SpiderWeb O/U Thread

SpiderWeb · Jul 27, 2009

I decided to move my picks to one thread instead of listing them in a new thread everyday.

I just started this system on Saturday. So far these picks are 9-6-1.

Picks For Monday, 7/27:

Detroit at Texas UNDER 9.5
Cleveland at LAA OVER 10

I'm considering adding OVERS on the Phillies, White Sox and Royals games, but I need to look into them some more. I'll post them if and when I decide to play them.

parlayallday · Jul 27, 2009

i got the under in the royals game.

SpiderWeb · Jul 27, 2009

My reasoning for thinking about picking the Royals and OVER:

Both bullpens are well below average.
Chen has an ERA of 9.00 on the road.
Hill has an ERA of 10.26 at home.
Baltimore is averaging 5 runs per game against lefties.
KC is averaging 4 runs per game against lefties.

I think these offensensive numbers will get jacked up as a result of the TERRIBLE pitching staffs.

SpiderWeb · Jul 27, 2009

ahh shit, the line just moved from 10 to 10.5. I'll probably pass now.

parlayallday · Jul 27, 2009

your right both pitching staffs are terrible but baltimore has a very hard time against lefties. chens numbers are on limited starts probably 2 this year.

parlayallday · Jul 27, 2009

i really think that both teams have hard one with lefties.

SpiderWeb · Jul 27, 2009

Chen's numbers are on 5 starts. His ERA in his past 3 starts is 6.38, so he may be improving, but still pretty poor numbers.

Baltimore scores 5 on average against lefties. Coming from the AL East, I think that is pretty respectable.

parlayallday · Jul 27, 2009

Avg: 3.9 Runs per game in last 10 games vs. Lefties.

BALTIMORE IS 4-6 SU IN THESE GAMES.
DATE HOME RUNS AWAY RUNS SU RESULT O/U O/U RESULT MONEY LINE HOME PITCHER AWAY PITCHER
07/25/2009 BOS 7 BAL 2 L 9 P -230 J Lester J Guthrie
07/20/2009 NYY 2 BAL 1 L 10½ U -210 A Pettitte D Hernandez
07/18/2009 CHW 4 BAL 3 L 9 U -155 M Buehrle B Bergesen
07/17/2009 CHW 12 BAL 8 L 9½ O -160 J Danks J Berken
07/12/2009 BAL 4 TOR 2 W 9 U -115 B Bergesen M Rzepczynski
07/11/2009 BAL 4 TOR 3 W 9½ U 100 R Hill R Romero
07/10/2009 BAL 0 TOR 2 L 10 U 100 J Berken B Cecil
07/08/2009 SEA 3 BAL 5 W 9 U -120 J Vargas D Hernandez
07/07/2009 SEA 4 BAL 12 W 7½ O -145 E Bedard J Guthrie
07/06/2009 SEA 5 BAL 0 L 8 U -110 J Washburn B Berge

parlayallday · Jul 27, 2009

and im not being a dick just trying to share information.

SpiderWeb · Jul 27, 2009

Good info. But you have to look at the level of pitcher they are facing. Chen is no Lester, Pettitte or Buehrle.

That being said, I won't be playing this game anyway due to the line shift, so it's not that important.

parlayallday · Jul 27, 2009

good luck tonight.

SpiderWeb · Jul 27, 2009

I'm not playing it so I hope it goes under for you. Good luck.

parlayallday · Jul 27, 2009

thanks man.

SpiderWeb · Jul 28, 2009

Yesterday: 2-0
System to date: 11-6-1

Today's Picks
Yankees Over 9
Tigers Under 9.5
Dodgers Over 7.5
Phillies Over 7.5
Indians Over 9.5

Good luck!

SpiderWeb · Jul 28, 2009

i'm also going with the D'Backs and Cards in ML plays tonight. they won't be counted as part of this system, but they are plays.

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