Play St Louis -1.5 +190

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After looking across the board there is absolutely no play IMHO that warrants a No Score Play today. Yesterday there was a score in the 1st Inning in 8 out of 13 games so the trend continues for high offense in the 1st. I still believe this will change back to our favor but with so much football here this weekend I feel there is absolutely no need to force a play as none of the games today or tomorrow look like they fit the 4 rules. Being an action junkie I am playing one game that caught my eye. This is for a very small amount (1/2 unit) and I really would not be surprised at all if this play lost so play at your own risk. I just feel there is very good value in the line and wanted to take advantage of the situation.

This past week St. Louis has gone a lousy 3-2 ( for St. Louis standards) and just returned home yesterday from a 7 day road trip. They lost that game to Atlanta in a gem pitched by Jurrejens, the 23 year old phenom, that has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 10 of his last 12 starts. Today is the second home game for St. Louis and I expect a much better performance from that potent line up. Albert Pujols went 0-4 yesterday and had two errors. I expect him to return to form today and given the fact that St. Louis has not lost back to back games since July I like my chances here.

The ML today is even and that is because of the pitching matchup. At first glance it appears that Atlanta has a great advantage but I am not convinced of this entirely after looking a little deeper. Yes he did beat Florida, at Florida, and gave up only 2 runs on Sept 1st. He also only gave up 1 run against Cincy the last time he pitched over 7 innings, but he has been injured most of this season and two games is not enough to determine how good/bad he really is this season. If St. Louis is held to two runs today I will be all over the Hudson bandwagon but I think the bats explode and hopefull St. Louis puts up at least 5-6 runs today.

For St. Louis today Kyle Lohse takes the mound. Lohse was one of St. Louis's better pitchers with an impressive 15-6 record. He has been injury plagued this entire season which is another reason to worry about this bet. It is important to note that the last time he pitched against Atlanta was at Atlanta and he went 6 innings giving up 0 runs and had 6 strikeouts. If he can limit Atlanta to 3 or fewer runs I believe St. Louis can do the rest.

There are several reasons why I am only playing this bet for 1/2 unit. This is as much of a gamble as one can get in baseball but that is also why the odds are soooo good. If I can get +190 with St. Louis RL I am usually going to take it and Atlanta does not impress me at all this season. This bet will probably lose so be careful and if you are going to play it please play it small.

Good luck to all of you and now I'm going to concentrate on football!!!!!

Go Ohio State!!!!!!!!!!!!!:dancefool
 

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Correction - I meant to write at the bottom of this text "Lohse was one of St. Louis's better pitchers with an impressive 15-6 record LAST YEAR."
 

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