Fade the Nationals System

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The Nationals are 30-68 right now. Theoretically, if I faded every Nationals moneyline for the rest of the season, would I make a profit? Let's assume their win-to-loss ratio from the first half of the season will be the same in the second half of the season.

-Insmgg
 

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Keep the wagers the same you will. Be like me and get greedy like last night you get burned. I fade the nationals only when they not playing shitty teams that are near to they nature but yes you keep it consistant and try not to bump up big cause they lose alot that 1 big wager they may win.
 

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What if one was to fade the Nats and Padres the rest of the way on RL's since the Nats bullpen is horrid and Padres cant even score at all?
 

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I think about 15 of the Nats' 68 losses were by 1. Would fading the +1.5 line be more or less profitable than the moneyline?
 

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Bump one more time

are you fucking kidding me? bump one more time? does no one on this site do any of their own research? why not just create a rx account and ask people to send you straight cash? how do you have any idea that what people are telling you on here is true?

... nevermind; back to work. gl everybody.
 

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I think about 15 of the Nats' 68 losses were by 1. Would fading the +1.5 line be more or less profitable than the moneyline?

I don't have all the numbers to back this up, but I know that Washington has only been favored in 24 of their 98 games. So, since opponents of the Nationals are generally favored, a ML isn't going to net you all that much. If you take the RL on those, you'll only win 57 times instead of 68 times, but you'd probably profit more from those 57 wins than you'd lose in the 15 additional losses.
 

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So here's what I found:

Fading the Padres:
61-38 straightup, 45-54 against the spread

Fading the Nationals:
68-30 straightup, 53-45 against the spread

So do you guys think my best bet is to go with the Padres ML and the Nats RL? Or should I only go with the Nats RL?
 

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