Phils\Dodgers Discussion

2dollarRazzplayer · Jun 7, 2009

I think they avoid the sweep here. Dodgers are having an extremely difficult time hitting the ball lately. I haven't run the numbers but they are one of the worst hitting teams in baseball in the last 7 games. They have gotten beyond lucky to beat the Phillies these past two games, and I just don't think it's gonna happen tonight.

Obviously not entire comfortable throwing a big bet down on a rookie with very limited experience in the bigs but I see the Phils giving him some good run support tonight. Randy Wolf not the most comforting guy to bet against either.

I have one unit on it already but I'm considering upping it to my first three unit play of the year. If all the circumstances were the same, and we had yesterday's pitchers... it'd be a three unit play for sure but I'm feeling a bit hesitant to up it here. What you guys think?

ZJP6050 · Jun 7, 2009

dodgers .292 against lefties, phillies hitting .260 against lefties...just a small stat that shows a slight dodger advantage. not to mention, wolf is a great pitcher. will wait to see how the lines change later to determine my play though. good luck

2dollarRazzplayer · Jun 7, 2009

yeah bro, I feel you. Hard to pull the trigger large on this one, that's for certain. Maybe the under is a good play too?

BoutMyMoney · Jun 7, 2009

phillies and over 8

2dollarRazzplayer · Jun 7, 2009

pen advantage likely goes to Phils since Lidge isn't avail

:laugh:

ZJP6050 · Jun 7, 2009

as it stands right now, the way the lines are moving shows the dodgers may be the play. however, too early to tell based on that. with a gun to my head i'd say dodgers...that's just me though

2dollarRazzplayer · Jun 7, 2009

what about the line movement indicates LAD is the play zip? I'm not terribly good at figuring out how line movements dictate the correct play

cocktailsnlongshots+ · Jun 7, 2009

wtf are u talkin bout a sweep?..phils won thursday nite..and shoulda won all three nites if not 4 lidge...and this comin from a dodger fan..that being said...over might be the play with both closers out tonite

NickelsAndDimes · Jun 7, 2009

YaMar2001 said:
I think they avoid the sweep here. Dodgers are having an extremely difficult time hitting the ball lately. I haven't run the numbers but they are one of the worst hitting teams in baseball in the last 7 games. They have gotten beyond lucky to beat the Phillies these past two games, and I just don't think it's gonna happen tonight.

Obviously not entire comfortable throwing a big bet down on a rookie with very limited experience in the bigs but I see the Phils giving him some good run support tonight. Randy Wolf not the most comforting guy to bet against either.

I have one unit on it already but I'm considering upping it to my first three unit play of the year. If all the circumstances were the same, and we had yesterday's pitchers... it'd be a three unit play for sure but I'm feeling a bit hesitant to up it here. What you guys think?

phillies won the 1st game...this was a 4 game series...they arent trying to avoid a sweep

raiderguy · Jun 7, 2009

cocktailsnlongshots said:
wtf are u talkin bout a sweep?..phils won thursday nite..and shoulda won all three nites if not 4 lidge...and this comin from a dodger fan..that being said...over might be the play with both closers out tonite

Is Broxton out too? That's huge if he is. Lidge I can understand being out.

2dollarRazzplayer · Jun 7, 2009

cocktailsnlongshots said:
wtf are u talkin bout a sweep?..phils won thursday nite..and shoulda won all three nites if not 4 lidge...and this comin from a dodger fan..that being said...over might be the play with both closers out tonite

didn't know it was a four game set...my bad brah

2dollarRazzplayer · Jun 7, 2009

Broxton could easily be unavail.

2dollarRazzplayer · Jun 7, 2009

Nickels And Dimes said:
phillies won the 1st game...this was a 4 game series...they arent trying to avoid a sweep

thanks for saying it not like a complete douche bag like the other guy. thought it was three game set. definitely important aspect of tonight's game that Phils aren't trying to avoid the sweep

ZJP6050 · Jun 7, 2009

yamar, discredit what i said earlier about the dodgers looking like the play based on line movement...thus far, it is the phillies. will be waiting to clarify further until closer to gametime..

jblonghorn · Jun 7, 2009

ZJP6050, what does Pops' spreadsheet say about the game?

ZJP6050 · Jun 7, 2009

according to line movement (nothing else) the play looks like the phillies and looks to be getting a little stronger as it draws nearer to first pitch.

cocktailsnlongshots+ · Jun 7, 2009

YaMar2001 said:
Broxton could easily be unavail.

read a torre statement this mornin sayin brox after throwin 2 strait days would like to give troncoso the close if necessary tonite...

BadCo · Jun 7, 2009

Five O;clock start means glare and or shadows.

First 5 under worked in S.F. a few weeks back.

Rookie should do well first time through the order?

seanm0520 · Jun 7, 2009

Personally like my Phils in this one...BOL though whatever you choose.

ZJP6050 · Jun 7, 2009

not a good situation for the phils right now

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