Brewers +110

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Getting a price here on one of the best pitchers in the league (Gallardo). Road era is fine @ 3.48, but it should be even lower based on the excellent 1.16 whip. He also pitched a very strong 7 innings in his only previous start @ Turner Field (albeit back in 2007). Gallardo can be a bit inconsistent, but he's dominant more often than not. Always worth a look at this kind of price, especially vs. a mediocre team like the Braves.

Conversely, Jurrjens has a home era of 3.08 this year, but that is in no way whatsoever backed up by his whip, which is terrible @ 1.44. And that number is no fluke, considering that his career home whip is 1.48 (covering 138 innings). As you might expect from that, his career home era is a full run higher than it is on the road (where he's posted a very fine 1.16). Very strange, as generally it's the other way around, but the numbers don't lie. Clearly Jurrjens is a quality pitcher overall, but he definitely has home issues for whatever reason, and his sparkling 2.59 overall era looks to be an aberration.

Plus, i think the oddsmakers have slanted the line a bit here with the publicity over McLouth joining the lineup today (fine hitter that he is). Good value on the Brew Crew.
 

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