Monday - 1st Inning - 30-19 +5.03 units

lazzonya · Jul 20, 2009

St. Louis @ Houston - YES (-115) - 8:05 ET - 3 units

oddsmaker

Cardinals
36.7% scored / 31.7% allowed / 39.0% scored road / 39.0% allowed road
Astros
37.7% scored / 29.9% allowed / 36.8% scored home / 26.3% allowed home

Lohse
4 allowed in 10 starts / 2 of 4 on the road
Moehler
4 allowed in 12 starts / 2 of 6 at home

Cards' 1-4 hitters 14-31 (.452) off Moehler / 6.1% WPAB
Astros' 1-4 hitters 33-117 (.282) off Lohse / 7.1% WPAB

Peace

Lazzonya

Season

30-19 +5.03 units

1 unit - 21-9 +10.95u
2 unit - 9-8 +0.08u
3 unit - 0-2 -6.00u
4 unit - 0-0 +0.00u

YES - 17-9 +4.33u
NO - 13-10 +0.70u

thatoneguy · Jul 20, 2009

hmmm, a 3 unit'r huh... pretty confident or riding the wave?

WorldNumberOne · Jul 20, 2009

i have to say , 17-9 playing the yes is pretty impressive.

i almost always play the no when i do these.

laz , do you have the season breakdown for both leagues. curious to see how close to 50 % it is for a score in the 1st.

thatoneguy · Jul 20, 2009

i dont know if it's the same for you or not, but whenever you have a yes, i tend to lean under and no usually gets an over. this happen to you a lot?

lazzonya · Jul 20, 2009

that one guy said:
hmmm, a 3 unit'r huh... pretty confident or riding the wave?

just like the stats on this one, bookmaker is @ -120, and historically I do pretty well off a loss.

lazzonya · Jul 20, 2009

World Number One said:
i have to say , 17-9 playing the yes is pretty impressive.

i almost always play the no when i do these.

laz , do you have the season breakdown for both leagues. curious to see how close to 50 % it is for a score in the 1st.

i don't have a split for each league, but all of MLB is at 52.67% YES

lazzonya · Jul 20, 2009

that one guy said:
i dont know if it's the same for you or not, but whenever you have a yes, i tend to lean under and no usually gets an over. this happen to you a lot?

very interesting. i never looked into this.

GirlieGirl · Jul 20, 2009

Maybe tomorrow. I'll be here.

thatoneguy · Jul 21, 2009

lazzonya said:
very interesting. i never looked into this.

under cashed and the yes failed out. shame for the 3 star, but i gotta be honest, normally both hit when that situation comes up, despite how against the grain it naturally is. either way, tomorrow's a new day and a new spot for you to kill some shit; get em lazz