I Can't Remember This Many Reasons To Play A Team and They Are A BIG DOG

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Dogfather
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Nov 22, 2006
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The Red Hot Yankees Were On A 12-1 Run the other day. To play the Yankees, even on the road, you had to lay big juice. How does -240, +210 sound playing at Oakland. Now ask yourself, how does this line sound after the Yankees have lost two in a row, including being shut out at Oakland.

Now ask yourself, how does this big line sound to play a team that is hitting .221 with three runs and four extra-base hits in their two losses after averaging 6.2 runs and batting .299 with 28 home runs in the previous 13 games. You see it all the time. Team go from hot to cold or cold to hot without any warning and can stay that way for awhile. You might think the Yankees will be OK tonight because they have their best starter, CC Sabathia (13-7, 3.64 ERA) going tonight against the last place A's.

Looks like the big line is justified, but look a little further. CC did win his last three starts while giving up only one run and five hits in his last two. He allowed one run and three hits in eight innings of an 11-1 victory over the Mariners on Thursday, striking out a season-high 10. BUT, look what he says about pitching at Oakland.

“I must have done something bad here as a kid because I have some bad karma here,” Sabathia said Monday. Look at this. He is just 1-4 with a 7.12 ERA at Oakland and he has lost his last four starts at the Oakland Coliseum, near where he grew up. He has a 10.07 ERA during that stretch and is winless in his last five starts there.

I'm taking the PLUS 2.10 but if you think the Yankees will still beat the A"s, my advice to you is pass the game. No one can make money betting -250 favorites, especially ones whose recent stats and starting pitcher look like a team that should be a big DOG, not a big favorite.

I wish I would have posted this sooner because in addition to playing the A's, I played this small two team parley that has a good chance of hitting at big 8-1 odds. Timmy Lincecum has had a couple of just so so starts and can be beat. Also, I'm hoping any long rain delay and he dosen't come back.


<table id="pendingWager" border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td class="pending"> <table><tbody><tr><td width="220">Parlay (2 Teams)</td> <td>08/18/09 19:05 ET</td> </tr><tr> <td width="220"> bet 150.00 to win 1,268.25 </td> <td>Result: Pending</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> </tr><tr> <td class="pendingAltColor" colspan="2"> <table><tbody><tr> <td width="220"> Giants(SanFrancisco) Lincecum
Reds(Cincinnati) Bailey </td> <td> 08/18/09(19:10 ET)
Reds(Cincinnati) +205 </td> </tr></tbody></table> </td> </tr> <tr> <td class="pending" colspan="2"> <table><tbody><tr> <td width="220"> Yankees(NewYork) Sabathia
Athletics(Oakland) Mazzaro




Sorry this so long but I really think it's worth knowing for anyone who is thinking of playing this game. (also I can't make the A's +210 move up where it should be)


It's a two team Cinc to Oakland parley, risking 150 to win 1268.


Good Luck to anyone who likes the A's tonight.

I spent so much time putting this together that I didn't have time to proof read it. Hopefully, you can understand my thinking.
</td> <td> 08/18/09(22:05 ET)
Athletics(Oakland) +210 </td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table>
 
Joined
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Nice writeup.

I also have Cinci. After getting a nice lead they left Bailey in too damned long. We had the win against a subaverage hitting team. Now we have to get the win again.

Also good luck on the late one.
 

Official Rx music critic and beer snob
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Playing all three big dogs late. SD, Oakland, and STL.
 

Dogfather
Joined
Nov 22, 2006
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Fair Warning. Hope Diego holds on for you. Now they are up 3, looking good for you. You can go 1-2 tonight and end up close to even, thanks to big dogs. I didn't play that game although it looks like I should have followed you. Adams is one of the best relievers I've seen in a long time. Another shutdown inning tonight keeping his ERA UNDER ONE this season.

The A"s looked like I thought the Yankees would look like tonight. Four errors so far tonight. I can't stand the A's manager who is dumber than me. Castilla is the worst reliever the A's have, an ERA near 6 and he brings him into a tied game with the bases loaded. Castilla had no idea where his pitches were going, walking in two runs as part of a 5 run inning. Even after the second walk with the bases loaded he stayed in the game, probally because Geren still had no one warming up. But, regardless, I was wrong although I would play them again in this spot.
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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The A"s looked like I thought the Yankees would look like tonight. Four errors so far tonight. I can't stand the A's manager who is dumber than me.


Post of the year for humility! @):)

Made me LOL

Take a look at Oakland tmr they might sneak another out
 

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