8/6 MLB Discussion

<table style="width: 100%;" border="0"><tbody><tr class="Column_Date_Headers_Odds"><td colspan="7">MLB Baseball - Thu 8/6

</td> </tr><tr class="Column_Headers_Odds"> <td colspan="3">Game</td><td>Run Line</td><td>Money Line</td><td>Total Runs</td><td>More</td> </tr><tr class="AD1"> <td>Thu 8/6</td><td>951</td><td>Florida Marlins
C. Volstad</td><td>-1.5 +131</td><td>-127</td><td>OVER 8.5 -111</td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr class="AD1"> <td>09:35 AM</td><td>952</td><td>Washington Nationals
C. Stammen</td><td>+1.5 -141</td><td>+119</td><td>UNDER 8.5 +101</td> </tr><tr class="AD2"> <td>Thu 8/6</td><td>953</td><td>Colorado Rockies
A. Cook</td><td>+1.5 -141</td><td>+157</td><td>OVER 8.5 -105</td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr class="AD2"> <td>10:05 AM</td><td>954</td><td>Philadelphia Phillies
C. Lee</td><td>-1.5 +131</td><td>-165</td><td>UNDER 8.5 -105</td> </tr><tr class="AD1"> <td>Thu 8/6</td><td>955</td><td>Arizona D-Backs
M. Scherzer</td><td>-1.5 +140</td><td>-122</td><td>OVER 8.5 +113</td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr class="AD1"> <td>04:05 PM</td><td>956</td><td>Pittsburgh Pirates
K. Hart</td><td>+1.5 -150</td><td>+114</td><td>UNDER 8.5 -123</td> </tr><tr class="AD2"> <td>Thu 8/6</td><td>957</td><td>New York Mets
L. Hernandez</td><td>+1.5 -180</td><td>+117</td><td>OVER 7.5 -115</td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr class="AD2"> <td>07:05 PM</td><td>958</td><td>San Diego Padres
C. Richard</td><td>-1.5 +170</td><td>-125</td><td>UNDER 7.5 +105</td> </tr><tr class="AD1"> <td>Thu 8/6</td><td>959</td><td>Atlanta Braves
D. Lowe</td><td>+1.5 -169</td><td>+127</td><td>OVER 8.5 +105</td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr class="AD1"> <td>07:10 PM</td><td>960</td><td>Los Angeles Dodgers
R. Wolf</td><td>-1.5 +159</td><td>-135</td><td>UNDER 8.5 -115</td> </tr><tr class="AD2"> <td>Thu 8/6</td><td>961</td><td>Minnesota Twins
N. Blackburn</td><td>-1.5 +123</td><td>-134</td><td>OVER 9.5 +104</td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr class="AD2"> <td>09:05 AM</td><td>962</td><td>Cleveland Indians
F. Carmona</td><td>+1.5 -133</td><td>+126</td><td>UNDER 9.5 -114</td> </tr><tr class="AD1"> <td>Thu 8/6</td><td>963</td><td>Baltimore Orioles
D. Hernandez</td><td>+1.5 -155</td><td>+126</td><td>OVER 9.5 -109</td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr class="AD1"> <td>10:05 AM</td><td>964</td><td>Detroit Tigers
R. Porcello</td><td>-1.5 +145</td><td>-134</td><td>UNDER 9.5 -101</td> </tr><tr class="AD2"> <td>Thu 8/6</td><td>965</td><td>LAA Angels
E. Santana</td><td>+1.5 -156</td><td>+134</td><td>OVER 9.5 -112</td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr class="AD2"> <td>11:05 AM</td><td>966</td><td>Chicago White Sox
J. Danks</td><td>-1.5 +146</td><td>-142</td><td>UNDER 9.5 +102</td> </tr><tr class="AD1"> <td>Thu 8/6</td><td>967</td><td>Texas Rangers
T. Hunter</td><td>-1.5 +153</td><td>-109</td><td>OVER 9 +110</td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr class="AD1"> <td>12:35 PM</td><td>968</td><td>Oakland Athletics
T. Cahill</td><td>+1.5 -163</td><td>+101</td><td>UNDER 9 -120</td> </tr><tr class="AD2"> <td>Thu 8/6</td><td>969</td><td>Boston Red Sox
J. Smoltz</td><td>+1.5 -129</td><td>+157</td><td>OVER 10 -105</td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr class="AD2"> <td>04:05 PM</td><td>970</td><td>New York Yankees
J. Chamberlain</td><td>-1.5 +119</td><td>-165</td><td>UNDER 10 -105</td> </tr><tr class="AD1"> <td>Thu 8/6</td><td>971</td><td>Seattle Mariners
J. Vargas</td><td>+1.5 -191</td><td>+103</td><td>OVER 9.5 +109</td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr class="AD1"> <td>05:10 PM</td><td>972</td><td>Kansas City Royals
B. Chen</td><td>-1.5 +178</td><td>-111</td><td>UNDER 9.5 -119</td> </tr><tr class="AD2"> <td>Thu 8/6</td><td>1001</td><td>Angels @ White Sox & Red Sox @ Yankees</td><td>Offline</td><td>Offline</td><td>Offline</td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr class="AD2"> <td>11:05 AM</td><td>1002</td><td>Will Be Dealt Live</td><td>Offline</td><td>Offline</td><td>Offline</td> </tr> </tbody></table>

