actually tried to win $250 so i lost 11 units on St. Louis. Bringing my season record to 180-12 +118 units (not counting the Oakland close last night).@)
BOL to you:toast:
you tried to win 250 .. meaning a unit is 50 , cause you were trying to win 5 units.
if all 3 games were like -130 ( which is real close )
you would have risked
325/250
747/575
1719/1322
that means you lost $ 2791
that would be about 56 units . 2791 / 50
how did you count it as an 11 unit loss ?
just wondering about the math
i'm wondering if your math on the other 11 series losses was correct.
not hating here , just wanting accurate info.
the 3 game chase needs to hit at an incredible 93 or 94 % rate to make a penny.
a typical 3 game chase involving a -130 fav would lose $ 1117 trying to win 100 .
which means even if you hit the next 11 in a row , you still havent broken even.
i would like to see you pick maybe 3 or 4 to chase instead of 8 to 10 .
good luck
Other math was correct, because they were one unit plays. Easy calculations with one unit plays. Research if you may, all documented here. St Louis was the first 5 unit chase i lost. Bump my wagers up to 5 units cause i was hot and got cocky, now that I got hit in the nuts will scale units back to 1 and 2 unit plays. Not taking that your hating at all. I have scaled the plays back considerably as i have chased as money as 25 series. Yes, you are correct you must hit in the 90% range to make money, but I have put a ton of time and effort into this. Going to finish these 5 unit chases and then scale back the units.
Good Luck to you also:toast:
if you have a specific criteria you use to produce that many series , then proceed on .
here is a little tid bit for ya.
i was looking at home stands . every team in the majors with the exception of washington ( who i didnt track ) won a game by game 4 of a long home stand.
AL
GM1 30
GM2 11
GM3 4
GM4 3
NL
GM1 29
GM2 15
GM3 6
GM4 2
This was as of a week ago. As you can see its never lost . And out by game 3 94 % in the AL and 96 % in the NL.
We all have the same objective:toast: ^<<^The Bookie
