$$$$$$$$$$ If you like money play this game™ $$$$$$$$$$

Search
jbragg10

jbragg10

The Gr8 1
Joined
Apr 30, 2008
Messages
6,372
Tokens
234px-Colorado_Rockies_logo.svg.png

Colorado Rockies -135


*** Warning ***
Don't play the Indians tonight.
It falls into a trap game.
Natty across the street said it best, so I will quote him (and give him credit for reminding me of this).
"Whenever there is a favorite where laying 1.5 run pays more or nearly a dollar difference by playing the run line, then that game is probably a linesmakers trap. Mainly saying that the book is thinking the fav has a good chance to lose or the dog stand a good chance to cover the 1.5 runs."

^ Indians fall into this and I wouldn't play the them tonight if it was me.

If you want my opinion on games, just let me know.


Great first half of the year ... let's keep it going!
27-10 73%
 
a153

a153

New member
Joined
Jan 22, 2007
Messages
2,400
Tokens
jbragg10 said:
234px-Colorado_Rockies_logo.svg.png

Colorado Rockies -135


*** Warning ***
Don't play the Indians tonight.
It falls into a trap game.
Natty across the street said it best, so I will quote him (and give him credit for reminding me of this).
"Whenever there is a favorite where laying 1.5 run pays more or nearly a dollar difference by playing the run line, then that game is probably a linesmakers trap. Mainly saying that the book is thinking the fav has a good chance to lose or the dog stand a good chance to cover the 1.5 runs."

^ Indians fall into this and I wouldn't play the them tonight if it was me.

If you want my opinion on games, just let me know.


Great first half of the year ... let's keep it going!
27-10 73%
Click to expand...


Isn't that every time the team is -200 ?
 

pistol495

Member
Joined
Jan 21, 2007
Messages
154
Tokens
While I dont diagree with Natty's assessment, you have to wonder why they would post a -200 on CLE in the first place. I think the trap might be SEA especially if you look at the current forms of the teams.

Pistol
 
wags4

wags4

The Juice is worth the squeeze
Joined
Sep 15, 2008
Messages
1,362
Tokens
Congrats on the season jbragg's. Let's keep it going n good luck :toast:
 
focker

focker

Meet the.......
Joined
Jun 4, 2009
Messages
156
Tokens
braggs, saw nattys post also.....if its a trap, may want to look at the otherside. Natty is on SEA....this is very interesting ...... you said above you were reminded of this type of trap, whats the way to go if one was to take the otherside? RL or ML?......I am going to keep an eye on this....

GL luck with COL tonight, I am w/ you
 
DChosta

DChosta

"Sit on mah lap!"
Joined
Jun 19, 2006
Messages
3,422
Tokens
I think the Rockies are gonna be a trap play tonight as well.. price continuing to fall on them and shouldn't be priced this low w/ Cook on the Mound vs. a Padres team who have done a whole lot of nothin' the past week or so.
 
a153

a153

New member
Joined
Jan 22, 2007
Messages
2,400
Tokens
A lot of jibberish in this thread. I realize some people still believe in traps but not sure how a -200 team could be a trap. It's not a trap laying 2 to 1 on a game. This theory also makes no sense. Every time a team is -200 the RL is pretty standard ranging from even money to +110. Braves and Indians are exact same lines so both games are traps? lol
 
powerz

powerz

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
Joined
Mar 19, 2008
Messages
13,706
Tokens
The trap goes as follows - Joe Blow looks at Cliff Lee vs Seattle & thinks hmmm I like that game.

Then he sees -200 and thinks ewww thats a hefty price

Then he says I think I'll lay the run line and only pay some juice there but only -110ish

The game plays out like this - cleveland jumps out to an early lead and and then it slowly gives back teh lead over the course of the game and Seattle either wins late or covers the 1.5 and all those parlays and/or RL plays get blown up.

GL guys



Jbragg keep the winners coming!


Powerz:toast:
 
a153

a153

New member
Joined
Jan 22, 2007
Messages
2,400
Tokens
powerz said:
The trap goes as follows - Joe Blow looks at Cliff Lee vs Seattle & thinks hmmm I like that game.

Then he sees -200 and thinks ewww thats a hefty price

Then he says I think I'll lay the run line and only pay some juice there but only -110ish

The game plays out like this - cleveland jumps out to an early lead and and then it slowly gives back teh lead over the course of the game and Seattle either wins late or covers the 1.5 and all those parlays and/or RL plays get blown up.

GL guys



Jbragg keep the winners coming!


Powerz:toast:
Click to expand...

But that makes no sense. That is the case with every big favorite in baseball. By your reasoning every time a team is -200 its a trap.
 
jbragg10

jbragg10

The Gr8 1
Joined
Apr 30, 2008
Messages
6,372
Tokens
a153 said:
But that makes no sense. That is the case with every big favorite in baseball. By your reasoning every time a team is -200 its a trap.
Click to expand...

Yes ... for the runline.
I guess basically is what I am saying is if you see a -200 team (that pays more or nearly a dollar difference )
Play the dog and you will be a winner over the long run.
I think the percentage is around 50%, meaning cash will come in


Playing a run line on any team that is -200 is a dumb move. Save your money
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Forum statistics

Threads
1,108,622
Messages
13,452,980
Members
99,426
Latest member
bodyhealthtechofficia

Share this page

The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com
@2023 TheRX. All rights reserved.21+. Bet Responsibly: If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, seek help at 1-800-Gambler