Pocono 500

CUP YTD

+06.42 units (Match-Ups)
+10.08 units (Props)
+01.42 units (Outrights)

Total: +17.92 units

Poor job capping last week on my part(along with some crappy luck) hoping for a turnaround today....on the bright side, had a very good day yesterday with the NWS race, best of the year so far


Match-Ups

3.00 units Mark Martin (+100) over Greg Biffle (@5dimes)
3.00 units Tony Stewart(-115) over Greg Biffle (@thegreek)
Got a little combo against Biff. Really like Martin and Smoke to challenge for at least a Top 5, something Biffle has only done once here in 12 starts.

Head-to-head at Pocono Martin is 8-1 vs. Biffle the last 9 races, Stewart is 7-1 the last 8. Martin has 31 Top 10's in 44 starts here, Stewart has 14 Top 10's in 20 starts. Not too worried about Tony going to a back-up, he has a lot of good people around him and rather have him in that position than most anyone else.

1.50 units Kasey Kahne (+160) over Greg Biffle (@sportsbook.com)
Throw this one in too, Kahne was not very good in practice but given his history here its worth a shot at this price

1.50 unit Tony Stewart (-110) over Kyle Busch (@thegreek)
Don't like going against Kyle but he has had his share of problems at this track in the past

1.50 unit Jeff Burton (-125) over David Reutimann (@5dimes)
Will take the steady Burton over the up and down Reutimann on one of "The Franchise's" worst tracks (32.0 avg. in 4 starts)

1.50 unit Denny Hamlin (-105) over Jimmie Johnson (@5dimes)
If Denny is going to break the jinx this will be the place, by far his best track (6.2 avg. in 6 starts and 2 wins)

Props

2.00 units Tony Stewart (-135) under 9.5 (@5dimes)
Beat this number 6 out of 7 tries at Pocono and 7 of last 10 races this year

1.50 units Jeff Burton (-115) under 16.5 (@5dimes)
Has beat this number 10 of the last 11 races in '09 and 5 of last 6 at Pocono

1.00 unit Mark Martin (+280) to win group (@sportsbook.com)
over Vickers/Jr/Burton/Harvick

Outrights

1.00 unit Denny Hamlin (+600) @sportsbook.com
0.50 unit Tony Stewart (+1000) @thegreek
0.50 unit Ryan Newman (+1000) @thegreek
0.33 unit Mark Martin (+1500) @thegreek

Good luck to everyone!

Good luck!! Go get em. Nothing was jumping out to me too much today, but look to have some good thoughts here. Thanks.

thanks royalfan, gl to you...hope its a great race

I went with Jeff Burton (-145) over Kevin Harvick. It's a lot chalk to lay but it was the matchup I liked best out of my limited selection on BetJm.

Good luck to everyone.

like the match-up 'lapper...harvick really been struggling lately while burton is ultra-consistent....gl

gl maxx, im all about kurt busch today, good to see ur not high on the biff

3-3 +0.45 units (Match-Ups)
2-1 +2.50 units (Props)
1-3 +3.17 units (Outrights)

Sunday Total: +6.12 units

Thanks you Smoke for pulling that one out, otherwise looking at a break-even day....

overall a nice 12 1/2 unit cushion for both races this weekend, definitely needed that

gjob, dont even wanna think about what kurt busch cost me today yet