274 hitter in daytime games this season
Enough said about that, this is a great spot to back the Blue Jays and their bats because after breaking their streak, they are not about to go back to losing ways, not here, not against the hated Red Sox. I know the Red Sox have the ability to beat just about anyone, anytime and that they could do in this game but I am not too concerned. More important facts to know before I go:
*BOSTON HAS WON ONLY 4 OF THEIR LAST 13 GAMES AT THE ROGERS CENTER
*TORONTO HAS WON 37 OF THEIR LAST 52 AS A HOME FAVORITE
*BOSTON HAS WON ONLY 3 OF THEIR LAST 10 ROAD GAMES
Alright guys i'm gone. The Jays are not losing this game today and even though the Red Sox are good against lefties, Tallet knows a thing or two about getting around these guys and I expect the Jays bats to fully support whatever runs he allows in this one.
TO THE BANK!
$$$$$$
