Verlander -300

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Do the Tigers deserve to be -300 against anyone?
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</td></tr> <tr class="game_team"><td class="first nowrap">915 baltimore orioles</td><td>(r) tillman, c </td><td>8.5o10 </td><td>8.5o10 / 8.5u07 </td><td>8.5 </td><td><nobr>+1.5(+120) </nobr></td><td class="left last">
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</td></tr><tr class="game_team"><td class="first nowrap">916 detroit tigers</td><td>(r) verlander, j </td><td>-270 </td><td>-300 / -287 / -280 </td><td>-300 </td><td><nobr>-1.5(-130) </nobr></td><td class="left last">
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the way Detroit plays at home (31-16) against Balt's road record (16-34), and Verlander being 4-0 1.85ERA lifetime against Balt looks good. but -300 is a lot to put down. would be nice for a small parlay with Kershaw at -200.
 

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Verlander has thrown the most pitches in the majors this season by a far margin over any other starter for what it's worth.
 

Go Blue!!
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While obviously it doesn't always work out, I actually feel much better about a play when a great pitcher is laying this much. Makes me feel like Vegas is trying to bait ppl into taking the other side by making the odds so attractive. No science behind this thinking, just opinion.
 

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While obviously it doesn't always work out, I actually feel much better about a play when a great pitcher is laying this much. Makes me feel like Vegas is trying to bait ppl into taking the other side by making the odds so attractive. No science behind this thinking, just opinion.
The last time I said that some forum stalker called me 'clueless'
 

The Juice is worth the squeeze
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Wow! The line just dropped to -255 (-1 1/2 -120 ) at the greek. Not sure why it dropped so much.
 

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Both the Rays and St. Louis were -310 yesterday....and they didnt even have so called studs on the mound....of course, both lost......300 is a lot to lay...but Verlander is a stud...especially at home...look at those numbers....basically laying 300....your going to win 3 out of 4....its a high line....me personally I love high lines....I think they win a lot more often then not...its just tough when they do lose....I'll lay 3 dimes to win 1.......I sure as hell couldnt bet 1 dime and win on the Orioles...watch them lose 5-1 and think to myself...wtf was I thinking? I wont ever bet the Nationals either....just bad teams I cant ever play....if anyone is +800 it doesnt matter if they dont win.....the books WANT you to take the bait....the little betters bet the dog...the big betters hammer the favorite....they know its the only way for people to make money...20 people will put $20 on a huge underdog and then come in these threads and say wooooo hoooo nailed it baby...fuck you Tigers...I knew it...Verlander sucks...blah blah blah...but they will lose their next 10 bets and you wont hear a word from them...we see these big lines all the time and the same threads...does team A deserve to be favored by 300...400? Whatever...if you think its too big...dont play it...its JUST a line....999 times out of 1000 the line is correct...if your thinking is the line right...that means its EXACTLY right...if your a true capper...dont look at the lines...cap the game yourself...look at the pitching matchups...come up with your own line...then look at the real line...see if your getting value.....If you think Verlander should be only -200 tonight...jump on the Orioles...your getting tremendous value...

BOL Guys

Gasm~
 

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O's first five might be the best bet. Tillman is pretty good.
Detroit bats have struggled. Detroit probably wins, but I wouldn't wager that line and I hate run lines.

No play for me
 

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Seemed high. Took a flyer on the O's.
 

jmp

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i'm staying away from this game. it is suspicious.
 

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