dlo's tennis thread

n19dlo · Aug 2, 2009

rather than opening a new thread daily, i'll post my plays in one thread...
all lines from betfair

ytd 1-1 (+230)

championship sunday

istanbul cup
hradecka + 270
she prolly doesn't have the talent but she definitely has played the tougher matches in this tournament. money pouring in on her at this moment...like her chances here...

leaning on ball and maybe even on bartoli again but will post later...

n19dlo · Aug 2, 2009

what a way to start the morning...yikes...

adding...

odesnik -250
jc ferrero + 290
bartoli +640 (0.5 units)
ball +370

n19dlo · Aug 4, 2009

ytd: 3-4 (+350)

couldn't post all day long due to computer issues at work...

anyways, looking like a very chalky day but feel good about these plays

all for one unit and all lines from pinnacle...

la championship
hantuchova -195
U. radwanska -150
cirstea -165 (2 units)
A. wozniak (-210)

legg mason
JC ferrero -245 (2 units)
mayer -190
Berdych -235

n19dlo · Aug 4, 2009

ytd: 3-4 (+350)

couldn't post all day long due to computer issues at work...

anyways, looking like a very chalky day but feel good about these plays

all for one unit and all lines from pinnacle...

la championship
hantuchova -195
U. radwanska -150
cirstea -165 (2 units)
A. wozniak (-210)

legg mason
JC ferrero -245 (2 units)
mayer -190
Berdych -235

n19dlo · Aug 4, 2009

adding:

la championship
zvonervera -260 (2 units)
-she's is like 5-0 versus peng. she should dominate...

n19dlo · Aug 5, 2009

ytd 10-5 (+1160)

almost jinxed myself with zvonevera....

back in the am

n19dlo · Aug 5, 2009

legg mason
petzschner +170 (fish coming back from an abd strain he suffered about a week ago...that usually takes 2-3 weeks to recover from,imo)
troicki -145

la championship
safarova -125 (2 units)
wickmayer -260
sharapova +155 (i personally would wait till later today to bet this...line should go up but posting now)

n19dlo · Aug 6, 2009

ytd 13-6 (+1335)

troicki bet was a no play (did not complete 2 sets). just watching the line movement on this match made me suspect that something was not right with him...we move on....

la championship
stosur -110 (2 units)
pennetta -120 (3 units)
zvonareva -190

legg mason
isner -245
gonzalez -345

lots of chalk once again but feel good about these...

may add one more in am...

n19dlo · Aug 6, 2009

adding...
querrey +390

n19dlo · Aug 7, 2009

ytd:18-7 (+2035)

legg mason
gonzalez -125 (2 units)
isner +130

la championship
stosur -190 (2 units)
pennetta -140 (3 units)

n19dlo · Aug 7, 2009

adding:
cirstea + 260
last time these 2 met, cirstea got embarrassed. things should be different today, i hope. cirstea playing with good form and lot of confidence right now...

n19dlo · Aug 7, 2009

adding:
karlovic +300
roddick/karlovic matches have always been tight and for the most part, have been settled by tie breaks. 50/50 shot at 3:1 odds, i'll bite. besides, the magic 8 ball says karlovic is going to win so who am i to go against that....

Armstrong · Aug 8, 2009

great call!

Congratulations.

I will try to follow you from today. GL.

n19dlo · Aug 8, 2009

ytd: 23-8 (+$3125)

thanks armstrong...hope i can help u out bro..

still a little pissed off that karlovic lost to roddick again in 2 tie breaks...but we move on...

just by tracking the early lines posted by betfair and pinnacle, i will prolly wait till later this am to post my plays. i actually like all 4 dogs (even isner against roddick) but one especially sticks out...back in a few hrs

n19dlo · Aug 8, 2009

legg mason
isner + 560
-roddick has been getting away with playing so-so tennis. isner, as of right now, has the superior service game. this should go into tie breaks again and hoping isner pulls this out.

word of caution here with the isner play....out of the 4 plays i have lost this week, 2 of those have come betting against roddick...

gonzalez + 145

la championship
cirstea +260 (2 units)
-really impressive win against radwanska last night. down 5-4 in the third with radwanska serving for the match and she closes the third winning the last 3 games breaking radwanska twice...that's the stuff champions are made of...anyways, cirstea with a TON of confidence with the game to match stosur.

pennetta +125 (5 units, maybe more)
-sharapova not in full form yet. she really is struggling with her serve. only reason she is a fave is of her past reputation. pennetta should have her chances against sharapova...u may want to wait for better odds but i will lock in now...

looks scary on paper that i'm playing all dogs but feel good about all of these plays....

Armstrong · Aug 8, 2009

All underdog.....

I hesitate a little.

However, I believe. GL n19dlo!

n19dlo · Aug 8, 2009

not looking good fellas.. tread cautiously....

gonzalez gave up after losing the 1st set tie break and cirstea got smoked by the terminator (aka sam stosur). yikes...

Armstrong · Aug 9, 2009

1-3. but pennetta won.

nice gain.thank you.

Armstrong · Aug 9, 2009

Any bets today?

n19dlo · Aug 9, 2009

ytd 23-11 (+3350)

legg mason
del porto +120 (2 units)

la championship
pennetta +135 (2 units)

just a fyi, public is heavy on both faves today. stosur & roddick both played well yesterday which probably explains the heavy action on them.