Crazy Parlay

Kristianw · Jul 25, 2009

Hoping to get lucky.
Astros -137
Brewers/Braves Over 8
Padres -111
Redsox RL -125
Pirates Dbacks over 9

Pays roughly 18-1

olballcoach · Jul 25, 2009

I would say you got about a 2.7% chance of winning

Kristianw · Jul 25, 2009

2.7 I'll take that. I was thinking it was more like 1%. Put very little on it.

olballcoach · Jul 25, 2009

i like most of them. pirates/dbacks over scares me and the padres always scare me

Kristianw · Jul 25, 2009

Yeah. I figure the padres have a 50% chance winning.

SpiderWeb · Jul 25, 2009

Kristianw said:
Yeah. I figure the padres have a 50% chance winning.

Lol, why would you bet on them at -111 if you thought they had a 50% chance of winning?

I like all your picks except for the Astros game, and I'm a little borderline about the Red Sox. I'd play them all individually though. I don't think parlays really make sense unless the picks are related, e.g. taking the Braves AND OVER 8.

Just my 2cents.

Kristianw · Jul 25, 2009

Yes I see what you mean SpiderWeb. I just feel as if the odds aren't worth the risk if they are related plays that way. The only exception would be if you could parlay rl and ml but I have yet to find a book that allows that.

SpiderWeb · Jul 26, 2009

And you never will find a sportsbook that allows that. If they did that then they would just be giving away money. For favorites, it's impossible to win the RL without also winning the ML. For underdogs, it's impossible to win the ML without also winning the RL. They'd essentially be giving you a parlay payout for a single bet risk.