O's +130 med
Mets +120 med/large
Diamondbacks -119 med got a shit line on this one
Marlins -127 med

Also looking at Indians, not sure where that line is gonna go

Got to look harder at Red Sox and White Sox

Oh yeah, does anyone got thoughts on Braves/Dodgers game? Kind of liking the price for the doggie.

TheHungerForMore said:

O's +130 med
Mets +120 med/large
Diamondbacks -119 med got a shit line on this one
Marlins -127 med

Also looking at Indians, not sure where that line is gonna go

Got to look harder at Red Sox and White Sox

Click to expand...

Like the Mets as well. The market has been nibbling at them. Still enough value to warrant a medium play.

Agree with the Marlins as well. Current price warrants an medium play.

I see very small value on the DBacks, but if the market doesnt bring them down a few more cents, I will not have a position on them.

I like the Indians at the current price. They will probably be a large play.

The Red Sox are coming with small value. Market starting to nibble at Smoltz, which is a first.

I am suprised the market has not already aggressively bet against Santana. White Sox warrant at least a medium play at the current no-vig.

Looks like Red Sox may keep moving up currently at +163, the market is liking the current form and direction these two pitchers are going.

TheHungerForMore said:

Oh yeah, does anyone got thoughts on Braves/Dodgers game? Kind of liking the price for the doggie.

Click to expand...

Small to medium value on the Braves imo.

Has Bosox gone down on other books? it's moving up on BetJamaica.

TheHungerForMore said:

Has Bosox gone down on other books? it's moving up on BetJamaica.

Click to expand...

Most shops are bumping the Yankees price. Inverse at Pinny.

Where do you think the market will do with the Angels game? Will they think Dank has been almost as bad as Ervin and see value in Angels sticks?

TheHungerForMore said:

Where do you think the market will do with the Angels game? Will they think Dank has been almost as bad as Ervin and see value in Angels sticks?

Click to expand...

Based on how much they picked off on the White Sox game today and how much they left on the table, my guess that they may send the no-vig price up 5 cents. For some reason, they have not shyed away from Santana this year, but still think there is more upward mobility than downward mobility on the no-vig from here.

buffettgambler said:

Based on how much they picked off on the White Sox game today and how much they left on the table, my guess that they may send the no-vig price up 5 cents. For some reason, they have not shyed away from Santana this year, but still think there is more upward mobility than downward mobility on the no-vig from here.

Click to expand...

Thanks. I'll grab it now. Since there is -140 out, it's not worth gambling to see if it drops at this solid price.

I'm really liking phili tomorrow at -180 with lee pitching. He's been on a tare lately and very willing to show his team that he is a great pitcher. I'll be parlaying that with minnisota at -145, which looks like great value for the pitcher they will be facing.

Thoughts on Philly/Col under 8.5? That's a game where I like both pitchers quite a bit. Will the bats come out in the day time though?

go look on cbs how rollins utley howard and werth have done in there careers verse Cook :lol: Phils ROLL in this 1 with the fired up crowd there for Cliff Lee's home debut

flo
minny
phil
tex

all 4 winners

love philly & cws.........
dont know what you guys see in the mets, richard can outpitch l hern anyday .... big west coast trip......... just a couple days ago sd was red hot and mets were dead.........
i dont see any value in taking mets......
yanks look good vs smoltz

MikRetSam said:

love philly & cws.........
dont know what you guys see in the mets, richard can outpitch l hern anyday .... big west coast trip......... just a couple days ago sd was red hot and mets were dead.........
i dont see any value in taking mets......
yanks look good vs smoltz

Click to expand...

Quick analysis.

Padres are 11-23 in their last 34 home games. They hit .39 points lower at home (.215). This tells you they struggle a their own ball park and home field shouldn't have much stock besides last licks. There offensive production of recently hasn't been there besides scoring seven back to back games against a struggling Reds and in CIN then put 11 in MIL that was nearly a week ago. So to say they were red hot is false.

Livan has done very excellent against mediocre offenses all season. Mets current form with the sticks have performed better. At this price (+120) Padres are being overvalued.

Damn. A few errors Their (not there) offensive and against MIL (not in).

"So to say they were red hot a couple days ago is false." edit. Sorry. I gotta get some sleep.

Did i type very excellent? *closes therx tab*