RL Chase system idea

Just wondering what peoples thoughts are on this idea..

1) i want to start researching what teams have the highest average losing margin (i.e. when they lose, its usually by alot).

2) take the better teams on this list

3) wait for them to go on a 2 or 3 game win streak

4) start betting on their opponents on the alternate RL

i would chase for 3 or 4 games, considering it would only be for decent teams the alternate runlines would be pretty juicy.

any thoughts?

youre gonna get to game 3 or 4 quite often. like around 30 % of the time.

that is if you concentrate on home teams playing a home stand.

for example . in the american league , if you looked at every homestand:

you won by 2 +

game 1 25
game 2 13
game 3 8
game 4 4
game 5 1
game 6 1

meaning it took until the game number listed to get that win by 2+

seattle never won a game by 2 in one of their homestands.

i might have missed 1 or 2 series.

if i were you , i would have a cut off .. if the first game of the series , the fav is -130 or less , play on the ML . and then stick with it .

if they are -135 or more , play them on the RL and stick with it all the way thru.

i think you misunderstood the idea.. i would be betting the underdog on the alt runline.

im not sure if seattle has a high average loss margin but if they did this would be the plan :

wait for them to go on a win streak and then start betting against them on the alt runline (taking their opponents -1.5)

Average margin of defeat

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BORDER-TOP: black; BORDER-LEFT: black 0.5pt solid; WIDTH: 205pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: black 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 15pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=273 height=20>LA ANGELS</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: black 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: black; BORDER-LEFT: black; WIDTH: 31pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: black 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" align=right width=41>3.1</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD class=xl66 style="BORDER-RIGHT: black 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: black; BORDER-LEFT: black 0.5pt solid; WIDTH: 205pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: black 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 15pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=273 height=20>MILWAUKEE</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: black 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: black; BORDER-LEFT: black; WIDTH: 31pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: black 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" align=right width=41>3.1</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD class=xl66 style="BORDER-RIGHT: black 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: black; BORDER-LEFT: black 0.5pt solid; WIDTH: 205pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: black 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 15pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=273 height=20>PHILADELPHIA</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: black 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: black; BORDER-LEFT: black; WIDTH: 31pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: black 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" align=right width=41>3</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD class=xl66 style="BORDER-RIGHT: black 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: black; BORDER-LEFT: black 0.5pt solid; WIDTH: 205pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: black 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 15pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=273 height=20>WASHINGTON</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: black 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: black; BORDER-LEFT: black; WIDTH: 31pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: black 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" align=right width=41>3</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD class=xl66 style="BORDER-RIGHT: black 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: black; BORDER-LEFT: black 0.5pt solid; WIDTH: 205pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: black 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 15pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=273 height=20>LOS ANGELES</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: black 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: black; BORDER-LEFT: black; WIDTH: 31pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: black 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" align=right width=41>2.9</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD class=xl66 style="BORDER-RIGHT: black 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: black; BORDER-LEFT: black 0.5pt solid; WIDTH: 205pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: black 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 15pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=273 height=20>TAMPA BAY</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: black 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: black; BORDER-LEFT: black; WIDTH: 31pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: black 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" align=right width=41>2.9</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD class=xl66 style="BORDER-RIGHT: black 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: black; BORDER-LEFT: black 0.5pt solid; WIDTH: 205pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: black 0.5pt solid; HEIGHT: 15pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=273 height=20>NY METS</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: black 0.5pt solid; BORDER-TOP: black; BORDER-LEFT: black; WIDTH: 31pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: black 0.5pt solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" align=right width=41>2.7</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

d1g1t

Tigers, Yankees, Braves, Blue Jays seem like the best candidates. Now they just have to get on a win streak.

tigers have won 2 in a row.. thinking about giving it a go tomorrow afternoon and taking the white sox -1.5

wsox -1.5 might not be a bad idea. but you never know if they show

White Sox -1.5 +185 25 to win 46.25

@)