Fading the "one play - one winner" threads

goblue12

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• #1

Just went through about 50 threads in the baseball forum and today I'm going to throw a curveball into my strategy. Instead of playing what I think is good, I will be fading the one play = one winner threads. You guys know what I'm talking about, it's when someone comes in here with one "lock" for the day and creates a thread about it.

Here are the "plays". My units will be the # of threads started on the topic.

(Equal # of threads started by Nats - Marlins backers, so no play on that one)

Padres ML 1 unit
Brewers ML 1 unit
Cardinals ML 1 unit
Tigers ML 2 units
Rays ML 1 unit

LAD - MIL Under 1 unit
LAA - CWS Under 1 unit

STL - NYM no runs 1st inning 1 unit
FLA - WAS score 1st inning 1 unit

 

ZJP6050

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• #2

goblue12 said:

Just went through about 50 threads in the baseball forum and today I'm going to throw a curveball into my strategy. Instead of playing what I think is good, I will be fading the one play = one winner threads. You guys know what I'm talking about, it's when someone comes in here with one "lock" for the day and creates a thread about it.

Here are the "plays". My units will be the # of threads started on the topic.

(Equal # of threads started by Nats - Marlins backers, so no play on that one)

Padres ML 1 unit
Brewers ML 1 unit
Cardinals ML 1 unit
Tigers ML 2 units
Rays ML 1 unit

LAD - MIL Under 1 unit
LAA - CWS Under 1 unit

STL - NYM no runs 1st inning 1 unit
FLA - WAS score 1st inning 1 unit

Click to expand...

are you going against ace-ace and people like bragg? they typically post 1 play a day, though i don't know why you'd ever go against them?

 

goblue12

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• #3

I'm going against everyone who starts a thread with a "lock" for the day. They pick ONE game (per day) in the thread, and I will gladly go against it.

Updated tally

Nationals ML (3 units)
Tigers ML (2 units)
Cardinals ML (2 units)
Brewers ML (1 unit)
Padres ML (1 unit)
Rockies ML (1 unit)
White Sox ML (1 unit)
A's ML (1 unit)

Dodgers - Brewers Under (1 unit)
Angels - White Sox Under (1 unit)
Cardinals - Mets Under (1 unit)
Cardinals - Mets score 1st inning (1 unit)
Marlins - Nationals no score 1st inning (1 unit)

 

1968

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• #4

good luck but that many a day wont win long term.

 

goblue12

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• #5

Updating the games for the 10:00 slate

A's (2 units)
Brewers (2 units)
Padres (2 units)

 

goblue12

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Updating the games for the 10:00 slate

A's (2 units)
Brewers (2 units)
Padres (2 units)

 

KBiggz

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• #7

Im sorry you faded my play...and 2 Units at that...your only 2 Unit fade in the early games...

Sucks it was fun watchin that money in play with a big dog and be such an easy winner

 

goblue12

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• #8

Assuming the current scores hold (LAD, OAK, ATL win) the "system" will be 6-5-1 and up 1.9 units on the day.

 

RonMexico

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• #9

Dude this is a great idea I thought about (law of averages) and not only that if someone is hittin 55% and you fade him and he plays mostly favs you will get dogs and that 55% is lower now with this run you know pops I've seen him post that he fades Ace ace and made money at footbal I think.....so goodluck you are winning tonight

 

goblue12

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• #10

Forgot to post this, but we had 2 plays this morning.

Mets (1 unit)
STL - NYM Over 8.5 (1 unit)

 

goblue12

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• #11

2-0 (up 2.33 units so far)

Astros (1 unit) were the play. Looks like the Padres will be a play at 3:30. Sorry about not posting this earlier, I was on lunch break. Just keep a eye out for threads like this one.

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=698070

EDIT: someone is on the Padres (+1.5) RL so you guys might want to steer clear.

 

roc18

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• #12

Isn't Pitt/Zona over 8.5 a play too? according to this thread
http://therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=698055

This would be funny if it actually works.

 

goblue12

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• #13

Here is what I have got thus far for the evening (went 3-3 up .33 units today).

Red Sox (2 units)
Yankees (1 unit)
Diamondbacks (1 unit)
Brewers (1 unit)
Marlins (1 unit)

Rangers -1.5 (1 unit)

LAA - CWS Over (1 unit)
PIT - ARI Over (1 unit)