White Sox future

PatsFan1283 · Aug 16, 2009

I got White Sox to win the NL central at +650 at MB at the beginning of the year. I haven't followed baseball as closely this year and was wondering what people think I should do with this?

I am probably atleast going to play it out until early September so that Minnesota is not in the picture anymore and doesn't factor into my hedging. From what I can tell, Chicago clearly has the better lineup between the two, although the Tigers have a slightly better rotation because of the Jackson/Verlander 1-2 punch. I am maybe thinking of hedging by betting Detroit -160 or so but I really do think Chicago has a better team and want to play it out. Schedule's seem pretty even the rest of the way..

PatsFan1283 · Aug 16, 2009

also, for anyone who says hedging is a -EV bet, on Matchbook the lines are supertight so the -EV bet theory doesnt really matter...

bigtendominator · Aug 16, 2009

Tough to win the NL Central, when you play in the American League.

Just kidding around, good luck.

Chicago looks like they started hitting this weekend. I would roll with the punches and take the shot.

tanner12oz · Aug 16, 2009

i think its worth riding....

FairWarning · Aug 16, 2009

I would hold on to this. They should outlast the Tigers. Both teams are flawed, but the Sox have made some very nice moves.

PatsFan1283 · Aug 16, 2009

Yeah I'll probably hold it for a little while longer. I agree both teams are flawed, White Sox should be better but they always seem to blow games like they did today...

powerz · Aug 16, 2009

Agreed they may win it and if they do use half of it to fade them in the 1st round of the playoffs

PatsFan1283 · Aug 16, 2009

Tough to fade them vs NYY in rd 1. Probably would be laying like -190ish which is a ton for a 5 game series.

djmatt · Aug 17, 2009

FairWarning said:
I would hold on to this. They should outlast the Tigers. Both teams are flawed, but the Sox have made some very nice moves.

Wow from the complete anti sox fan its nice to hear this from ya!! To be honest as a die hard fan i feel like with the upcoming schedule the rest of the season itll be tough. But the teams theyre playing if they do some damage youll be cashing your ticket

PatsFan1283 · Aug 21, 2009

Peavy seems screwed, tough to see him contributing this year. Atleast Washburn has struggled away from Safeco..

Although I like the White Sox lineup A LOT more than the Tigers...

FairWarning · Aug 21, 2009

djmatt said:
Wow from the complete anti sox fan its nice to hear this from ya!! To be honest as a die hard fan i feel like with the upcoming schedule the rest of the season itll be tough. But the teams theyre playing if they do some damage youll be cashing your ticket

Yes, I hate the Sox, but like money. If the Sox can survive the big roadtrip to NY, Boston, and Minny, I really like their chances. Peavy had a setback so they may not get anything from him. IF Contreras steps up like the last game, I love their chances.

Soriano12 · Aug 21, 2009

The sox will have a tough stretch coming up with 20games in the next 20 days, which includes an 11 game road trip and they will have to play pretty tough competition with 4 games @BOS, 3 games each @NYY and MIN and the final road game against the Cubs before playing 4 more at home against the Red Sox.
I just can't picture them playing .500 or better during that stretch and gaining any ground on DET within the next 3 weeks. After that another road trip with 3 games at LA is coming up, so looking at the schedules, I would probably try to hedge some of my money.

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