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What am I missing by not taking +102 on Lucas Glover/Ricky Barnes to win the open?

They're 5 shots ahead of everyone else. Wouldn't it take a Van De Velde esque type of collapse for one of them to lose?
 

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I think Ricky Barnes is done. I see a big choke in his future. He was already starting to show a little bit of the pressure in his short time out there this evening. I give him about a 10% chance of winning. Lucas Glover might be able to get it done if he can shoot par golf the rest of the way.. My darkhorse to win it is Hunter Mahan. He is just as capable of Mickelson of getting on a birdie string and passing these guys by.
 

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