I wouldn't say just line movement but I do take it into consideration. I'm into more of setting a line using Masseyratings, weather conditions, injuries, offensive styles vs defensive styles, NCAA.org for defense and offense ratings, SOS, and big game/let down which will create a play. Most of the games are no plays at the end of the season because the oddsmakers have done a good job setting an efficient line, but early in the year they do have difficulty and I'll play many games for different amounts.
My perception is NCAA is much easier to cap than NFL. I know you've had a tough start to the season, I expect you'll turn it around, and hopefully I'll do the same. I'm just tired of making a large profit and almost losing it on Sunday. Granted, I've cut my wager amount down to half due to the expectancy of my win/loss margin has been atrocious the first two weeks.
P.S. I do read other posters information as well. Pags 11 is a great read across the street in NCAA football along with Mr. Bator in baseball.
GEKKO
My perception is NCAA is much easier to cap than NFL. I know you've had a tough start to the season, I expect you'll turn it around, and hopefully I'll do the same. I'm just tired of making a large profit and almost losing it on Sunday. Granted, I've cut my wager amount down to half due to the expectancy of my win/loss margin has been atrocious the first two weeks.
P.S. I do read other posters information as well. Pags 11 is a great read across the street in NCAA football along with Mr. Bator in baseball.
GEKKO
This is mainly the 3rd year that I've capped games so it's a small sample size. For the first three weeks, I've placed a total of 28 wagers with 18 being winners. My entry points are 70% beating the close. Example tonights S.Carolina game played under 53.5 looks to close at 52 or less.
Its tough to state my ROI as most of my plays come from 2 locals and a couple of offshore accounts. My locals who are located in Jamaica have no capital invested just return so far. Its a great deal spotting no money and having 20k at your fingertips, however, can lead to some destruction.
Nationals...Martin has potential! Like it anyone else?
