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Seems that most everyone is on Florida as a value bet b/c of the heavy lumber & the fact that Nolasco is comming along better than his usuall self.
But until then i will continue playing on the one of the hottest teams in bases.

(Baseball System1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Florida, with a money line of +150 or more, allowing 4.8 or more runs a game on the season, against opponent with a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last five starts. Over the last five years this system grades out at 78-17, 82.1 percent.

Lester has been nothing short of brilliant since an really poor April. He’s allowed just 1 run in 4 of his last 5 starts. His last three starts rival the best in Baseball over that time, allowing 3 runs in 23 innings, while striking out 33 batters.In his last 3 starts he is 2-0 with a ERA of 1.23 and has struck out at least 11 batters in each of his last three starts. Opponents are batting .099 against him during this time frame.

stats for the Red Sox:
The Red Sox are a major-league best 23-8 at home.
Boston is 12-3 in its last 15 games.
The Red Sox have won five straight at home.
The Red Sox have won 70 percent of their past 124 home games.
Boston also is 8-1 in Jon Lester’s past nine interleague starts.

Florida is 8-18 in its last 26 games as an underdog.

Time to get the brooms out :cripwalk:

The ML is considerably high & don't want to lay the lumber,so:

BOSTON RL-1.5 ** 2 Units ** (better safe than sorry)

additional play:

Texas *** 3 Units *** (BEST BET) of my 3 plays
Mets/Orioles "UNDER" 10.5 * 1 Unit *
 

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