Consensus numbers across the board

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I think this fits in well with a post I had a few days ago Greek/Bookmaker discouraging betting on certain teams. I tested that, and have been doing decent, however wanted to narrow down games on the board.

Lets take a look at today's games:

baseballlines.jpg


Highlighted are the games where the 3 "pro" books have lines all within .05 of each other. That's the market value for those teams.

Each book takes value away from the other team. Pinnacle takes away 8%, Bookmaker and The Greek take away 20%.

My hypothesis from watching lines? Bet on the teams that aren't at market value.

We can go back and apply this to the past days' lines, here are Thursday's posted in the forum earlier:

lines.png


Note that the lines drawn aren't the same, that was simply done to present another point and the image hasn't been edited.

Lets take what we've learned. Florida was -113, -114, and -115. It's safe to say Florida is the line that has set the market value. You would bet on Philadelphia.

San Diego was +117 +120 +117, you'd bet on Colorado. Keep doing so the other games within .05 of each other, fading Washington and Cincinnati.

This should be something that's successful, because you're identifying what team the books are determining their line off of.

The red boxes up top mean the game is still in progress.
 

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baseballlines.jpg


Looking like a clean 5-0 sweep today. Might have a MIN play tonight.

4-1 Yesterday.

5-0 Thursday.

Let me check Friday's results. I'll have to go through odds individually.
 

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Does not their fucking .20 line skew the numbers.

If this has been addressed sorry I need cliff notes.
 

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hoosiers, you're the man.. you should work for the FBI the way you investigate these lines <><>

let us know if there is a late play tonight!!
 

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Handicapper
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how close to game time do you consider it a play as lines can go from a play to a pass
 

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I was just testing this out for the games that went on today and its perfect so far. Minnesota would be the play for the later game.
 

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It takes really long to backtrack this.

Was trying to get back to the start of July, only made it to a week before the All Star break.

7/6 5-0
7/7 2-0
7/8 3-4
7/9 6-2
7/10 7-1
7/11 3-4
7/12 3-4
ALL STAR BREAK
7/16 5-0
7/17 5-3
7/18 4-1
7/19 5-0

OVERALL 48-19
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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so looking at tmrs games right now the plays would be...

Wash
Pitt
Cub
SFG
LAD
TEX


is that right?
 

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What time do you check this for plays? I see right now that just Pitt, SFG and Tex would be plays.....when is the time to determine?
 

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What time do you check this for plays? I see right now that just Pitt, SFG and Tex would be plays.....when is the time to determine?

From what I am getting what he is saying if the spread between the Grk/Cris to Pinny is higher on the fav - play the fav

ie: -140/-145 to -130 = .10/.15...... dog would be...
+120/+125 to +122 = .02/.03.......

therefore the high volume books like the fav follow them


have used this strategy for awhile have refined it it even more hit plenty of ML DOGS in Foots last year/testing WNBA system ty.
 

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We used a system like this back in the early/mid nineties [ with excellent success] before offshore & computers were used much if any[lol]. We used the mirage stardust & hilton as guides fo plays,usually waited until about 4-5mins before gametime, gl.
 

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